We propose a decentralized market model in which agents can negotiate bilateral contracts. This builds on a similar, but centralized, model of trading networks introduced by Hatfield et al. in 2013. Prior work has established that fully-substitutable preferences guarantee the existence of competitive equilibria which can be centrally computed. Our motivation comes from the fact that prices in markets such as over-the-counter markets and used car markets arise from decentralized negotiation among agents, which has left open an important question as to whether equilibrium prices can emerge from agent-to-agent bilateral negotiations. We design a best response dynamic intended to capture such negotiations between market participants. We assume fully substitutable preferences for market participants. In this setting, we provide proofs of convergence for sparse markets (covering many real world markets of interest), and experimental results for more general cases, demonstrating that prices indeed reach equilibrium, quickly, via bilateral negotiations. Our best response dynamic, and its convergence behavior, forms an important first step in understanding how decentralized markets reach, and retain, equilibrium.

Equivariant neural networks have shown great success in reinforcement learning, improving sample efficiency and generalization when there is symmetry in the task. However, in many problems, only approximate symmetry is present, which makes imposing exact symmetry inappropriate. Recently, approximately equivariant networks have been proposed for supervised classification and modeling physical systems. In this work, we develop approximately equivariant algorithms in reinforcement learning (RL). We define approximately equivariant MDPs and theoretically characterize the effect of approximate equivariance on the optimal Q function. We propose novel RL architectures using relaxed group and steerable convolutions and experiment on several continuous control domains and stock trading with real financial data. Our results demonstrate that the approximately equivariant network performs on par with exactly equivariant networks when exact symmetries are present, and outperforms them when the domains exhibit approximate symmetry. As an added byproduct of these techniques, we observe increased robustness to noise at test time. Our code is available at \url{https://github.com/jypark0/approx_equiv_rl.}

We consider discrete-time stationary mean field games (MFG) with unknown dynamics and design algorithms for finding the equilibrium with finite-time complexity guarantees. Prior solutions to the problem assume either the contraction of a mean field optimality-consistency operator or strict weak monotonicity, which may be overly restrictive. In this work, we introduce a new class of solvable MFGs, named the "fully herding class", which expands the known solvable class of MFGs and for the first time includes problems with multiple equilibria. We propose a direct policy optimization method, Accelerated Single-loop Actor Critic Algorithm for Mean Field Games (ASAC-MFG), that provably finds a global equilibrium for MFGs within this class, under suitable access to a single trajectory of Markovian samples. Different from the prior methods, ASAC-MFG is single-loop and single-sample-path. We establish the finite-time and finite-sample convergence of ASAC-MFG to a mean field equilibrium via new techniques that we develop for multi-time-scale stochastic approximation. We support the theoretical results with illustrative numerical simulations. When the mean field does not affect the transition and reward, a MFG reduces to a Markov decision process (MDP) and ASAC-MFG becomes an actor-critic algorithm for finding the optimal policy in average-reward MDPs, with a sample complexity matching the state-of-the-art. Previous works derive the complexity assuming a contraction on the Bellman operator, which is invalid for average-reward MDPs. We match the rate while removing the untenable assumption through an improved Lyapunov function.

The standard contextual bandit framework assumes fully observable and actionable contexts. In this work, we consider a new bandit setting with partially observable and correlated contexts, with linear payoffs, motivated by the applications in finance where decision making is based on market information that typically displays temporal correlation and is not fully observed. We make the following contributions marrying ideas from statistical signal processing with bandits: (i) We propose an algorithmic pipeline named EMKF-Bandit, which integrates system identification, filtering, and classic contextual bandit algorithms into an iterative method alternating between latent parameter estimation and decision making. (ii) We analyze EMKF-Bandit when we select Thompson sampling as the bandit algorithm and show that it incurs a sub-linear regret under conditions on filtering. (iii) We conduct numerical simulations that demonstrate the benefits and practical applicability of the proposed pipeline.

Alignment of Large Language models (LLMs) is crucial for safe and trustworthy deployment in applications. Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) has emerged as an effective technique to align LLMs to human preferences, and broader utilities, but it requires updating billions of model parameters which is computationally expensive. Controlled Decoding, by contrast, provides a mechanism for aligning a model at inference time without retraining. However, single-agent decoding approaches often struggle to adapt to diverse tasks due to the complexity and variability inherent in these tasks. To strengthen the test-time performance w.r.t the target task, we propose a mixture of agents-based decoding strategies leveraging the existing off-the-shelf aligned LLM policies. Treating each prior policy as an agent in the spirit of mixture of agent collaboration, we develop a decoding method that allows for inference-time alignment through a token-level selection strategy among multiple agents. For each token, the most suitable LLM is dynamically chosen from a pool of models based on a long-term utility metric. This policy-switching mechanism ensures optimal model selection at each step, enabling efficient collaboration and alignment among LLMs during decoding. Theoretical analysis of our proposed algorithm establishes optimal performance with respect to the target task represented via a target reward, for the given off-the-shelf models. We conduct comprehensive empirical evaluations with open-source aligned models on diverse tasks and preferences, which demonstrates the merits of this approach over single-agent decoding baselines. Notably, COLLAB surpasses the current SoTA decoding strategy, achieving an improvement of {up to 1.56x} in average reward and $71.89\%$ in GPT-4 based win-tie rate.

We study policy optimization in Stackelberg mean field games (MFGs), a hierarchical framework for modeling the strategic interaction between a single leader and an infinitely large population of homogeneous followers. The objective can be formulated as a structured bi-level optimization problem, in which the leader needs to learn a policy maximizing its reward, anticipating the response of the followers. Existing methods for solving these (and related) problems often rely on restrictive independence assumptions between the leader’s and followers’ objectives, use samples inefficiently due to nested-loop algorithm structure, and lack finite-time convergence guarantees. To address these limitations, we propose AC-SMFG, a single-loop actor-critic algorithm that operates on continuously generated Markovian samples. The algorithm alternates between (semi-)gradient updates for the leader, a representative follower, and the mean field, and is simple to implement in practice. We establish the finite-time and finite-sample convergence of the algorithm to a stationary point of the Stackelberg objective. To our knowledge, this is the first Stackelberg MFG algorithm with non-asymptotic convergence guarantees. Our key assumption is a "gradient alignment" condition, which requires that the full policy gradient of the leader can be approximated by a partial component of it, relaxing the existing leader-follower independence assumption. Simulation results in a range of well-established economics environments demonstrate that AC-SMFG outperforms existing multi-agent and MFG learning baselines in policy quality and convergence speed.

Policy optimization from batch data, i.e., offline reinforcement learning (RL) is important when collecting data from a current policy is not possible. This setting incurs distribution mismatch between batch training data and trajectories from the current policy. Pessimistic offsets estimate mismatch using concentration bounds, which possess strong theoretical guarantees and simplicity of implementation. Mismatch may be conservative in sparse data regions and less so otherwise, which can result in under-performing their no-penalty variants in practice. We derive a new pessimistic penalty as the distance between the data and the true distribution using an evaluable one-sample test known as Stein Discrepancy that requires minimal smoothness conditions, and noticeably, allows a mixture family representation of distribution over next states. This entity forms a quantifier of information in offline data, which justifies calling this approach *information-directed pessimism* (IDP) for offline RL. We further establish that this new penalty based on discrete Stein discrepancy yields practical gains in performance while generalizing the regret of prior art to multimodal distributions.

Piecewise stationary stochastic multi-armed bandits have been extensively explored in the risk-neutral and sub-Gaussian setting. In this work, we consider a multi-armed bandit framework in which the reward distributions are heavy-tailed and non-stationary, and evaluate the performance of algorithms using general risk criteria. Specifically, we make the following contributions: (i) We first propose a non-parametric change detection algorithm that can detect general distributional changes in heavy-tailed distributions. (ii)We then propose a truncation-based UCB-type bandit algorithm integrating the above regime change detection algorithm to minimize the regret of the non-stationary learning problem. (iii) Finally, we establish the regret bounds for the proposed bandit algorithm by characterizing the statistical properties of the general change detection algorithm, along with a novel regret analysis.

We consider online reinforcement learning in Mean-Field Games (MFGs). Unlike traditional approaches, we alleviate the need for a mean-field oracle by developing an algorithm that approximates the Mean-Field Equilibrium (MFE) using the single sample path of the generic agent. We call this Sandbox Learning, as it can be used as a warm-start for any agent learning in a multi-agent non-cooperative setting. We adopt a two time-scale approach in which an online fixed-point recursion for the mean-field operates on a slower time-scale, in tandem with a control policy update on a faster time-scale for the generic agent. Given that the underlying Markov Decision Process (MDP) of the agent is communicating, we provide finite sample convergence guarantees in terms of convergence of the mean-field and control policy to the mean-field equilibrium. The sample complexity of the Sandbox learning algorithm is $O(\epsilon^{-4})$ where $\epsilon$ is the MFE approximation error. This is similar to works which assume access to oracle. Finally, we empirically demonstrate the effectiveness of the sandbox learning algorithm in diverse scenarios, including those where the MDP does not necessarily have a single communicating class.

Motivated by situations where the extreme values – as opposed to expected values in the classical stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) setting – are of interest, we propose a distribution-free algorithm for$\textit {extreme bandits}$and characterize its statistical properties. The proposed novel algorithm is index based, where the index is fashioned in a non-parametric way using combinatorics and robust statistics. For distributions having “exponential-like tails” and “polynomial-like tails”, we establish the following results: (i) the proposed algorithm is consistent, i.e., the index corresponding to the best arm will have the largest value asymptotically; (ii) the proposed algorithm achieves vanishing extremal regret under weaker conditions than the existing algorithms. Numerical experiments on the common class of distributions considered in the literature on extreme bandits highlight the superior finite-sample performance of the proposed algorithm compared to the state of the art.

We present a new finite-sample analysis of Catoni’s M-estimator under adversarial contamination, where an adversary is allowed to corrupt a fraction of the samples arbitrarily. We make minimal assumptions on the distribution of the uncontaminated random variables, namely, we only assume the existence of a known upper bound $\upsilon_{\varepsilon} > 0$ on the $(1+\varepsilon)^{th}$ central moment of the random variables, namely, for $\varepsilon \in (0,1]$ \[ \mathbb{E}_{X_1 \sim \mathcal{D}} \Big| X_1 - \mu \Big|^{1+\varepsilon} \leq \upsilon_{\varepsilon}. \]{We} provide a lower bound on the minimax error rate for the mean estimation problem under adversarial corruption under this weak assumption, and establish that the proposed M-estimator achieves this lower bound (up to multiplicative constants). When the variance is infinite, the tolerance to contamination of any estimator reduces as $\varepsilon \downarrow 0$. We establish a tight upper bound that characterizes this bargain. To illustrate the usefulness of the derived robust M-estimator in an online setting, we present a bandit algorithm for the partially identifiable best arm identification problem that improves upon the sample complexity of the state of the art algorithms.

In this paper, we extend the remarkable M-estimator of Catoni \citep{Cat12} to situations where the variance is infinite. In particular, given a sequence of i.i.d random variables $\{X_i\}_{i=1}^n$ from distribution $\mathcal{D}$ over $\mathbb{R}$ with mean $\mu$, we only assume the existence of a known upper bound $\upsilon_{\varepsilon} > 0$ on the $(1+\varepsilon)^{th}$ central moment of the random variables, namely, for $\varepsilon \in (0,1]$ \[ \mathbb{E}_{X_1 \sim \mathcal{D}} \Big| X_1 - \mu \Big|^{1+\varepsilon} \leq \upsilon_{\varepsilon}. \]{The} extension is non-trivial owing to the difficulty in characterizing the roots of certain polynomials of degree smaller than $2$. The proposed estimator has the same order of magnitude and the same asymptotic constant as in \citet{Cat12}, but for the case of bounded moments. We further propose a version of the estimator that does not require even the knowledge of $\upsilon_{\varepsilon}$, but adapts the moment bound in a data-driven manner. Finally, to illustrate the usefulness of the derived non-asymptotic confidence bounds, we consider an application in multi-armed bandits and propose best arm identification algorithms, in the fixed confidence setting, that outperform the state of the art.

Learning in a Markov Decision Process (MDP) framework is a fundamental challenge for sequential decision making under uncertainty. In this paper, we present a new perspective on model-based learning in MDPs using ideas from renewal theory. In particular, we reformulate the problem of controlling a Markov chain to one of controlling a renewal reward process with bandit feedback. For this reformulated problem, we provide a regret decomposition that informs novel algorithm design for MDPs. We further provide a naive algorithm based¨ on this reformulation along with the regret analysis. A simple greedy variant of the proposed algorithm is shown to empirically outperform popular value-based methods for finite MDPs.

In this work, we propose a non-parametric and robust change detection algorithm to detect multiple change points in time series data under non-adversarial contamination. The algorithm is designed for the offline setting, where the objective is to detect changes when all data are received. We only make weak moment assumptions on the inliers (uncorrupted data) to handle a large class of distributions. The robust scan statistic in the change detection algorithm is fashioned using mean estimators based on influence functions. We establish the consistency of the estimated change point indexes as the number of samples increases, and provide empirical evidence to support the consistency results.

This paper deals with the problem of information fusion for state/ parameter estimation in social networks. The information consists of the sentiment of the opinions expressed by people. The average sentiment of the opinions expressed by people constitutes a noisy observation of an unknown state. A controller seeks to estimate the state by controlling the dynamics of sampling that minimizes an objective function comprising of state estimation error and the cost of acquiring sentiments. The stochastic control problem is formulated as a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP), and sufficient conditions under which a myopic policy forms an upperbound to the optimal policy of the POMDP are provided. The myopic policy minimizes the immediate costs while ignoring the expected costs incurred over time, and is computationally inexpensive for large state spaces. Finally, the performance of the proposed myopic policy is evaluated for POMDP formulation whose parameters are computed from real-data set obtained from Twitter.