The CO2MVS Research on Supplementary Observations (CORSO) project aims at reducing the uncertainties in the predicted biogenic carbon fluxes by leveraging new types of satellite observations, machine learning and data assimilation. The objective of this work is to implement the assimilation of active microwave and solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) satellite observations in the Integrated Forecast System (IFS) developed at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) to jointly analyze soil moisture and leaf area index (LAI). The assimilation of observation requires the development of an observation operator to predict the model-simulated counterpart of the observation from the model fields. In this paper, we present the development of machine learning-based observation operators for the normalized backscatter at 40° from the Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) instrument and SIF derived from the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI). Results show that deep learning methods provide accurate predictions of the satellite signals from the IFS model fields. The next step will be the implementation of these operators in the IFS and the evaluation of the impacts of analyzing both soil moisture and vegetation variables on the estimation of carbon and water fluxes along with near-surface meteorological variables.

We model the sea foam emissivity at frequencies from 1 to 89 GHz. This model is part of the work done by an international science team to develop a radiative transfer model of reference quality for the ocean surface emissivity from L band to infrared frequencies. A study of the sensitivity to different foam properties (foam layer thickness and upper limit of the foam void fraction) guided the effort to tune the foam emissivity model by frequency and polarization. The results show that the differences between simulated and observed brightness temperatures decrease when using the tuned foam model.

Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) is a growing threat to all Earth Observation (EO) passive microwave missions. Many RFI detection algorithms are used on-board and in the ground segment data processing, but there is no single algorithm that can detect all RFI instances. The best strategy is always to combine several detection methods. This paper presents the results of the new Ground RFI Detection System (GRDS). The GRDS uses a combination of a wide variety of RFI detection algorithms to clean the Earth Observation measurements from RFI. The system is built to be able to scan for RFI for any EO mission. The initial results show the important reduction on RFI in the EO data as measured by the European Center for Mid-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) first guess departure statistics.

In this paper we present L-band data usage for Numerical Weather Prediction applications and Emergency Services at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).

Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) is a serious constraint affecting the Earth Observation (EO) passive microwave missions whose effect has been increasing. There is no single algorithm that can detect all RFI instances. The best strategy always is to combine several detection methods. This paper presents a new system concept: Ground RFI Detection System (GRDS). The GRDS uses a wide variety of RFI detection algorithm to clean the Earth Observation measurements from RFI. The system architecture is modular and it is built to be able to scan for RFI for any EO mission. The initial assessments reported show the potential for this GRDS system.

This paper presents the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) mission data assimilation activities conducted at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) to analyse soil moisture for Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) applications. Two different approaches are presented based on SMOS brightness temperature and SMOS neural network soil moisture data assimilation, respectively. For the first approach, SMOS brightness temperature data assimilation relies on forward modelling. Long term results, spanning the SMOS period, of SMOS forward modelling, monitoring and data assimilation are presented. They emphasize the relevance of SMOS data for monitoring and to support NWP model developments. For the second approach, a SMOS soil moisture product has been produced based on a Neural Network (NN) trained on ECMWF soil moisture. So, the SMOS-ECMWF NN soil moisture product captures the SMOS signal variability in time and space, while by design its climatology is consistent with that of the ECMWF soil moisture, which makes it suitable for data assimilation purpose. This approach, initially tested for 2012 in a global scale stand alone approach, shows that SMOS NN data assimilation slightly improves the two-metre air temperature forecast in the short range at regional scale. For NWP applications this approach has been further developed with a near real time production of the SMOS-ECMWF NN soil moisture product, with the implementation of the SMOS NN data assimilation in the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), and with high resolution (9km) global scale testing compatible with the current ECMWF NWP system.

This paper presents an evaluation of the quality of data from the MicroWave Humidity Sounder-2, flown on the FY-3C polar orbiting satellite, and first results of trials assimilating the data in all-sky conditions in the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts' assimilation system. This instrument combines traditional microwave humidity sounding capabilities at 183 GHz with new channels at 118 GHz, which have never before been available from space. The aim of this paper is twofold: to contribute to the calibration/validation of this satellite by evaluating the data and to test for the first time the impact of assimilating 118-GHz sounding channels in a global numerical weather prediction system. MWHS-2 was first evaluated by comparing observation minus short-range forecast statistics to similar instruments, which indicated that the quality was generally similar. Adding the 118- and 183-GHz channels to the full operational observing system led to small improvements in the short-range (~12 h) forecast accuracy for both sets of channels, and improvements in the 2-4-day wind forecast accuracy for the 183-GHz channels. Short-range forecasts were improved for global humidity in particular when assimilating the 183-GHz channels (0.5% improvement) and for cloud and low-level wind in the Southern Hemisphere extra-tropics when assimilating the 118-GHz channels (by, respectively, 0.5% and 0.2%). In the absence of other atmospheric observations, assimilating the 118-GHz channels improved the global forecast accuracy, but the overall impact was less than for the 183-GHz channels, or for equivalent Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A channels.

Asymmetric features of oceanic brightness temperature from spaceborne microwave imagers in high surface wind speed conditions were investigated with two kinds of collocated data. The first is simultaneous measurements of microwave brightness temperatures and surface wind vectors from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR) and SeaWinds on Advanced Earth Observing Satellite II. The second is microwave brightness temperature observations (AMSR2 and the Special Sensor Microwave Imager Sounder) and surface wind vectors in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts numerical weather prediction model. Both collocated data sets showed that the vertical-polarized and the horizontal-polarized microwave brightness temperature have out-of-phase asymmetric features in terms of relative wind direction (RWD) at high surface wind speeds. Furthermore, different asymmetric features were found for the northern and Southern Hemispheres and for ascending and descending satellite orbits. Although similar asymmetric features can be found in other microwave imager studies, the causes of the asymmetry have not been fully investigated. To investigate the cause of the asymmetry, the observation frequency regarding air-sea temperature difference was examined in upwind, downwind, and crosswind cases. Two important factors contribute to the asymmetry. First, the observations from inclined polar orbit satellites provide different samplings on atmospheric stability in terms of the RWD. Second, the oceanic microwave brightness temperatures have negative correlations with atmospheric stability at high surface wind speeds. The out-of-phase asymmetry is closely related with atmospheric stability, and it appears under a high-surface-wind-speed condition.

Satellite measurements from microwave instruments have made a significant contribution to the skill of numerical weather forecasting, on both global and regional scales. A FAST microwave Emissivity Model (FASTEM), which was developed by the Met Office, U.K., has been widely utilized to compute the surface emitted radiation in forward calculations. However, the FASTEM model was developed for frequencies in the range of 20-60 GHz, and it is biased at higher and lower frequencies. Several critical components such as variable sea surface salinity and full Stokes vector have not been generally taken into account. In this paper, the effects of the permittivity models are investigated, and a new permittivity model is generated by using the measurements for fresh and salt water at frequencies between 1.4 and 410 GHz. A modified sea surface roughness model from Durden and Vesecky is applied to the detailed two-scale surface emissivity calculations. This ocean emissivity model at microwave is now being used in the Community Radiative Transfer Model, and it has resulted in some major improvements in microwave radiance simulations. This paper is a joint effort of the Met Office, U.K., and the Joint Center for the Satellite Data Assimilation, U.S. The model is called as FASTEM-4 in the Radiative Transfer for TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder model.

Several studies have demonstrated that retrievals of wind vectors from the WindSat polarimetric radiometer are of sufficient quality to be considered for assimilation in operational numerical weather prediction models. In this paper, WindSat data are used in a state-of-the-art global meteorological analysis and forecasting system. Each wind vector contains a directional ambiguity and so is assimilated in a similar way to that of scatterometer data. The forecast impact of using analyses containing information from WindSat data was investigated for a period during August and September of 2005, when a large number of tropical cyclones were present. Forecast errors were reduced in the surface pressure fields, and the average improvement across the forecast range was found to be 1.0%. This is comparable to the improvement of 1.1% found in the same fields when winds were assimilated from the QuikScat scatterometer. The impact on tropical cyclone tracks in the forecasts was also studied. The scatterometer improved (reduced) the track errors markedly by 25% in the analyses. When impacts across the forecast range out to five days were also included, the improvement was found to be 8%. In contrast, the assimilation of WindSat data improved the analysis track errors by 7%, although this figure was found to be 10% across the complete forecast range.

An error analysis has been performed, which shows that skin temperature errors are important for sounding channels. An approach for estimating skin temperature and emissivity errors from the dependence of differences between observed and calculated radiances on surface-to-space transmittance is described. Estimates of emissivity and skin temperature error for the operational Met Office data assimilation system are presented as an example, and the implications are discussed, in terms of use of data over different surfaces and in different conditions (e.g., day/night). The results highlight the need for a better emissivity estimate over sea ice than that used at the Met Office and the inaccuracy of the land surface skin temperature that was derived from radiative flux balance at the surface.

It has been proposed that wind vector information derived from passive microwave radiometry may provide an impact on numerical weather forecasts of similar magnitude to that achieved by scatterometers. Polarimetric radiometers have a lower sensitivity to wind direction than scatterometers at low wind speed but comparable sensitivity at high windspeed. In this paper, we describe an experiment which aimed to determine if an observing system only capable of providing wind direction information at wind speeds over 8 ms/sup -1/ can provide comparable impact to one providing wind vectors at wind speeds over 2 ms/sup -1/. The QuikSCAT dataset used in the experiments has a wide swath and is used operationally by several forecast centers. The results confirm that assimilation of wind vectors from QuikSCAT only for wind speeds above 8 ms/sup -1/ gives similar analysis increments and forecast impacts to assimilating wind vectors at all wind speeds above 2 ms/sup -1/. Measurements from the WindSat five frequency polarimetric radiometer are compared with calculations from Met Office global forecast fields, and this also confirms that WindSat measurement and radiative transfer model accuracy appears to be sufficiently good to provide useful information for numerical weather prediction.

Passive microwave radiometers (24-157 GHz) have been flown over Baltic Sea ice and snow sites in April 1995 and on March 15, 1997. Data from these instruments are analyzed with reference to ground measurements of snow and ice conditions, and emissivity spectra are presented for 12 classifications of surface type. A simple model based on dielectric permittivity can accurately represent the microwave spectra of sea ice, but cannot be extended to the behavior of dry snow above 100 GHz without the addition of an extra term to represent volume scattering. The parameterization presented is intended to provide a background for temperature and humidity retrievals from satellite sounders, but the results will be of interest to the snow and ice remote-sensing communities.