Transformer models have achieved remarkable empirical successes, largely due to their in-context learning capabilities. Inspired by this, we explore training an autoregressive transformer for in-context reinforcement learning (ICRL). In this setting, we initially train a transformer on an offline dataset consisting of trajectories collected from various RL tasks, and then fix and use this transformer to create an action policy for new RL tasks. Notably, we consider the setting where the offline dataset contains trajectories sampled from suboptimal behavioral policies. In this case, standard autoregressive training corresponds to imitation learning and results in suboptimal performance. To address this, we propose the Decision Importance Transformer (DIT) framework, which emulates the actor-critic algorithm in an in-context manner. In particular, we first train a transformer-based value function that estimates the advantage functions of the behavior policies that collected the suboptimal trajectories. Then we train a transformer-based policy via a weighted maximum likelihood estimation loss, where the weights are constructed based on the trained value function to steer the suboptimal policies to the optimal ones. We conduct extensive experiments to test the performance of DIT on both bandit and Markov Decision Process problems. Our results show that DIT achieves superior performance, particularly when the offline dataset contains suboptimal historical data.

Estimating the unknown reward functions driving agents' behavior is a central challenge in inverse games and reinforcement learning. This paper introduces a unified framework for reward function recovery in two-player zero-sum matrix games and Markov games with entropy regularization. Given observed player strategies and actions, we aim to reconstruct the underlying reward functions. This task is challenging due to the inherent ambiguity of inverse problems, the non-uniqueness of feasible rewards, and limited observational data coverage. To address these challenges, we establish reward function identifiability using the quantal response equilibrium (QRE) under linear assumptions. Building on this theoretical foundation, we propose an algorithm to learn reward from observed actions, designed to capture all plausible reward parameters by constructing confidence sets. Our algorithm works in both static and dynamic settings and is adaptable to incorporate other methods, such as Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). We provide strong theoretical guarantees for the reliability and sample-efficiency of our algorithm. Empirical results demonstrate the framework’s effectiveness in accurately recovering reward functions across various scenarios, offering new insights into decision-making in competitive environments.

We consider a fundamental class of assortment optimization problems in an offline data-driven setting. The firm does not know the underlying customer choice model but has access to an offline dataset consisting of the historically offered assortment set, customer choice, and revenue. The objective is to use the offline dataset to find an optimal assortment. Due to the combinatorial nature of assortment optimization, the problem of insufficient data coverage is likely to occur in the offline dataset. Therefore, designing a provably efficient offline learning algorithm becomes a significant challenge. To this end, based on the principle of pessimism, we propose a novel algorithm called Pessimistic ASsortment opTimizAtion (PASTA for short), which can correctly identify the optimal assortment by only requiring the offline data to cover the optimal assortment under general settings. In particular, we establish the first regret bound for the offline assortment optimization problem under the celebrated multinomial logit model (MNL). We also propose an efficient computational procedure to solve our pessimistic assortment optimization problem. Our numerical studies demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method over the existing baseline method.

We study the multi-agent game within the innovative framework of decision-dependent games, which establishes a feedback mechanism that population data reacts to agents’ actions and further characterizes the strategic interactions between agents. We focus on finding the Nash equilibrium of decision-dependent games in the bandit feedback setting. However, since agents are strategically coupled, traditional gradient-based methods are infeasible without the gradient oracle. To overcome this challenge, we model the strategic interactions by a general parametric model and propose a novel online algorithm, Online Performative Gradient Descent (OPGD), which leverages the ideas of online stochastic approximation and projected gradient descent to learn the Nash equilibrium in the context of function approximation for the unknown gradient. In particular, under mild assumptions on the function classes defined in the parametric model, we prove that OPGD can find the Nash equilibrium efficiently for strongly monotone decision-dependent games. Synthetic numerical experiments validate our theory.

Assortment optimization has received active explorations in the past few decades due to its practical importance. Despite the extensive literature dealing with optimization algorithms and latent score estimation, uncertainty quantification for the optimal assortment still needs to be explored and is of great practical significance. Instead of estimating and recovering the complete optimal offer set, decision-makers may only be interested in testing whether a given property holds true for the optimal assortment, such as whether they should include several products of interest in the optimal set, or how many categories of products the optimal set should include. This paper proposes a novel inferential framework for testing such properties. We consider the widely adopted multinomial logit (MNL) model, where we assume that each customer will purchase an item j within the offer set of products S with a probability proportional to the underlying preference score u*j associated with the product. For a full assortment of n products, our objective is to conduct a hypothesis test concerning a general optimal assortment property, given by:

We consider the linear discriminant analysis problem in the high-dimensional settings. In this work, we propose PANDA(PivotAl liNear Discriminant Analysis), a tuning insensitive method in the sense that it requires very little effort to tune the parameters. Moreover, we prove that PANDA achieves the optimal convergence rate in terms of both the estimation error and misclassification rate. Our theoretical results are backed up by thorough numerical studies using both simulated and real datasets. In comparison with the existing methods, we observe that our proposed PANDA yields equal or better performance, and requires substantially less effort in parameter tuning.

In statistical learning framework with regressions, interactions are the contributions to the response variable from the products of the explanatory variables. In high-dimensional problems, detecting interactions is challenging due to combinatorial complexity and limited data information. We consider detecting interactions by exploring their connections with the principal Hessian matrix. Specifically, we propose a one-step synthetic approach for estimating the principal Hessian matrix by a penalized M-estimator. An alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) is proposed to efficiently solve the encountered regularized optimization problem. Based on the sparse estimator, we detect the interactions by identifying its nonzero components. Our method directly targets at the interactions, and it requires no structural assumption on the hierarchy of the interactions effects. We show that our estimator is theoretically valid, computationally efficient, and practically useful for detecting the interactions in a broad spectrum of scenarios.

We consider the stochastic nested composition optimization problem where the objective is a composition of two expected- value functions. We propose a new stochastic first-order method, namely the accelerated stochastic compositional proximal gradient (ASC-PG) method. This algorithm updates the solution based on noisy gradient queries using a two-timescale iteration. The ASC-PG is the first proximal gradient method for the stochastic composition problem that can deal with nonsmooth regularization penalty. We show that the ASC-PG exhibits faster convergence than the best known algorithms, and that it achieves the optimal sample-error complexity in several important special cases. We demonstrate the application of ASC-PG to reinforcement learning and conduct numerical experiments.

Consider the stochastic composition optimization problem where the objective is a composition of two expected-value functions. We propose a new stochastic first-order method, namely the accelerated stochastic compositional proximal gradient (ASC-PG) method, which updates based on queries to the sampling oracle using two different timescales. The ASC-PG is the first proximal gradient method for the stochastic composition problem that can deal with nonsmooth regularization penalty. We show that the ASC-PG exhibits faster convergence than the best known algorithms, and that it achieves the optimal sample-error complexity in several important special cases. We further demonstrate the application of ASC-PG to reinforcement learning and conduct numerical experiments.