Large-scale livestock operations pose significant risks to human health and the environment, while also being vulnerable to threats such as infectious diseases and extreme weather events. As the number of such operations continues to grow, accurate and scalable mapping has become increasingly important. In this work, we present an infrastructure-first, explainable pipeline for identifying and characterizing Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations (CAFOs) from aerial and satellite imagery. Our method (i) detects candidate infrastructure (e.g., barns, feedlots, manure lagoons, silos) with a domain-tuned YOLOv8 detector, then derives SAM2 masks from these boxes and filters component-specific criteria; (ii) extracts structured descriptors (e.g., counts, areas, orientations, and spatial relations) and fuses them with deep visual features using a lightweight spatial cross-attention classifier; and (iii) outputs both CAFO type predictions and mask-level attributions that link decisions to visible infrastructure. Through comprehensive evaluation, we show that our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance, with Swin-B+PRISM-CAFO surpassing the best performing baseline by up to 15%. Beyond strong predictive performance across diverse U.S. regions, we run systematic gradient–activation analyses that quantify the impact of domain priors and show how specific infrastructure (e.g., barns, lagoons) shapes classification decisions. We release code, infrastructure masks, and descriptors to support transparent, scalable monitoring of livestock infrastructure, enabling risk modeling, change detection, and targeted regulatory action. Github: https://github.com/Nibir088/PRISM-CAFO.

Considering the difficulty of interpreting generative model output, there is significant current research focused on determining meaningful evaluation metrics. Several recent approaches utilize "precision" and "recall," borrowed from the classification domain, to individually quantify the output fidelity (realism) and output diversity (representation of the real data variation), respectively. With the increase in metric proposals, there is a need for a unifying perspective, allowing for easier comparison and clearer explanation of their benefits and drawbacks. To this end, we unify a class of kth-nearest neighbors (kNN)-based metrics under an information-theoretic lens using approaches from kNN density estimation. Additionally, we propose a tri-dimensional metric composed of Precision Cross-Entropy (PCE), Recall Cross-Entropy (RCE), and Recall Entropy (RE), which separately measure fidelity and two distinct aspects of diversity, inter- and intra-class. Our domain-agnostic metric, derived from the information-theoretic concepts of entropy and cross-entropy, can be dissected for both sample- and mode-level analysis. Our detailed experimental results demonstrate the sensitivity of our metric components to their respective qualities and reveal undesirable behaviors of other metrics.

Accurate canal network mapping is essential for water management, including irrigation planning and infrastructure maintenance. State-of-the-art semantic segmentation models for infrastructure mapping, such as roads, rely on large, well-annotated remote sensing datasets. However, incomplete or inadequate ground truth can hinder these learning approaches. Many infrastructure networks have graph-level properties such as reachability to a source (like canals) or connectivity (roads) that can be leveraged to improve these existing ground truth. This paper develops a novel iterative framework IGraSS, combining a semantic segmentation module—incorporating RGB and additional modalities (NDWI, DEM)—with a graph-based ground-truth refinement module. The segmentation module processes satellite imagery patches, while the refinement module operates on the entire data viewing the infrastructure network as a graph. Experiments show that IGraSS reduces unreachable canal segments from ~18% to ~3%, and training with refined ground truth significantly improves canal identification. IGraSS serves as a robust framework for both refining noisy ground truth and mapping canal networks from remote sensing imagery. We also demonstrate the effectiveness and generalizability of IGraSS using road networks as an example, applying a different graph-theoretic constraint to complete road networks.

Accurate mapping of irrigation methods is crucial for sustainable agricultural practices and food systems. However, existing models that rely solely on spectral features from satellite imagery are ineffective due to the complexity of agricultural landscapes and limited training data, making this a challenging problem. We present Knowledge-Informed Irrigation Mapping (KIIM), a novel Swin-Transformer based approach that uses (i) a specialized projection matrix to encode crop to irrigation probability, (ii) a spatial attention map to identify agricultural lands from non-agricultural lands, (iii) bi-directional cross-attention to focus complementary information from different modalities, and (iv) a weighted ensemble for combining predictions from images and crop information. Our experimentation on five states in the US shows up to 22.9% (IoU) improvement over baseline with a 71.4% (IoU) improvement for hard-to-classify drip irrigation. In addition, we propose a two-phase transfer learning approach to enhance cross-state irrigation mapping, achieving a 51% IoU boost in a state with limited labeled data. The ability to achieve baseline performance with only 40% of the training data highlights its efficiency, reducing the dependency on extensive manual labeling efforts and making large-scale, automated irrigation mapping more feasible and cost-effective. Code: https://github.com/Nibir088/KIIM

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 has led to the largest forced migration crisis in Europe since World War II, with millions displaced both internally and internationally. Among the displaced, approximately 4.2 million individuals have returned, highlighting the significance of return migration as a critical phase in the migration continuum. Existing studies on return migration are limited in scope, relying on survey-based approaches that suffer from demographic bias, lack of validation against ground truth, and inability to account for uncertainty. We propose a novel computational framework for modeling the return of conflict-induced migrants, using agent-based models (ABMs) and their surrogates. These models are grounded in hazard functions and account for sociopolitical contexts. Our proposed ABMs outperform baseline methods in estimating return migration from Poland to Ukraine by at least 42% and by as much as 57% in terms of normalized root mean squared error (NRMSE). Further, to illustrate the utility of such models for policymakers, we conduct two case studies that estimate the duration of displacement and characterize the demographic breakdown among the returnees.

We introduce IrrMap, the first large-scale dataset (1.1 million patches) for irrigation method mapping across regions. IrrMap consists of multi-resolution satellite imagery from LandSat and Sentinel, along with key auxiliary data such as crop type, land use, and vegetation indices. The dataset spans 1,668,899 farms and 11,443,492 acres across multiple western U.S. states from 2013 to 2023, providing a rich and diverse foundation for irrigation analysis and ensuring geospatial alignment and quality control. The dataset is ML-ready, with standardized 224×224 GeoTIFF patches, the multiple input modalities, carefully chosen train-test-split data, and accompanying dataloaders for seamless deep learning model training and benchmarking in irrigation mapping. The dataset is also accompanied by a complete pipeline for dataset generation, enabling researchers to extend IrrMap to new regions for irrigation data collection or adapt it with minimal effort for other similar applications in agricultural and geospatial analysis. We also analyze the irrigation method distribution across crop groups, spatial irrigation patterns (using Shannon diversity indices), and irrigated area variations for both LandSat and Sentinel, providing insights into regional and resolution-based differences. To promote further exploration, we openly release IrrMap, along with the derived datasets, benchmark models, and pipeline code, through a GitHub repository: https://github.com/Nibir088/IrrMap and Data repository: https://huggingface.co/Nibir/IrrMap, providing comprehensive documentation and implementation details.

The lack of fine-grained, large-scale datasets on water availability presents a critical barrier to applying machine learning (ML) for agricultural water management. Since there are multiple natural and anthropogenic factors that influence water availability, incorporating diverse multimodal features can significantly improve modeling performance. However, integrating such heterogeneous data is challenging due to spatial misalignments, inconsistent formats, semantic label ambiguities, and class imbalances. To address these challenges, we introduce IRRISIGHT, a large-scale, multimodal dataset spanning 20 U.S. states. It consists of 1.4 million pixel-aligned 224×224 patches that fuse satellite imagery with rich environmental attributes. We develop a robust geospatial fusion pipeline that aligns raster, vector, and point-based data on a unified 10m grid, and employ domain-informed structured prompts to convert tabular attributes into natural language. With irrigation type classification as a representative problem, the dataset is AI-ready, offering a spatially disjoint train/test split and extensive benchmarking with both vision and vision–language models. Our results demonstrate that multimodal representations substantially improve model performance, establishing a foundation for future research on water availability.https://github.com/Nibir088/IRRISIGHThttps://huggingface.co/datasets/OBH30/IRRISIGHT

Large-scale population displacements arising from conflict-induced forced migration generate uncertainty and introduce several policy challenges. Addressing these concerns requires an interdisciplinary approach that integrates knowledge from both computational modeling and social sciences. We propose a generalized computational agent-based modeling framework grounded by Theory of Planned Behavior to model conflict-induced migration outflows within Ukraine during the start of that conflict in 2022. Existing migration modeling frameworks that attempt to address policy implications primarily focus on destination while leaving absent a generalized computational framework grounded by social theory focused on the conflict-induced region. We propose an agent-based framework utilizing a spatiotemporal gravity model and a Bi-threshold model over a Graph Dynamical System to update migration status of agents in conflict-induced regions at fine temporal and spatial granularity. This approach significantly outperforms previous work when examining the case of Russian invasion in Ukraine. Policy implications of the proposed framework are demonstrated by modeling the migration behavior of Ukrainian civilians attempting to flee from regions encircled by Russian forces. We also showcase the generalizability of the model by simulating a past conflict in Burundi, an alternative conflict setting. Results demonstrate the utility of the framework for assessing conflict-induced migration in varied settings as well as identifying vulnerable civilian populations.

Evacuation planning is an essential part of disaster management where the goal is to relocate people under imminent danger to safety. However, finding jointly optimal evacuation routes and a schedule that minimizes the average evacuation time or evacuation completion time, is a computationally hard problem. As a result, large-scale evacuation routing and scheduling continues to be a challenge. In this paper, we present a game-theoretic approach to tackle this problem. We start by formulating a strategic routing and scheduling game, named the Evacuation Game: Routing and Scheduling (EGRES), where players choose their route and time of departure. We show that: (i) every instance of EGRES has at least one pure strategy Nash equilibrium, and (ii) an optimal outcome in an instance will always be an equilibrium in that instance. We then provide bounds on how bad an equilibrium can be compared to an optimal outcome. Additionally, we present a polynomial-time algorithm, the Sequential Action Algorithm (SAA), for finding equilibria in a given instance under a special condition. We use Virginia Beach City in Virginia, and Harris County in Houston, Texas as study areas and construct two EGRES instances. Our results show that, by utilizing SAA, we can efficiently find equilibria in these instances that have social objective close to the optimal value.

Evacuation planning is a crucial part of disaster management. However, joint optimization of its two essential components, routing and scheduling, with objectives such as minimizing average evacuation time or evacuation completion time, is a computationally hard problem. To approach it, we present MIP-LNS, a scalable optimization method that utilizes heuristic search with mathematical optimization and can optimize a variety of objective functions. We also present the method MIP-LNS-SIM, where we combine agent-based simulation with MIP-LNS to estimate delays due to congestion, as well as, find optimized plans considering such delays. We use Harris County in Houston, Texas, as our study area. We show that, within a given time limit, MIP-LNS finds better solutions than existing methods in terms of three different metrics. However, when congestion dependent delay is considered, MIP-LNS-SIM outperforms MIP-LNS in multiple performance metrics. In addition, MIP-LNS-SIM has a significantly lower percent error in estimated evacuation completion time compared to MIP-LNS.

Synthetic data is gaining rapid importance in many application domains due to privacy issues, bias, lack, or simply unavailability of real data. It is important that the synthetic data be a good representation of real data for successfully completing the task at hand. Thus, devising characteristic validation metrics is crucial and remains an open problem in many domains (e.g., image generation). Good validation metrics must be able to disentangle the differences between the quality and the variability coverage of the synthetic data. We propose to use a 3-dimensional metric (precision α, recall β, coverage γ) to describe the fidelity and diversity of the synthetic data. In this paper, we improve on existing definitions of precision, recall, and coverage to extend to large scale time series data. Traditional nearest neighbor manifolds from the literature are replaced by unsupervised learning techniques such as clustering to deal with large scale fine resolution time series while computing the validation metrics. The proposed metrics are employed to validate synthetic data in the domain of residential energy demand. In addition, we extend these definitions to datasets that have a natural hierarchical structure. We propose a hierarchical data-tree model in which precision, recall, and coverage can be computed at multiple inherent (and/or custom) levels of groupings of the data.

Evacuation planning is an essential part of disaster management where the goal is to relocate people in a safe and orderly manner. Existing research has shown that such problems are hard to approximate and current methods are difficult to scale to real-life applications. We introduce a notion of fairness and two related objectives while studying evacuation planning, namely: minimizing maximum inconvenience and minimizing average inconvenience. We show that both problems are not just NP-hard to solve exactly, but in fact are NP-hard to approximate. On the positive side, we present a heuristic optimization method MIP-LNS, based on the well-known Large Neighborhood Search framework, that can find good approximate solutions in reasonable amount of time. We also consider a multi-objective problem where the goal is to minimize both objectives and solve it using MIP-LNS. We use real-world road network and population data from Harris County in Houston, Texas (a region that needed large-scale evacuations in the past), and apply MIP-LNS to calculate evacuation plans for the area. We compare the quality of the plans in terms of evacuation efficiency and fairness. We find that the solutions to the multi-objective problem are superior in both of these aspects. We also perform statistical tests to show that the solutions are significantly different.

Residential consumers have become active participants in the power distribution network after being equipped with residential EV charging provisions. This creates a challenge for the network operator tasked with dispatching electric power to the residential consumers through the existing distribution network infrastructure in a reliable manner. In this paper, we address the problem of scheduling residential EV charging for multiple consumers while maintaining network reliability. An additional challenge is the restricted exchange of information: where the consumers do not have access to network information and the network operator does not have access to consumer load parameters. We propose a distributed framework which generates an optimal EV charging schedule for individual residential consumers based on their preferences and iteratively updates it until the network reliability constraints set by the operator are satisfied. We validate the proposed approach for different EV adoption levels in a synthetically created digital twin of an actual power distribution network. The results demonstrate that the new approach can achieve a higher level of network reliability compared to the case where residential consumers charge EVs based solely on their individual preferences, thus providing a solution for the existing grid to keep up with increased adoption rates without significant investments in increasing grid capacity.

Evacuation planning methods aim to design routes and schedules to relocate people to safety in the event of natural or man-made disasters. The primary goal is to minimize casualties which often requires the evacuation process to be completed as soon as possible. In this paper, we present QueST, an agent-based discrete event queuing network simulation system, and STEERS, an iterative routing algorithm that uses QueST for designing and evaluating large scale evacuation plans in terms of total egress time and congestion/bottlenecks occurring during evacuation. We use the Houston Metropolitan Area, which consists of nine US counties and spans an area of 9,444 square miles as a case study, and compare the performance of STEERS with two existing route planning methods. We find that STEERS is either better or comparable to these methods in terms of total evacuation time and congestion faced by the evacuees. We also analyze the large volume of data generated by the simulation process to gain insights about the scenarios arising from following the evacuation routes prescribed by these methods.

It is well known that physical interdependencies exist between networked civil infrastructures such as transportation and power system networks. In order to analyze complex nonlinear correlations between such networks, datasets pertaining to such real infrastructures are required. However, such data are not readily available due to their proprietary nature. This work proposes a methodology to generate realistic synthetic power distribution networks for a given geographical region. A network generated in this manner is not the actual distribution system, but its functionality is very similar to the real distribution network. The synthetic network connects high voltage substations to individual residential consumers through primary and secondary distribution networks. Here, the distribution network is generated by solving an optimization problem which minimizes the overall length of the network subject to structural and power flow constraints. This work also incorporates identification of long high voltage feeders originating from substations and connecting remotely situated customers in rural geographic locations while maintaining voltage regulation within acceptable limits. The proposed methodology is applied to the state of Virginia and creates synthetic distribution networks which are validated by comparing them to actual power distribution networks at the same location.

We use multiple measures of graph complexity to evaluate the realism of synthetically-generated networks of human activity, in comparison with several stylized network models as well as a collection of empirical networks from the literature. The synthetic networks are generated by integrating data about human populations from several sources, including the Census, transportation surveys, and geographical data. The resulting networks represent an approximation of daily or weekly human interaction. Our results indicate that the synthetically generated graphs according to our methodology are closer to the real world graphs, as measured across multiple structural measures, than a range of stylized graphs generated using common network models from the literature.

BACKGROUND: Visualization plays an important role in epidemic time series analysis and forecasting. Viewing time series data plotted on a graph can help researchers identify anomalies and unexpected trends that could be overlooked if the data were reviewed in tabular form; these details can influence a researcher's recommended course of action or choice of simulation models. However, there are challenges in reviewing data sets from multiple data sources - data can be aggregated in different ways (e.g., incidence vs. cumulative), measure different criteria (e.g., infection counts, hospitalizations, and deaths), or represent different geographical scales (e.g., nation, HHS Regions, or states), which can make a direct comparison between time series difficult. In the face of an emerging epidemic, the ability to visualize time series from various sources and organizations and to reconcile these datasets based on different criteria could be key in developing accurate forecasts and identifying effective interventions. Many tools have been developed for visualizing temporal data; however, none yet supports all the functionality needed for easy collaborative visualization and analysis of epidemic data. RESULTS: In this paper, we present EpiViewer, a time series exploration dashboard where users can upload epidemiological time series data from a variety of sources and compare, organize, and track how data evolves as an epidemic progresses. EpiViewer provides an easy-to-use web interface for visualizing temporal datasets either as line charts or bar charts. The application provides enhanced features for visual analysis, such as hierarchical categorization, zooming, and filtering, to enable detailed inspection and comparison of multiple time series on a single canvas. Finally, EpiViewer provides several built-in statistical Epi-features to help users interpret the epidemiological curves. CONCLUSION: EpiViewer is a single page web application that provides a framework for exploring, comparing, and organizing temporal datasets. It offers a variety of features for convenient filtering and analysis of epicurves based on meta-attribute tagging. EpiViewer also provides a platform for sharing data between groups for better comparison and analysis. Our user study demonstrated that EpiViewer is easy to use and fills a particular niche in the toolspace for visualization and exploration of epidemiological data.

The study objective is to estimate the epidemiological and economic impact of vaccine interventions during influenza pandemics in Chicago, and assist in vaccine intervention priorities. Scenarios of delay in vaccine introduction with limited vaccine efficacy and limited supplies are not unlikely in future influenza pandemics, as in the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic. We simulated influenza pandemics in Chicago using agent-based transmission dynamic modeling. Population was distributed among high-risk and non-high risk among 0-19, 20-64 and 65+ years subpopulations. Different attack rate scenarios for catastrophic (30.15%), strong (21.96%), and moderate (11.73%) influenza pandemics were compared against vaccine intervention scenarios, at 40% coverage, 40% efficacy, and unit cost of $28.62. Sensitivity analysis for vaccine compliance, vaccine efficacy and vaccine start date was also conducted. Vaccine prioritization criteria include risk of death, total deaths, net benefits, and return on investment. The risk of death is the highest among the high-risk 65+ years subpopulation in the catastrophic influenza pandemic, and highest among the high-risk 0-19 years subpopulation in the strong and moderate influenza pandemics. The proportion of total deaths and net benefits are the highest among the high-risk 20-64 years subpopulation in the catastrophic, strong and moderate influenza pandemics. The return on investment is the highest in the high-risk 0-19 years subpopulation in the catastrophic, strong and moderate influenza pandemics. Based on risk of death and return on investment, high-risk groups of the three age group subpopulations can be prioritized for vaccination, and the vaccine interventions are cost saving for all age and risk groups. The attack rates among the children are higher than among the adults and seniors in the catastrophic, strong, and moderate influenza pandemic scenarios, due to their larger social contact network and homophilous interactions in school. Based on return on investment and higher attack rates among children, we recommend prioritizing children (0-19 years) and seniors (65+ years) after high-risk groups for influenza vaccination during times of limited vaccine supplies. Based on risk of death, we recommend prioritizing seniors (65+ years) after high-risk groups for influenza vaccination during times of limited vaccine supplies.

Analysis of structural properties and dynamics of networks is currently a central topic in many disciplines including Social Sciences, Biology and Business. CINET, a cyber infrastructure for such studies, introduced the concept of supporting network analysis as a service. The basic idea is to allow experts in various disciplines to focus on obtaining domain-specific insights from the results of network analyses instead of worrying about programming details and allocation of computational resources needed to carry out the analyses. A basic version of CINET was released in May 2012. This paper discusses CINET 2.0, a significantly enhanced version that supports complex network analyses through a web portal. CINET 2.0 has already been used for teaching courses related to Network Science at several US universities. In this paper, we discuss how CINET 2.0 significantly extends CINET 1.0 through enhancements to some components and the addition of new components.

Eliminating interactions among individuals is an important means of blocking contagion spread, e.g., closing schools during an epidemic or shutting down electronic communication channels during social unrest. We study contagion blocking in networked populations by identifying edges to remove from a network, thus blocking contagion transmission pathways. We formulate various problems to minimize contagion spread and show that some are efficiently solvable while others are formally hard. We also compare our hardness results to those from node blocking problems and show interesting differences between the two. Our main problem is not only hard, but also has no approximation guarantee, unless P=NP. Therefore, we devise a heuristic for the problem and compare its performance to state-of-the-art heuristics from the literature. We show, through results of 12 (network, heuristic) combinations on three real social networks, that our method offers considerable improvement in the ability to block contagions in weighted and unweighted networks. We also conduct a parametric study to understand the limitations of our approach.

We present a computational model of vowel shifts, applied in particular to the Northern Cities Vowel Shift. Our model in-corporates several empirically-derived rules of vowel change. The key aspect of this model is the use of representational momentum, which, we argue, explains multiple observed fea-tures of the shift. We compare our model with data on the Northern Cities Shift spanning more than a century and show that, when representational momentum is included, the re-sults of the model match the data well.

Networks are an effective abstraction for representing real systems. Consequently, network science is increasingly used in academia and industry to solve problems in many fields. Computations that determine structure properties and dynamical behaviors of networks are useful because they give insights into the characteristics of real systems. We introduce a newly built and deployed cyberinfrastructure for network science (CINET) that performs such computations, with the following features: (i) it offers realistic networks from the literature and various random and deterministic network generators; (ii) it provides many algorithmic modules and measures to study and characterize networks; (iii) it is designed for efficient execution of complex algorithms on distributed high performance computers so that they scale to large networks; and (iv) it is hosted with web interfaces so that those without direct access to high performance computing resources and those who are not computing experts can still reap the system benefits. It is a combination of application design and cyberinfrastructure that makes these features possible. To our knowledge, these capabilities collectively make CINET novel. We describe the system and illustrative use cases, with a focus on the CINET user.

We study the emergence of shared representations in a population of agents engaged in a supervised classification task, using a model called the classification game. We connect languages with tasks by treating the agents’ classification hypothesis space as an information channel. We show that by learning through the classification game, agents can implicitly perform complexity regularisation, which improves generalisation. Improved generalisation also means that the languages that emerge are well adapted to the given task. The improved language-task fit springs from the interplay of two opposing forces: the dynamics of collective learning impose a preference for simple representations, while the intricacy of the classification task imposes a pressure towards representations that are more complex. The push–pull of these two forces results in the emergence of a shared representation that is simple but not too simple. Our agents use artificial neural networks to solve the classification tasks they face, and a simple counting algorithm to learn a language as a form-meaning mapping. We present several experiments to demonstrate that both compositional and holistic languages can emerge in our system. We also demonstrate that the agents avoid overfitting on noisy data, and can learn some very difficult tasks through interaction, which they are unable to learn individually. Further, when the agents use simple recurrent networks to solve temporal classification tasks, we see the emergence of a rudimentary grammar, which does not have to be explicitly learned.

The deep layers of the superior colliculus (SC) integrate information from multiple senses to initiate orienting movements in vertebrate animals. A probabilistic model of the SC based on an interpretation of the neuroscientific data has been proposed by Anastasio et. al. (2000). By incorporating this SC model, in the form of an artificial neural network, as the decision mechanism for a system with two senses, hearing and vision, we have constructed and tested a self-aiming camera (SAC). SAC senses and directs its lens toward the best "target" currently in the environment at any moment. Experiments were performed with SAC using several algorithms for combining the multisensory data as a comparison against the SC model. Generally, the SC model is superior in dealing with low amplitude signals and at least equal to any ad hoc model for the full range of unimodal and bimodal targets.