Abstract Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not—or only partially—known. This motivates considering parametric models with transitions labeled with functions over parameters. Whereas traditional Markov chain analysis relies on a single, fixed set of probabilities, analysing parametric Markov models focuses on synthesising parameter values that establish a given safety or performance specification $$\varphi $$ φ . Examples are: what component failure rates ensure the probability of a system breakdown to be below 0.00000001?, or which failure rates maximise the performance, for instance the throughput, of the system? This paper presents various analysis algorithms for parametric discrete-time Markov chains and Markov decision processes. We focus on three problems: (a) do all parameter values within a given region satisfy $$\varphi $$ φ ?, (b) which regions satisfy $$\varphi $$ φ and which ones do not?, and (c) an approximate version of (b) focusing on covering a large fraction of all possible parameter values. We give a detailed account of the various algorithms, present a software tool realising these techniques, and report on an extensive experimental evaluation on benchmarks that span a wide range of applications.

To boost training and adaptation of end to end (E2E) automatic speech recognition (ASR) models, several approaches to use paired speech-text input together with unpaired text input have emerged. They aim at improving the model performance on rare words, personalisation, and long tail. In this work, we present a systematic study of the impact of such training/adaptation and compare it to training with synthetic utterances generated by text-to-speech engines. We experiment with in-house and CommonVoice datasets and conclude that using text data for adaptation is effective, but is outperformed by adapting with synthetic audio even when the TTS engine is sub-optimal. This challenges recent literature on the difficulties of using TTS data including catastrophic forgetting, feature misalignment, and pronunciation errors, which motivated the use of text-only adaptation.

Abstract We present the probabilistic model checker Storm . Storm supports the analysis of discrete- and continuous-time variants of both Markov chains and Markov decision processes. Storm has three major distinguishing features. It supports multiple input languages for Markov models, including the Jani and Prism modeling languages, dynamic fault trees, generalized stochastic Petri nets, and the probabilistic guarded command language. It has a modular setup in which solvers and symbolic engines can easily be exchanged. Its Python API allows for rapid prototyping by encapsulating Storm ’s fast and scalable algorithms. This paper reports on the main features of Storm and explains how to effectively use them. A description is provided of the main distinguishing functionalities of Storm . Finally, an empirical evaluation of different configurations of Storm on the QComp 2019 benchmark set is presented.

Abstract This paper presents counterexample-guided inductive synthesis (CEGIS) to automatically synthesise probabilistic models. The starting point is a family of finite-stateMarkov chains with related but distinct topologies. Such families can succinctly be described by a sketch of a probabilistic program. Program sketches are programs containing holes. Every hole has a finite repertoire of possible program snippets by which it can be filled.We study several synthesis problems—feasibility, optimal synthesis, and complete partitioning—for a given quantitative specification φ . Feasibility amounts to determine a family member satisfying φ , optimal synthesis amounts to find a family member that maximises the probability to satisfy φ , and complete partitioning splits the family in satisfying and refuting members. Each of these problems can be considered under the additional constraint of minimising the total cost of instantiations, e.g., what are all possible instantiations for φ that are within a certain budget? The synthesis problems are tackled using a CEGIS approach. The crux is to aggressively prune the search space by using counterexamples provided by a probabilistic model checker. Counterexamples can be viewed as sub-Markov chains that rule out all family members that share this sub-chain. Our CEGIS approach leverages efficient probabilisticmodel checking,modern SMT solving, and programsnippets as counterexamples. Experiments on case studies froma diverse nature—controller synthesis, program sketching, and security—show that synthesis among up to a million candidate designs can be done using a few thousand verification queries.

Quantitative formal models capture probabilistic behaviour, real-time aspects, or general continuous dynamics. A number of tools support their automatic analysis with respect to dependability or performance properties. QComp 2019 is the first, friendly competition among such tools. It focuses on stochastic formalisms from Markov chains to probabilistic timed automata specified in the Jani model exchange format, and on probabilistic reachability, expected-reward, and steady-state properties. QComp draws its benchmarks from the new Quantitative Verification Benchmark Set. Participating tools, which include probabilistic model checkers and planners as well as simulation-based tools, are evaluated in terms of performance, versatility, and usability. In this paper, we report on the challenges in setting up a quantitative verification competition, present the results of QComp 2019, summarise the lessons learned, and provide an outlook on the features of the next edition of QComp.