This paper studies the problem of Continuous-Time Counterfactual Quantile Learning (CT-CQL) for risk-sensitive policy optimization. In many real-world applications such as patient blood pressure monitoring, financial market analysis, and autonomous driving, data is high-frequency and continuously evolving. However, most existing causal inference methods focus on expectation-based or discrete-time counterfactual reasoning, which fail to capture fine-grained temporal dynamics. As a result, policies optimized under these frameworks may overlook critical risks—e.g., a treatment policy with good average outcomes may still expose patients to life-threatening episodes. To overcome these limitations, we propose CT-CQL, a framework built upon a novel identification theory and featuring three key components: (1) modeling full counterfactual outcome distributions via Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) governed by the Fokker–Planck Equation (FPE); (2) enhancing robustness through a minimax objective that minimizes FPE residuals under adversarial perturbations; and (3) mitigating confounding bias using a double-robust AIPW loss. CT-CQL enables robust policy optimization by identifying optimal intervention strategies that maximize expected utility while adhering to real-world budget and safety constraints. Experiments on widely-used benchmarks and the real-world MIMIC-III dataset demonstrate the validation and superiority of the proposed method. The project is available at: https://github.com/Eliza-YiHe/CT-CQL/

Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) is widely used for adapting large language models (LLMs) to specific domains due to its efficiency and modularity. However, vanilla LoRA struggles with task conflicts in multi-task scenarios. Recent works adopt Mixture of Experts (MoE) by treating each LoRA module as an expert, thereby mitigating task interference through multiple specialized LoRA modules. While effective, these methods often isolate knowledge within individual tasks, failing to fully exploit the shared knowledge across related tasks. In this paper, we establish a connection between single LoRA and multi-LoRA MoE, integrating them into a unified framework. We demonstrate that the dynamic routing of multiple LoRAs is functionally equivalent to rank partitioning and block-level activation within a single LoRA. To systematically study the role of expert granularity in multi-task learning, we conduct an in-depth investigation within our unified framework. Our empirical results show that a finer-grained expert partitioning not only yields significant performance gains but also captures more diverse parameter patterns. These empirical findings are supported by our theoretical analysis, which proves that finer granularity expands parameter space diversity and tightens the model's error bound. Building on these findings, we propose Single-ranked Mixture of Experts LoRA (SMoRA ), which embeds MoE into LoRA by treating each rank as an independent expert. With a dynamic rank-wise activation mechanism, SMoRA facilitates a flexible composition of knowledge, enabling the model to learn deeper and more diverse features while mitigating task conflicts. Experiments demonstrate that SMoRA activates fewer parameters yet achieves better performance in multi-task scenarios.

In the online ride-hailing pricing context, companies often conduct randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and utilize uplift models to assess the effect of discounts on customer orders, which substantially influences competitive market outcomes. However, due to the high cost of RCTs, the proportion of trial data relative to observational data is small, which only accounts for 0.65% of total traffic in our context, resulting in significant bias when generalizing to the broader user base. Additionally, the complexity of industrial processes reduces the quality of RCT data, which is often subject to heterogeneity from potential interference and selection bias, making it difficult to correct. Moreover, existing data fusion methods are challenging to implement effectively in complex industrial settings due to the high dimensionality of features and the strict assumptions that are hard to verify with real-world data. To address these issues, we propose an empirical data fusion method called pseudo-sample matching. By generating pseudo-samples from biased, low-quality RCT data and matching them with the most similar samples from large-scale observational data, the method expands the RCT dataset while mitigating its heterogeneity. We validated the method through simulation experiments, conducted offline and online tests using real-world data. In a week-long online experiment, we achieved a 0.41% improvement in profit, which is a considerable gain when scaled to industrial scenarios with hundreds of millions in revenue. In addition, we discuss the harm to model training, offline evaluation, and online economic benefits when the RCT data quality is not high, and emphasize the importance of improving RCT data quality in industrial scenarios. Further details of the simulation experiments can be found in the GitHub repository https://github.com/Kairong-Han/Pseudo-Matching.

In cloud-centric recommender system, regular data exchanges between user devices and cloud could potentially elevate bandwidth demands and privacy risks. On-device recommendation emerges as a viable solution by performing reranking locally to alleviate these concerns. Existing methods primarily focus on developing local adaptive parameters, while potentially neglecting the critical role of tailor-made model architecture. Insights from broader research domains suggest that varying data distributions might favor distinct architectures for better fitting. In addition, imposing a uniform model structure across heterogeneous devices may result in risking inefficacy on less capable devices or sub-optimal performance on those with sufficient capabilities. In response to these gaps, our paper introduces Forward-OFA, a novel approach for the dynamic construction of device-specific networks (both structure and parameters). Forward-OFA employs a structure controller to selectively determine whether each block needs to be assembled for each device. However, during the training of the structure controller, these assembled heterogeneous structures are jointly optimized, where the co-adaption among blocks might encounter gradient conflicts. To mitigate this, Forward-OFA is designed to establish a structure-guided mapping of real-time behaviors to individual parameters of assembled networks. Structure-related parameters and parallel components within the mapper prevent each part from receiving heterogeneous gradients from others, thus bypassing the gradient conflicts for coupled optimization. Besides, direct mapping enables Forward-OFA to achieve adaptation through only one forward pass, allowing for swift adaptation to changing interests and eliminating the requirement for on-device backpropagation. Further sophisticated design protects user privacy and makes the consumption of additional modules on device negligible. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of Forward-OFA.

Large Language Models (LLMs) for Recommendation (LLM4Rec) is a promising research direction that has demonstrated exceptional performance in this field. However, its inability to capture real-time user preferences greatly limits the practical application of LLM4Rec because (i) LLMs are costly to train and infer frequently, and (ii) LLMs struggle to access real-time data (its large number of parameters poses an obstacle to deployment on devices). Fortunately, small recommendation models (SRMs) can effectively supplement these shortcomings of LLM4Rec diagrams by consuming minimal resources for frequent training and inference, and by conveniently accessing real-time data on devices.

Heterophilic Graph Neural Networks (HGNNs) have shown promising results for semi-supervised learning tasks on graphs. Notably, most real-world heterophilic graphs are composed of a mixture of nodes with different neighbor patterns, exhibiting local node-level homophilic and heterophilic structures. However, existing works are only devoted to designing better unified HGNN backbones for node classification tasks on heterophilic and homophilic graphs simultaneously, and their analyses of HGNN performance concerning nodes are only based on the determined data distribution without exploring the effect caused by the difference of structural pattern between training and testing nodes. How to learn invariant node representations on heterophilic graphs to handle this structure difference or distribution shifts remains unexplored. In this paper, we first discuss the limitations of previous graph-based invariant learning methods in addressing the heterophilic graph structure distribution shifts from the perspective of data augmentation. Then, we propose HEI, a framework capable of generating invariant node representations through incorporating Heterophily information, the node's estimated neighbor pattern, to infer latent Environments without augmentation, which are then used for Invariant prediction. We provide detailed theoretical guarantees to clarify the reasonability of HEI. Extensive experiments on various benchmarks and backbones can also demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of our method compared with existing state-of-the-art baselines.

Information Extraction (IE) and Text Classification (CLS) serve as the fundamental pillars of NLU, with both disciplines relying on analyzing input sequences to categorize outputs into pre-established schemas. However, there is no existing encoder-based model that can unify IE and CLS tasks from this perspective. To fully explore the foundation shared within NLU tasks, we have proposed arecursive method with explicit schema instructor for universal NLU. Specifically, we firstly redefine the true universal information extraction (UIE) with a formal formulation that covers almost all extraction schemas, including quadruples and quintuples which remain unsolved for previous UIE models. Then, we expands the formulation to all CLS and multi-modal NLU tasks. Based on that, we introduce RexUniNLU, an universal NLU solution that employs explicit schema constraints for IE and CLS, which encompasses all IE and CLS tasks and prevent incorrect connections between schema and input sequence. To avoid interference between different schemas, we reset the position ids and attention mask matrices. Extensive experiments are conducted on IE, CLS in both English and Chinese, and multi-modality, revealing the effectiveness and superiority. Our codes are publicly released athttps://modelscope.cn/models/iic/nlp_deberta_rex-uninlu_chinese-base.

Treatment effect estimation from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal inference, and its critical challenge is to address the confounding bias arising from the confounders. The effectiveness of the conventional methods proposed to solve this problem depends on the unconfoundedness assumption. In practice, however, the unconfoundedness assumption is frequently violated since we cannot guarantee that all the confounders are measured. To this end, recent studies suggest using auxiliary network architectures to mine information about unmeasured confounders in the data to relax this assumption. However, these methods cannot address the confounding bias from unmeasured confounders unrelated to the network information. Inspired by the insight that some neighboring features that influence one's treatment choice (e.g., which movie to watch) but do not affect the outcome (e.g., assessment of the movie) can be treated as instrumental variables (IVs), we propose a novel Network Instrumental Variable Regression (NetIV) framework exploits IV information from neighborhoods to perform a two-stage regression for treatment effect estimation. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our NetIV method outperforms the state-of-the-art methods for treatment effect estimation in the presence of unmeasured confounders.

Heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation is vital for understanding the change of treatment effect across individuals or subgroups. Most existing HTE estimation methods focus on addressing selection bias induced by imbalanced distributions of confounders between treated and control units, but ignore distribution shifts across populations. Thereby, their applicability has been limited to the in-distribution (ID) population, which shares a similar distribution with the training dataset. In real-world applications, where population distributions are subject to continuous changes, there is an urgent need for stable HTE estimation across out-of-distribution (OOD) populations, which, however, remains an open problem. As pioneers in resolving this problem, we propose a novel Stable Balanced Representation Learning with Hierarchical-Attention Paradigm (SBRL-HAP) framework, which consists of 1) Balancing Regularizer for eliminating selection bias, 2) Independence Regularizer for addressing the distribution shift issue, 3) Hierarchical-Attention Paradigm for coordination between balance and independence. In this way, SBRL- HAP regresses counterfactual outcomes using ID data, while ensuring the resulting HTE estimation can be successfully generalized to out-of-distribution scenarios, thereby enhancing the model's applicability in real-world settings. Extensive experiments conducted on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our SBRL-HAP in achieving stable HTE estimation across OOD populations, with an average 10% reduction in the error metric PEHE and 11% decrease in the ATE bias, compared to the SOTA methods.

In the era of big data, decision-making in social networks may introduce bias due to interconnected individuals. For instance, in peer-to-peer loan platforms on the Web, considering an individual's attributes along with those of their interconnected neighbors, including sensitive attributes, is vital for loan approval or rejection downstream. Unfortunately, conventional fairness approaches often assume independent individuals, overlooking the impact of one person's sensitive attribute on others' decisions. To fill this gap, we introduce "Interference-aware Fairness" (IAF) by defining two forms of discrimination as Self-Fairness (SF) and Peer-Fairness (PF), leveraging advances in interference analysis within causal inference. Specifically, SF and PF causally capture and distinguish discrimination stemming from an individual's sensitive attributes (with fixed neighbors' sensitive attributes) and from neighbors' sensitive attributes (with fixed self's sensitive attributes), separately. Hence, a network-informed decision model is fair only when SF and PF are satisfied simultaneously, as interventions in individuals' sensitive attributes or those of their peers both yield equivalent outcomes. To achieve IAF, we develop a deep doubly robust framework to estimate and regularize SF and PF metrics for decision models. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets validate our proposed concepts and methods.

Commentary provides readers with a deep understanding of events by presenting diverse arguments and evidence. However, creating commentary is a time-consuming task, even for skilled commentators. Large language models (LLMs) have simplified the process of natural language generation, but their direct application in commentary creation still faces challenges due to unique task requirements. These requirements can be categorized into two levels: 1) fundamental requirements, which include creating well-structured and logically consistent narratives, and 2) advanced requirements, which involve generating quality arguments and providing convincing evidence. In this paper, we introduce Xinyu, an efficient LLM-based system designed to assist commentators in generating Chinese commentaries. To meet the fundamental requirements, we deconstruct the generation process into sequential steps, proposing targeted strategies and supervised fine-tuning (SFT) for each step. To address the advanced requirements, we present an argument ranking model for arguments and establish a comprehensive evidence database that includes up-to-date events and classic books, thereby strengthening the substantiation of the evidence with retrieval augmented generation (RAG) technology. To evaluate the generated commentaries more fairly, corresponding to the two-level requirements, we introduce a comprehensive evaluation metric that considers five distinct perspectives in commentary generation. Our experiments confirm the effectiveness of our proposed system. We also observe a significant increase in the efficiency of commentators in real-world scenarios, with the average time spent on creating a commentary dropping from 4 hours to 20 minutes. Importantly, such an increase in efficiency does not compromise the quality of the commentaries.

Large-scale vision-language (V-L) models have demonstrated remarkable generalization capabilities for downstream tasks through prompt tuning. However, the mechanisms behind the learned text representations are unknown, limiting further generalization gains, and the limitations are more severe when faced with the prevalent class imbalances seen in web-sourced datasets. Recent advances in the neural collapse (NC) phenomenon of vision-only models suggest that the optimal representation structure is the simplex ETF, which paves the way to study representations in V-L models. In this paper, we make the first attempt to use NC for examining the representations in V-L models via prompt tuning. It is found that NC optimality of text-to-image representations shows a positive correlation with downstream generalizability, which is more severe under class imbalance settings. To improve the representations, we propose Neural-collapse-anchored Prompt Tuning (NPT), a novel method that learns prompts with text and image representations that satisfy the same simplex Equiangular Tight Frame (ETF). NPT incorporates two regularization terms: language-modality collapse and multi-modality isomorphism; and it is compatible with other prompt tuning methods. Extensive experiments show that NPT can consistently help to improve existing prompt tuning techniques across 11 datasets for both balanced and imbalanced settings.

Modern online platforms are increasingly employing recommendation systems to address information overload and improve user engagement. There is an evolving paradigm in this research field that recommendation network learning occurs both on the cloud and on edges with knowledge transfer in between (i.e., edge-cloud collaboration). Recent works push this filed further by enabling edge-specific context-aware adaptivity, where model parameters are updated in real-time based on incoming on-edge data. However, we argue that frequent data exchanges between the cloud and edges often lead to inefficiency and waste of communication/computation resources, as considerable parameter updates might be redundant. To investigate this problem, we introduce Intelligent Edge-Cloud Parameter Request Model (IntellectReq). IntellectReq is designed to operate on edge, evaluating the cost-benefit landscape of parameter requests with minimal computation and communication overhead. We formulate this as a novel learning task, aimed at the detection of out-of-distribution data, thereby fine-tuning adaptive communication strategies. Further, we employ statistical mapping techniques to convert real-time user behavior into a normal distribution, thereby employing multi-sample outputs to quantify the model's uncertainty and thus its generalization capabilities. Rigorous empirical validation on four widely-adopted benchmarks evaluates our approach, evidencing a marked improvement in the efficiency and generalizability of edge-cloud collaborative and dynamic recommendation systems.

Estimating individual treatment effects in networked observational data is a crucial and increasingly recognized problem. One major challenge of this problem is violating the stable unit treatment value assumption (SUTVA), which posits that a unit’s outcome is independent of others’ treatment assignments. However, in network data, a unit’s outcome is influenced not only by its treatment (i.e., direct effect) but also by the treatments of others (i.e., spillover effect) since the presence of interference. Moreover, the interference from other units is always heterogeneous (e.g., friends with similar interests have a different influence than those with different interests). In this article, we focus on the problem of estimating individual treatment effects (including direct effect and spillover effect) under heterogeneous interference in networks. To address this problem, we propose a novel dual weighting regression (DWR) algorithm by simultaneously learning attention weights to capture the heterogeneous interference from neighbors and sample weights to eliminate the complex confounding bias in networks. We formulate the learning process as a bi-level optimization problem. Theoretically, we give a generalization error bound for the expected estimation error of the individual treatment effects. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate that the proposed DWR algorithm outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in estimating individual treatment effects under heterogeneous network interference.

In the training procedures of many real-world learning models, gathering and annotating decent amounts of labeled data can be cost-prohibitive. To mitigate this data-hungry problem, active learning (AL) and semi-supervised learning (SSL) are frequently adopted as two effective but often isolated means. Some recent studies explored the potential of combining AL and SSL to better probe the unlabeled data. However, almost all these contemporary SSL-AL works use a simple combination strategy, ignoring SSL and AL's inherent relation. Further, other methods suffer from high computational costs when dealing with large-scale, high-dimensional datasets. Motivated by the industry practice of labeling data, we first propose an innovativeInconsistency-based virtual aDvErsarialActiveLearning (IDEAL) algorithm to further investigate SSL-AL's potential superiority and achieve mutual enhancement of AL and SSL, i.e., SSL propagates label information to unlabeled samples and provides smoothed embeddings for AL, while AL excludes samples with inconsistent predictions and considerable uncertainty for SSL. We estimate unlabeled samples’ inconsistency by augmentation strategies of different granularities, including fine-grained continuous perturbation exploration and coarse-grained data transformations. Moreover, to solve the problem that the utilization efficiency of unlabeled samples is still insufficient in the process of semi-supervised training, we extend our IDEAL to a curriculum-guided version, namely SPL-IDEAL algorithm. The SPL-IDEAL algorithm can regularize the training process towards better regions in parameter space and denoise the pseudo labels with low confidence, achieving better performance. The extensive experiments, in both text and image benchmark datasets, validate the effectiveness of our proposed IDEAL and SPL-IDEAL algorithms, comparing them against state-of-the-art baselines. Two real-world case studies visualize the practical industrial value of applying and deploying the proposed data sampling algorithms.

Driven by empirical risk minimization, machine learning algorithm tends to exploit subtle statistical correlations existing in the training environment for prediction, while the spurious correlations are unstable across environments, leading to poor generalization performance. Accordingly, the problem of the Out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization aims to exploit an invariant/stable relationship between features and outcomes that generalizes well on all possible environments. To address the spurious correlation induced by the selection bias, in this article, we propose a novel Clique-based Causal Feature Separation (CCFS) algorithm by explicitly incorporating the causal structure to identify causal features of outcome for OOD generalization. Specifically, the proposed CCFS algorithm identifies the largest clique in the learned causal skeleton. Theoretically, we guarantee that either the largest clique or the rest of the causal skeleton is exactly the set of all causal features of the outcome. Finally, we separate the causal features from the non-causal ones with a sample-reweighting decorrelator for OOD prediction. Extensive experiments validate the effectiveness of the proposed CCFS method on both causal feature identification and OOD generalization tasks.

Recommendation performance usually exhibits a long-tail distribution over users — a small portion of head users enjoy much more accurate recommendation services than the others. We reveal two sources of this performance heterogeneity problem: the uneven distribution of historical interactions (a natural source); and the biased training of recommender models (a model source). As addressing this problem cannot sacrifice the overall performance, a wise choice is to eliminate the model bias while maintaining the natural heterogeneity. The key to debiased training lies in eliminating the effect of confounders that influence both the user's historical behaviors and the next behavior. The emerging causal recommendation methods achieve this by modeling the causal effect between user behaviors, however potentially neglect unobserved confounders (e.g., friend suggestions) that are hard to measure in practice. To address unobserved confounders, we resort to the front-door adjustment (FDA) in causal theory and propose a causal multi-teacher distillation framework (CausalD). FDA requires proper mediators in order to estimate the causal effects of historical behaviors on the next behavior. To achieve this, we equip CausalD with multiple heterogeneous recommendation models to model the mediator distribution. Then, the causal effect estimated by FDA is the expectation of recommendation prediction over the mediator distribution and the prior distribution of historical behaviors, which is technically achieved by multi-teacher ensemble. To pursue efficient inference, CausalD further distills multiple teachers into one student model to directly infer the causal effect for making recommendations. We instantiate CausalD on two representative models, DeepFM and DIN, and conduct extensive experiments on three real-world datasets, which validate the superiority of CausalD over state-of-the-art methods. Through in-depth analysis, we find that CausalD largely improves the performance of tail users, reduces the performance heterogeneity, and enhances the overall performance.

In recommender systems, click behaviors play a fundamental role in mining users’ interests and training models (clicked items as positive samples). Such signals are implicit feedback and are arguably less representative of users’ inherent interests. Most existing works denoise implicit feedback by introducing external signals, such as gaze, dwell time, and “like” behaviors. However, such explicit feedback is not always routinely available, or might be problematic to collect on a large scale. In this paper, we identify that an interaction’s related structural patterns in its neighborhood graph are potentially correlated with some outcome of implicit feedback (i.e., users’ ratings after consuming items), analogous to findings in other domains such as social networks. Inspired by this finding, we propose a novel Structure LEarning based Denoising (SLED) framework for denoising recommendation without explicit signals, which consists of two phases: center-aware graph structure learning and denoised recommendation . Phase 1 pre-trains a structural encoder in a self-supervised manner and learns to capture an interaction’s related structural patterns in its neighborhood graph. Phase 2 transfers the structure encoder to downstream recommendation datasets, which helps to down-weight the effect of noisy interactions on user interest modeling and loss calculation. We collect a relatively noisy industrial dataset across several days during a period of product promotion festival. Extensive experiments on this dataset and multiple public datasets demonstrate that the proposed SLED framework can significantly improve the recommendation quality over various base recommendation models.

Tackling the pervasive issue of data sparsity in recommender systems, we present an insightful investigation into the burgeoning area of non-overlapping cross-domain recommendation, a technique that facilitates the transfer of interaction knowledge across domains without necessitating inter-domain user/item correspondence. Existing approaches have predominantly depended on auxiliary information, such as user reviews and item tags, to establish inter-domain connectivity, but these resources may become inaccessible due to privacy and commercial constraints. To address these limitations, our study introduces an in-depth exploration of Target-unknown Cross-domain Recommendation (CDR), which contends with the distinct challenge of lacking target domain information during the training phase in the source domain. We illustrate two critical obstacles inherent to Target-unknown CDR: the lack of an inter-domain bridge due to insufficient user/item correspondence or side information and the potential pitfalls of source-domain training biases when confronting distribution shifts across domains. To surmount these obstacles, we propose the CMCDR framework, a novel approach that leverages causal mechanisms extracted from meta-user/item representations. The CMCDR framework employs a vector-quantized encoder–decoder architecture, enabling the disentanglement of user/item characteristics. We posit that domain-transferable knowledge is more readily discernible from user/item characteristics, i.e., the meta-representations, rather than raw users and items. Capitalizing on these meta-representations, our CMCDR framework adeptly incorporates an attention-driven predictor that approximates the front-door adjustment method grounded in causal theory. This cutting-edge strategy effectively mitigates source-domain training biases and enhances generalization capabilities against distribution shifts. Extensive experiments demonstrate the empirical effectiveness and the rationality of CMCDR for target-unknown cross-domain recommendation.

In causal inference, it is common to select a subset of observed covariates, named the adjustment features, to be adjusted for estimating the treatment effect. For real-world applications, the abundant covariates are usually observed, which contain extra variables partially correlating to the treatment (treatment-only variables, e.g., instrumental variables) or the outcome (outcome-only variables, e.g., precision variables) besides the confounders (variables that affect both the treatment and outcome). In principle, unbiased treatment effect estimation is achieved once the adjustment features contain all the confounders. However, the performance of empirical estimations varies a lot with different extra variables. To solve this issue, variable separation/selection for treatment effect estimation has received growing attention when the extra variables contain instrumental variables and precision variables.

Effective personalized incentives can improve user experience and increase platform revenue, resulting in a win-win situation between users and e-commerce companies. Previous studies have used uplift modeling methods to estimate the conditional average treatment effects of users' incentives, and then placed the incentives by maximizing the sum of estimated treatment effects under a limited budget. However, some users will always buy whether incentives are given or not, and they will actively collect and use incentives if provided, named "Always Buyers". Identifying and predicting these "Always Buyers" and reducing incentive delivery to them can lead to a more rational incentive allocation. In this paper, we first divide users into five strata from an individual counterfactual perspective, and reveal the failure of previous uplift modeling methods to identify and predict the "Always Buyers". Then, we propose principled counterfactual identification and estimation methods and prove their unbiasedness. We further propose a counterfactual entire-space multi-task learning approach to accurately perform personalized incentive policy learning with a limited budget. We also theoretically derive a lower bound on the reward of the learned policy. Extensive experiments are conducted on three real-world datasets with two common incentive scenarios, and the results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approaches.

Domain generalization (DG) is a prevalent problem in real-world applications, which aims to train well-generalized models for unseen target domains by utilizing several source domains. Since domain labels, i.e., which domain each data point is sampled from, naturally exist, most DG algorithms treat them as a kind of supervision information to improve the generalization performance. However, the original domain labels may not be the optimal supervision signal due to the lack of domain heterogeneity, i.e., the diversity among domains. For example, a sample in one domain may be closer to another domain, its original label thus can be the noise to disturb the generalization learning. Although some methods try to solve it by re-dividing domains and applying the newly generated dividing pattern, the pattern they choose may not be the most heterogeneous due to the lack of the metric for heterogeneity. In this paper, we point out that domain heterogeneity mainly lies in variant features under the invariant learning framework. With contrastive learning, we propose a learning potential-guided metric for domain heterogeneity by promoting learning variant features. Then we notice the differences between seeking variance-based heterogeneity and training invariance-based generalizable model. We thus propose a novel method called H eterogeneity-based Two-stage Contrastive Learning (HTCL) for the DG task. In the first stage, we generate the most heterogeneous dividing pattern with our contrastive metric. In the second stage, we employ an invariance-aimed contrastive learning by re-building pairs with the stable relation hinted by domains and classes, which better utilizes generated domain labels for generalization learning. Extensive experiments show HTCL better digs heterogeneity and yields great generalization performance.

Multi-modal Sentiment Analysis (MSA) is a hotspot of multi-modal fusion. To make full use of the correlation and complementarity between modalities in the process of fusing multi-modal data, we propose a two-stage framework of Contrastive Language-Audio Pre-training (CLAP) for the MSA task: 1) Making contrastive pre-training on an unlabeled large-scaled external data to yield better single-modal representations; 2) Adopting a Transformer-based multi-modal fusion module, to achieve further single-modal feature optimization and sentiment prediction via the task-driven training process. Our work fully demonstrates the importance and necessity of core elements such as pre-training, contrastive learning, and representation learning for the MSA task and significantly outperforms existing methods on two well-recognized MSA benchmarks.

Legal judgment prediction (LJP) is a significant task in legal intelligence, which aims to assist the judges and determine the judgment result based on the case's fact description. The judgment result consists of law articles, charge, and prison term. The law articles serve as the basis for the charge and the prison term, which can be divided into two types, named as charge-related law article and term-related law article, respectively. Recently, many methods have been proposed and made tremendous progress in LJP. However, the existing methods only focus on the prediction of the charge-related law articles, ignoring the term-related law articles (e.g., laws about lenient treatment), which limits the performance in the prison term prediction. In this paper, following the actual legal process, we expand the law article prediction as a multi-label classification task that includes both the charge-related law articles and term-related law articles and propose a novel multi-law aware LJP (ML-LJP) method to improve the performance of LJP. Given the case's fact description, firstly, the label (e.g., law article and charge) definitions in the Code of Law are used to transform the representation of the fact into several label-specific representations and make the prediction of the law articles and the charge. To distinguish the similar content of different label definitions, contrastive learning is conducted in the training. Then, a graph attention network (GAT) is applied to learn the interactions among the multiple law articles for the prediction of the prison term. Since numbers (e.g., amount of theft and weight of drugs) are important for LJP but often ignored by conventional encoders, we design a corresponding number representation method to locate and better represent these effective numbers. Extensive experiments on real-world dataset show that our method achieves the best results compared to the state-of-the-art models, especially in the task of prison term prediction where ML-LJP achieves a 10.07% relative improvement over the best baseline.

Device Model Generalization (DMG) is a practical yet under-investigated research topic for on-device machine learning applications. It aims to improve the generalization ability of pre-trained models when deployed on resource-constrained devices, such as improving the performance of pre-trained cloud models on smart mobiles. While quite a lot of works have investigated the data distribution shift across clouds and devices, most of them focus on model fine-tuning on personalized data for individual devices to facilitate DMG. Despite their promising, these approaches require on-device re-training, which is practically infeasible due to the overfitting problem and high time delay when performing gradient calculation on real-time data. In this paper, we argue that the computational cost brought by fine-tuning can be rather unnecessary. We consequently present a novel perspective to improving DMG without increasing computational cost, i.e., device-specific parameter generation which directly maps data distribution to parameters. Specifically, we propose an efficient Device-cloUd collaborative parametErs generaTion framework (DUET). DUET is deployed on a powerful cloud server that only requires the low cost of forwarding propagation and low time delay of data transmission between the device and the cloud. By doing so, DUET can rehearse the device-specific model weight realizations conditioned on the personalized real-time data for an individual device. Importantly, our DUET elegantly connects the cloud and device as a “duet” collaboration, frees the DMG from fine-tuning, and enables a faster and more accurate DMG paradigm. We conduct an extensive experimental study of DUET on three public datasets, and the experimental results confirm our framework’s effectiveness and generalisability for different DMG tasks.

Uplift modeling aims to measure the incremental effect, which we call uplift, of a strategy or action on the users from randomized experiments or observational data. Most existing uplift methods only use individual data, which are usually not informative enough to capture the unobserved and complex hidden factors regarding the uplift. Furthermore, uplift modeling scenario usually has scarce labeled data, especially for the treatment group, which also poses a great challenge for model training. Considering that the neighbors’ features and the social relationships are very informative to characterize a user’s uplift, we propose a graph neural network-based framework with two uplift estimators, called GNUM, to learn from the social graph for uplift estimation. Specifically, we design the first estimator based on a class-transformed target. The estimator is general for all types of outcomes, and is able to comprehensively model the treatment and control group data together to approach the uplift. When the outcome is discrete, we further design the other uplift estimator based on our defined partial labels, which is able to utilize more labeled data from both the treatment and control groups, to further alleviate the label scarcity problem. Comprehensive experiments on a public dataset and two industrial datasets show a superior performance of our proposed framework over state-of-the-art methods under various evaluation metrics. The proposed algorithms have been deployed online to serve real-world uplift estimation scenarios.

Domain generalization (DG) aims to learn from multiple source domains a model that can generalize well on unseen target domains. Existing DG methods mainly learn the representations with invariant marginal distribution of the input features, however, the invariance of the conditional distribution of the labels given the input features is more essential for unknown domain prediction. Meanwhile, the existing of unobserved confounders which affect the input features and labels simultaneously cause spurious correlation and hinder the learning of the invariant relationship contained in the conditional distribution. Interestingly, with a causal view on the data generating process, we find that the input features of one domain are valid instrumental variables for other domains. Inspired by this finding, we propose an instrumental variable-driven DG method (IV-DG) by removing the bias of the unobserved confounders with two-stage learning. In the first stage, it learns the conditional distribution of the input features of one domain given input features of another domain. In the second stage, it estimates the relationship by predicting labels with the learned conditional distribution. Theoretical analyses and simulation experiments show that it accurately captures the invariant relationship. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that IV-DG method yields state-of-the-art results.

In this paper, we focus on the problem of stable prediction across unknown test data, where the test distribution might be different from the training one and is always agnostic when model training. In such a case, previous machine learning methods might exploit subtly spurious correlations induced by non-causal variables in training data for prediction. Those spurious correlations are changeable across data, leading to instability of prediction across unknown test data. To address this problem, we propose a conditional independence test based algorithm to screen out part of non-causal features and reduce those spurious correlations for a more stable prediction by leveraging a seed variable. We show, both theoretically and with empirical experiments, that our algorithm can precisely screen out the isolated non-causal variables, which have no causal relationship with other variables, and remove the spurious correlations induced by them, increasing the stability of prediction across unknown test data. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art methods for stable prediction across unknown test data.

Machine learning algorithms with empirical risk minimization are vulnerable under distributional shifts due to the greedy adoption of all the correlations found in training data. There is an emerging literature on tackling this problem by minimizing the worst-case risk over an uncertainty set. However, existing methods mostly construct ambiguity sets by treating all variables equally regardless of the stability of their correlations with the target, resulting in the overwhelmingly-large uncertainty set and low confidence of the learner. In this paper, we propose a novel Stable Adversarial Learning (SAL) algorithm that leverages heterogeneous data sources to construct a more practical uncertainty set and conduct differentiated robustness optimization, where covariates are differentiated according to the stability of their correlations with the target. We theoretically show that our method is tractable for stochastic gradient-based optimization and provide the performance guarantees for our method. Empirical studies on both simulation and real datasets validate the effectiveness of our method in terms of uniformly good performance across unknown distributional shifts.

In observational studies, confounder separation and balancing are the fundamental problems of treatment effect estimation. Most of the previous methods focused on addressing the problem of confounder balancing by treating all observed pre-treatment variables as confounders, ignoring confounder separation. In general, not all the observed pre-treatment variables are confounders that refer to the common causes of the treatment and the outcome, some variables only contribute to the treatment (i.e., instrumental variables) and some only contribute to the outcome (i.e., adjustment variables). Balancing those non-confounders, including instrumental variables and adjustment variables, would generate additional bias for treatment effect estimation. By modeling the different causal relations among observed pre-treatment variables, treatment variables and outcome variables, we propose a synergistic learning framework to i) separate confounders by learning decomposed representations of both confounders and non-confounders, ii) balance confounder with sample re-weighting technique, and simultaneously iii) estimate the treatment effect in observational studies via counterfactual inference. Empirical results on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed method can precisely decompose confounders and achieve a more precise estimation of treatment effect than baselines.

Influenced by the great success of deep learning via cloud computing and the rapid development of edge chips, research in artificial intelligence (AI) has shifted to both of the computing paradigms, i.e., cloud computing and edge computing. In recent years, we have witnessed significant progress in developing more advanced AI models on cloud servers that surpass traditional deep learning models owing to model innovations (e.g., Transformers, Pretrained families), explosion of training data and soaring computing capabilities. However, edge computing, especially edge and cloud collaborative computing, are still in its infancy to announce their success due to the resource-constrained IoT scenarios with very limited algorithms deployed. In this survey, we conduct a systematic review for both cloud and edge AI. Specifically, we are the first to set up the collaborative learning mechanism for cloud and edge modeling with a thorough review of the architectures that enable such mechanism. We also discuss potentials and practical experiences of some on-going advanced edge AI topics including pretraining models, graph neural networks and reinforcement learning. Finally, we discuss the promising directions and challenges in this field.

Domain generalization (DG) aims to learn from multiple known source domains a model that can generalize well to unknown target domains. The existing DG methods usually exploit the fusion of shared multi-source data to train a generalizable model. However, tremendous data is distributed across lots of places nowadays that can not be shared due to privacy policies. In this paper, we tackle the problem of federated domain generalization where the source datasets can only be accessed and learned locally for privacy protection. We propose a novel framework called Collaborative Semantic Aggregation and Calibration (CSAC) to enable this challenging problem. To fully absorb multi-source semantic information while avoiding unsafe data fusion, we conduct data-free semantic aggregation by fusing the models trained on the separated domains layer-by-layer. To address the semantic dislocation problem caused by domain shift, we further design cross-layer semantic calibration with an attention mechanism to align each semantic level and enhance domain invariance. We unify multi-source semantic learning and alignment in a collaborative way by repeating the semantic aggregation and calibration alternately, keeping each dataset localized, and the data privacy is carefully protected. Extensive experiments show the significant performance of our method in addressing this challenging problem.

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) show promising results for semi-supervised learning tasks on graphs, which become favorable comparing with other approaches. However, similar to other machine learning models, GNN s might suffer from the bias issue because of the distribution shift between training and testing node distributions. More importantly, the test node distribution in the graph is generally unknown during model training in practice. In this paper, we focus on how to address the bias issue on graphs and learn a graph neural network model that is robust to arbitrary unknown distribution shifts. To address this problem, we propose a novel Bias-Aware Graph Neural Network (BA-GNN) framework by learning node representations that are invariant across different distributions for invariant prediction. Specifically, our BA-GNN framework contains two interactive parts, one for bias identification and the other for invariant prediction. To learn invariant feature and aggregated representation, our BA-GNN learns multiple biased graph partitions and selects feature, neighbor, and propagation steps for nodes under multiple biased graph partitions. Extensive experiments show that our proposed BA-G NN framework can significantly improve different GNNs backbones such as GCN, GAT, APPNP and GraphSAGE on different datasets.

Learning individualized causal effect (ICE) plays a vital role in various fields of big data analysis, ranging from fine-grained policy evaluation to personalized treatment development. However, the presence of unmeasured confounders increases the difficulty of estimating ICE in real-world scenarios. A wide range of methods have been proposed to address the unmeasured confounders with the aid of instrument variable (IV), which sources from the treatment randomization. The performance of these methods relies on the well-predefined IVs that satisfy the unconfounded instruments assumption (i.e., the IVs are independent with the unmeasured confounders given observed covariates), which is untestable and leads to finding a valid IV becomes an art rather than science. In this paper, we focus on estimating the ICE with confounded instruments that violate the unconfounded instruments assumption. By considering the conditional independence between the set of confounded instruments and the outcome variable, we propose a novel method, named CVAE-IV, to generate a substitute of the unmeasured confounder with a conditional variational autoencoder. Our theoretical analysis guarantees that the generated confounder substitute will identify unbiased ICE. Extensive experiments on bias demand prediction and Mendelian randomization analysis verify the effectiveness of our method.

While annotating decent amounts of data to satisfy sophisticated learning models can be cost-prohibitive for many real-world applications. Active learning (AL) and semi-supervised learning (SSL) are two effective, but often isolated, means to alleviate the data-hungry problem. Some recent studies explored the potential of combining AL and SSL to better probe the unlabeled data. However, almost all these contemporary SSL-AL works use a simple combination strategy, ignoring SSL and AL's inherent relation. Further, other methods suffer from high computational costs when dealing with large-scale, high-dimensional datasets. Motivated by the industry practice of labeling data, we propose an innovative Inconsistency-based virtual aDvErsarial Active Learning (IDEAL) algorithm to further investigate SSL-AL's potential superiority and achieve mutual enhancement of AL and SSL, i.e., SSL propagates label information to unlabeled samples and provides smoothed embeddings for AL, while AL excludes samples with inconsistent predictions and considerable uncertainty for SSL. We estimate unlabeled samples' inconsistency by augmentation strategies of different granularities, including fine-grained continuous perturbation exploration and coarse-grained data transformations. Extensive experiments, in both text and image domains, validate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, comparing it against state-of-the-art baselines. Two real-world case studies visualize the practical industrial value of applying and deploying the proposed data sampling algorithm.

Collaborative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) has been widely used in many practical applications, where each agent makes a decision based on its own observation. Most mainstream methods treat each local observation as an entirety when modeling the decentralized local utility functions. However, they ignore the fact that local observation information can be further divided into several entities, and only part of the entities is helpful to model inference. Moreover, the importance of different entities may change over time. To improve the performance of decentralized policies, the attention mechanism is used to capture features of local information. Nevertheless, existing attention models rely on dense fully connected graphs and cannot better perceive important states. To this end, we propose a sparse state based MARL (S2RL) framework, which utilizes a sparse attention mechanism to discard irrelevant information in local observations. The local utility functions are estimated through the self-attention and sparse attention mechanisms separately, then are combined into a standard joint value function and auxiliary joint value function in the central critic. We design the S2RL framework as a plug-and-play module, making it general enough to be applied to various methods. Extensive experiments on StarCraft II show that S2RL can significantly improve the performance of many state-of-the-art methods.

In recent years, online short videos have become more popular, especially as an online advertising intermediary. To better understand their effects as advertisements, it is essential to analyze the causal relations of online short videos on consumer behaviors. Our study is based on fine-grained consumer behavior data from a world-leading e-commerce platform, i.e., Taobao.com. We first decompose the total causal effects into informative effects and persuasive effects following a common practice in the economic literature. Moreover, we extract the subjectivity scores of short videos through a dictionary-based subjectivity analysis model and evaluate the correlation between the subjectivity scores and each causal effect. The findings of this paper are as follows: First, both causal effects (i.e., informative and persuasive effects) are significant. Second, these effects have a strong correlation with the short videos' subjectivity scores. Third, the signs of these correlations vary with the prices of the products. Our results not only shed light on the research of how short videos exert influence on online consumers, but also give sellers advice on better video design and recommendation.

In data mining and machine learning, it is commonly assumed that training and test data share the same population distribution. However, this assumption is often violated in practice because of the sample selection bias, which might induce the distribution shift from training data to test data. Such a model-agnostic distribution shift usually leads to prediction instability across unknown test data. This article proposes a novel balance-subsampled stable prediction (BSSP) algorithm based on the theory of fractional factorial design. It isolates the clear effect of each predictor from the confounding variables. A design-theoretic analysis shows that the proposed method can reduce the confounding effects among predictors induced by the distribution shift, improving both the accuracy of parameter estimation and the stability of prediction across unknown test data. Numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our BSSP algorithm can significantly outperform the baseline methods for stable prediction across unknown test data.

Instrumental variables (IVs), sources of treatment randomization that are conditionally independent of the outcome, play an important role in causal inference with unobserved confounders. However, the existing IV-based counterfactual prediction methods need well-predefined IVs, while it’s an art rather than science to find valid IVs in many real-world scenes. Moreover, the predefined hand-made IVs could be weak or erroneous by violating the conditions of valid IVs. These thorny facts hinder the application of the IV-based counterfactual prediction methods. In this article, we propose a novel Automatic Instrumental Variable decomposition (AutoIV) algorithm to automatically generate representations serving the role of IVs from observed variables (IV candidates). Specifically, we let the learned IV representations satisfy the relevance condition with the treatment and exclusion condition with the outcome via mutual information maximization and minimization constraints, respectively. We also learn confounder representations by encouraging them to be relevant to both the treatment and the outcome. The IV and confounder representations compete for the information with their constraints in an adversarial game, which allows us to get valid IV representations for IV-based counterfactual prediction. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method generates valid IV representations for accurate IV-based counterfactual prediction.

Causal Inference plays an important role in decision making in many fields, such as social marketing, healthcare, and public policy. One fundamental problem in causal inference is the treatment effect estimation in observational studies when variables are confounded. Controlling for confounding effects is generally handled by propensity score. But it treats all observed variables as confounders and ignores the adjustment variables, which have no influence on treatment but are predictive of the outcome. Recently, it has been demonstrated that the adjustment variables are effective in reducing the variance of the estimated treatment effect. However, how to automatically separate the confounders and adjustment variables in observational studies is still an open problem, especially in the scenarios of high dimensional variables, which are common in the big data era. In this paper, we first propose a Data-Driven Variable Decomposition (D$^2$VD) algorithm, which can 1) automatically separate confounders and adjustment variables with a data-driven approach, and 2) simultaneously estimate treatment effect in observational studies with high dimensional variables. Under standard assumptions, we theoretically prove that our D$^2$VD algorithm can unbiased estimate treatment effect and achieve lower variance than traditional propensity score based methods. Moreover, to address the challenges from high-dimensional variables and nonlinear, we extend our D$^2$VD to a non-linear version, namely Nonlinear-D$^2$VD (N-D$^2$VD) algorithm. To validate the effectiveness of our proposed algorithms, we conduct extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets. The experimental results demonstrate that our D$^2$VD and N-D$^2$VD algorithms can automatically separate the variables precisely, and estimate treatment effect more accurately and with tighter confidence intervals than the state-of-the-art methods. We also demonstrated that the top-ranked features by our algorithm have the best prediction performance on an online advertising dataset.

Adversarial training is one of the most effective approaches to improve model robustness against adversarial examples. However, previous works mainly focus on the overall robustness of the model, and the in-depth analysis on the role of each class involved in adversarial training is still missing. In this paper, we propose to analyze the class-wise robustness in adversarial training. First, we provide a detailed diagnosis of adversarial training on six benchmark datasets, i.e., MNIST, CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, SVHN, STL-10 and ImageNet. Surprisingly, we find that there are remarkable robustness discrepancies among classes, leading to unbalance/unfair class-wise robustness in the robust models. Furthermore, we keep investigating the relations between classes and find that the unbalanced class-wise robustness is pretty consistent among different attack and defense methods. Moreover, we observe that the stronger attack methods in adversarial learning achieve performance improvement mainly from a more successful attack on the vulnerable classes (i.e., classes with less robustness). Inspired by these interesting findings, we design a simple but effective attack method based on the traditional PGD attack, named Temperature-PGD attack, which proposes to enlarge the robustness disparity among classes with a temperature factor on the confidence distribution of each image. Experiments demonstrate our method can achieve a higher attack rate than the PGD attack. Furthermore, from the defense perspective, we also make some modifications in the training and inference phase to improve the robustness of the most vulnerable class, so as to mitigate the large difference in class-wise robustness. We believe our work can contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of adversarial training as well as rethinking the class-wise properties in robust models.

Centralized Training with Decentralized Execution (CTDE) has been a popular paradigm in cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) settings and is widely used in many real applications. One of the major challenges in the training process is credit assignment, which aims to deduce the contributions of each agent according to the global rewards. Existing credit assignment methods focus on either decomposing the joint value function into individual value functions or measuring the impact of local observations and actions on the global value function. These approaches lack a thorough consideration of the complicated interactions among multiple agents, leading to an unsuitable assignment of credit and subsequently mediocre results on MARL. We propose Shapley Counterfactual Credit Assignment, a novel method for explicit credit assignment which accounts for the coalition of agents. Specifically, Shapley Value and its desired properties are leveraged in deep MARL to credit any combinations of agents, which grants us the capability to estimate the individual credit for each agent. Despite this capability, the main technical difficulty lies in the computational complexity of Shapley Value who grows factorially as the number of agents. We instead utilize an approximation method via Monte Carlo sampling, which reduces the sample complexity while maintaining its effectiveness. We evaluate our method on StarCraft II benchmarks across different scenarios. Our method outperforms existing cooperative MARL algorithms significantly and achieves the state-of-the-art, with especially large margins on tasks with more severe difficulties.

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task for many industrial systems, such as display advertising and recommender systems. Recently, modeling user behavior sequences attracts much attention and shows great improvements in the CTR field. Existing works mainly exploit attention mechanism based on embedding product when considering relations between user behaviors and target item. However, this methodology lacks of concrete semantics and overlooks the underlying reasons driving a user to click on a target item. In this paper, we propose a new framework named Multiplex Target-Behavior Relation enhanced Network (MTBRN) to leverage multiplex relations between user behaviors and target item to enhance CTR prediction. Multiplex relations consist of meaningful semantics, which can bring a better understanding on users' interests from different perspectives. To explore and model multiplex relations, we propose to incorporate various graphs (e.g., knowledge graph and item-item similarity graph) to construct multiple relational paths between user behaviors and target item. Then Bi-LSTM is applied to encode each path in the path extractor layer. A path fusion network and a path activation network are devised to adaptively aggregate and finally learn the representation of all paths for CTR prediction. Extensive offline and online experiments clearly verify the effectiveness of our framework.

Nowadays fairness issues have raised great concerns in decision-making systems. Various fairness notions have been proposed to measure the degree to which an algorithm is unfair. In practice, there frequently exist a certain set of variables we term as fair variables, which are pre-decision covariates such as users' choices. The effects of fair variables are irrelevant in assessing the fairness of the decision support algorithm. We thus define conditional fairness as a more sound fairness metric by conditioning on the fairness variables. Given different prior knowledge of fair variables, we demonstrate that traditional fairness notations, such as demographic parity and equalized odds, are special cases of our conditional fairness notations. Moreover, we propose a Derivable Conditional Fairness Regularizer (DCFR), which can be integrated into any decision-making model, to track the trade-off between precision and fairness of algorithmic decision making. Specifically, an adversarial representation based conditional independence loss is proposed in our DCFR to measure the degree of unfairness. With extensive experiments on three real-world datasets, we demonstrate the advantages of our conditional fairness notation and DCFR.

In e-commerce, consumer-generated videos, which in general deliver consumers' individual preferences for the different aspects of certain products, are massive in volume. To recommend these videos to potential consumers more effectively, diverse and catchy video titles are critical. However, consumer-generated videos seldom accompany appropriate titles. To bridge this gap, we integrate comprehensive sources of information, including the content of consumer-generated videos, the narrative comment sentences supplied by consumers, and the product attributes, in an end-to-end modeling framework. Although automatic video titling is very useful and demanding, it is much less addressed than video captioning. The latter focuses on generating sentences that describe videos as a whole while our task requires the product-aware multi-grained video analysis. To tackle this issue, the proposed method consists of two processes, i.e., granular-level interaction modeling and abstraction-level story-line summarization. Specifically, the granular-level interaction modeling first utilizes temporal-spatial landmark cues, descriptive words, and abstractive attributes to builds three individual graphs and recognizes the intra-actions in each graph through Graph Neural Networks (GNN). Then the global-local aggregation module is proposed to model inter-actions across graphs and aggregate heterogeneous graphs into a holistic graph representation. The abstraction-level story-line summarization further considers both frame-level video features and the holistic graph to utilize the interactions between products and backgrounds, and generate the story-line topic of the video. We collect a large-scale dataset accordingly from real-world data in Taobao, a world-leading e-commerce platform, and will make the desensitized version publicly available to nourish further development of the research community. Relatively extensive experiments on various datasets demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method.

Treatment effect plays an important role on decision making in many fields, such as social marketing, healthcare, and public policy. The key challenge on estimating treatment effect in the wild observational studies is to handle confounding bias induced by imbalance of the confounder distributions between treated and control units. Traditional methods remove confounding bias by re-weighting units with supposedly accurate propensity score estimation under the unconfoundedness assumption. Controlling high-dimensional variables may make the unconfoundedness assumption more plausible, but poses new challenge on accurate propensity score estimation. One strand of recent literature seeks to directly optimize weights to balance confounder distributions, bypassing propensity score estimation. But existing balancing methods fail to do selection and differentiation among the pool of a large number of potential confounders, leading to possible underperformance in many high-dimensional settings. In this article, we propose a data-driven Differentiated Confounder Balancing (DCB) algorithm to jointly select confounders, differentiate weights of confounders and balance confounder distributions for treatment effect estimation in the wild high-dimensional settings. Besides, under some settings with heavy confounding bias, in order to further reduce the bias and variance of estimated treatment effect, we propose a Regression Adjusted Differentiated Confounder Balancing (RA-DCB) algorithm based on our DCB algorithm by incorporating outcome regression adjustment. The synergistic learning algorithms we proposed are more capable of reducing the confounding bias in many observational studies. To validate the effectiveness of our DCB and RA-DCB algorithms, we conduct extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets. The experimental results clearly demonstrate that our algorithms outperform the state-of-the-art methods. By incorporating regression adjustment, our RA-DCB algorithm achieves more precise estimation on treatment effect than DCB algorithm, especially under the settings with heavy confounding bias. Moreover, we show that the top features ranked by our algorithm generate accurate prediction of online advertising effect.

Precisely evaluating the effect of new policies (e.g. ad-placement models, recommendation functions, ranking functions) is one of the most important problems for improving interactive systems. The conventional policy evaluation methods rely on online A/B tests, but they are usually extremely expensive and may have undesirable impacts. Recently, Inverse Propensity Score (IPS) estimators are proposed as alternatives to evaluate the effect of new policy with offline logged data that was collected from a different policy in the past. They tend to remove the distribution shift induced by past policy. However, they ignore the distribution shift that would be induced by the new policy, which results in imprecise evaluation. Moreover, their performances rely on accurate estimation of propensity score, which can not be guaranteed or validated in practice. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric method, named Focused Context Balancing (FCB) algorithm, to learn sample weights for context balancing, so that the distribution shift induced by the past policy and new policy can be eliminated respectively. To validate the effectiveness of our FCB algorithm, we conduct extensive experiments on both synthetic and real world datasets. The experimental results clearly demonstrate that our FCB algorithm outperforms existing estimators by achieving more precise and robust results for offline policy evaluation.

In many important machine learning applications, the training distribution used to learn a probabilistic classifier differs from the distribution on which the classifier will be used to make predictions. Traditional methods correct the distribution shift by reweighting training data with the ratio of the density between test and training data. However, in many applications training takes place without prior knowledge of the testing distribution. Recently, methods have been proposed to address the shift by learning the underlying causal structure, but those methods rely on diversity arising from multiple training data sets, and they further have complexity limitations in high dimensions. In this paper, we propose a novel Deep Global Balancing Regression (DGBR) algorithm to jointly optimize a deep auto-encoder model for feature selection and a global balancing model for stable prediction across unknown environments. The global balancing model constructs balancing weights that facilitate estimation of partial effects of features (holding fixed all other features), a problem that is challenging in high dimensions, and thus helps to identify stable, causal relationships between features and outcomes. The deep auto-encoder model is designed to reduce the dimensionality of the feature space, thus making global balancing easier. We show, both theoretically and with empirical experiments, that our algorithm can make stable predictions across unknown environments. Our experiments on both synthetic and real datasets demonstrate that our algorithm outperforms the state-of-the-art methods for stable prediction across unknown environments.

Estimating treatment effect plays an important role on decision making in many fields, such as social marketing, healthcare, and public policy. The key challenge on estimating treatment effect in the wild observational studies is to handle confounding bias induced by imbalance of the confounder distributions between treated and control units. Traditional methods remove confounding bias by re-weighting units with supposedly accurate propensity score estimation under the unconfoundedness assumption. Controlling high-dimensional variables may make the unconfoundedness assumption more plausible, but poses new challenge on accurate propensity score estimation. One strand of recent literature seeks to directly optimize weights to balance confounder distributions, bypassing propensity score estimation. But existing balancing methods fail to do selection and differentiation among the pool of a large number of potential confounders, leading to possible underperformance in many high dimensional settings. In this paper, we propose a data-driven Differentiated Confounder Balancing (DCB) algorithm to jointly select confounders, differentiate weights of confounders and balance confounder distributions for treatment effect estimation in the wild high dimensional settings. The synergistic learning algorithm we proposed is more capable of reducing the confounding bias in many observational studies. To validate the effectiveness of our DCB algorithm, we conduct extensive experiments on both synthetic and real datasets. The experimental results clearly demonstrate that our DCB algorithm outperforms the state-of-the-art methods. We further show that the top features ranked by our algorithm generate accurate prediction of online advertising effect.

On social media platforms, companies, organizations and individuals are using the function of sharing or retweeting information to promote their products, policies, and ideas. While a growing body of research has focused on identifying the promoters from millions of users, the promoters themselves are seeking to know what strategies can improve promotional effectiveness, which is rarely studied in literature. In this work, we study a new problem of promotional strategy effect estimation which is challenging in identifying and quantifying promotional strategies, as well as estimating effectiveness of promotional strategies with selection bias in observational data. Here we study a series of strategies on both context and content levels. To alleviate the selection bias issue, we propose a method based on Propensity Score Matching (PSM) to evaluate the effect of each promotional strategy. Our data study provides three interpretable and insightful ideas on steering social media promotions, including (1) three significant and stable strategies, (2) a critical trade-off, and (3) different concerns for promoters of different popularity. These results provided comprehensive suggestions to the practitioners to steer social media promotions with effective strategies.