In many application domains, time series are monitored to detect extreme events like technical faults, natural disasters, or disease outbreaks. Unfortunately, it is often non-trivial to select both a time series that is informative about events and a powerful detection algorithm: detection may fail because the detection algorithm is not suitable, or because there is no shared information between the time series and the events of interest. In this work, we thus propose a non-parametric statistical test for shared information between a time series and a series of observed events. Our test allows identifying time series that carry information on event occurrences without committing to a specific event detection methodology. In a nutshell, we test for divergences of the value distributions of the time series at increasing lags after event occurrences with a multiple two-sample testing approach. In contrast to related tests, our approach is applicable for time series over arbitrary domains, including multivariate numeric, strings or graphs. We perform a large-scale simulation study to show that it outperforms or is on par with related tests on our task for univariate time series. We also demonstrate the real-world applicability of our approach on datasets from social media and smart home environments.

The analysis of the temporal evolution of dynamic networks is a key challenge for understanding complex processes hidden in graph structured data. Graph evolution rules capture such processes on the level of small subgraphs by describing frequently occurring structural changes within a network. Existing rule discovery methods make restrictive assumptions on the change processes present in networks. We propose EvoMine, a frequent graph evolution rule mining method that, for the first time, supports networks with edge insertions and deletions as well as node and edge relabelings. EvoMine defines embedding-based and event-based support as two novel measures to assess the frequency of rules. These measures are based on novel mappings from dynamic networks to databases of union graphs that retain all evolution information relevant for rule mining. Using these mappings the rule mining problem can be solved by frequent subgraph mining. We evaluate our approach and two baseline algorithms on several real datasets. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first empirical comparison of rule mining algorithmsfor dynamic networks.

In the past unsupervised HMM training has been applied to solve letter substitution ciphers as they appear in various problems in Natural Language Processing. For some problems, parts of the cipher key can easily be provided by the user, but full manual deciphering would be too time consuming. In this work a semi-supervised HMM deciphering approach that uses partial ground-truth data is introduced and evaluated empirically on synthetic and real-life data for Arabic Optical Character Recognition (OCR). Adding only a small amount of supervision improves deciphering performance drastically under optimal conditions, especially for short ciphertexts. In complex real-life scenarios results are better than in the unsupervised baseline approach.