Conditional Handover (CHO) by the 3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP) enables efficient user mobility between Base Stations (BSs) by preselecting and preparing Target BSs (T-BSs). However, CHO relies on signal strength for T-BS selection, leading to resource blocking on multiple T-BSs due to signal fluctuations. Existing state-of-the-art methods use deep learning to narrow the list of T-BSs but still lack an effective method for resource reservation timing. This paper presents in-time CHO (iCHO) which exploits historical mobility data to estimate user dwell time at the current BS to reduce resource reservation duration. The proposed iCHO employs a Multivariate Multi-output Single-step Prediction (MMSP) model that leverages a multi-task learning approach to simultaneously predict the minimal list of required T-BSs together with the user dwell time. The model demonstrates remarkable performance across two mobility datasets of different scales, achieving T-BS prediction accuracies of 98% and 95%. It also ensures a 100% handover success rate with a minimum of three and four predicted T-BSs for both datasets, respectively, significantly limiting the list of T-BSs. Moreover, the MMSP model achieves a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 19 s and 45 s when predicting the user’s dwell time at the current BS. By utilizing these predictions, iCHO reserves resources at the minimum number of T-BSs immediately before handover. Thus, iCHO can save up to 99% of resources from blockage as compared to the CHO, enabling operators to increase revenue by serving up to eighteen more users with the saved resources.

The mobile network traffic patterns in urban areas significantly diverge depending on commercial and residential establishments. These regional traffic patterns provide crucial clues for predicting traffic patterns precisely. Previous studies have employed a combination of time-series and convolutional Deep Learning (DL) models to effectively capture the correlation of the regional features and traffic patterns. Despite promising results, these approaches are limited in identifying pattern similarities among sparsely located regions and can be further improved. To this end, this study proposes a GEospatial clustering and residual COnvolutional temporal long Short-term memory (GECOS) framework consisting of clustering and DL components. The proposed Urbanflow Peak Clustering (UPC) component exploits the peak traffic times of daily mobile data to obtain the groups of cells with similar traffic patterns apart from their geographical diversity. The UPC improves the scalability of existing algorithms and enables DL components to improve their accuracy by recognizing unique regional patterns and localizing the training targets. The proposed Residual Convolutional TCN-LSTM (RCTL) serves as the DL component of GECOS that improves TCN-LSTM structure through layer-wise feature transfer and enhances long-term dependency learnability. The RCTL ensures more accurate capturing of extensive spatiotemporal features through structural enhancements. The experiments conducted on real-world mobile traffic data showcase 43% improvement by GECOS compared to state-of-the-art models, enabling precise traffic engineering policies by operators.

Mobile traffic data in urban regions shows differentiated patterns during different hours of the day. The exploitation of these patterns enables highly accurate mobile traffic prediction for proactive network management. However, recent Deep Learning (DL) driven studies have only exploited spatiotemporal features and have ignored the geographical correlations, causing high complexity and erroneous mobile traffic predictions. This paper addresses these limitations by proposing an enhanced mobile traffic prediction scheme that combines the clustering strategy of daily mobile traffic peak time and novel multi Temporal Convolutional Network with a Long Short Term Memory (multi TCN-LSTM) model. The mobile network cells that exhibit peak traffic during the same hour of the day are clustered together. Our experiments on large-scale real-world mobile traffic data show up to 28% performance improvement compared to state-of-the-art studies, which confirms the efficacy and viability of the proposed approach.