Alex Hayes

dblp:267/3025 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2025
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 100%
Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Computational social science and digital humanities · 100%

Topics — the 2 heaviest of 3, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning
causal inference
0.912025
Estimating Network-Mediated Causal Effects via Principal Components Network Regression · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2025
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › causal inference › causal effect estimation
mediation analysis
0.912025
Estimating Network-Mediated Causal Effects via Principal Components Network Regression · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2025

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

principal components regression · 1.7ordinary least squares · 1.7
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 Estimating Network-Mediated Causal Effects via Principal Components Network Regression
abstract
We develop a method to decompose causal effects on a social network into an indirect effect mediated by the network, and a direct effect independent of the social network. To handle the complexity of network structures, we assume that latent social groups act as causal mediators. We develop principal components network regression models to differentiate the social effect from the non-social effect. Fitting the regression models is as simple as principal components analysis followed by ordinary least squares estimation. We prove asymptotic theory for regression coefficients from this procedure and show that it is widely applicable, allowing for a variety of distributions on the regression errors and network edges. We carefully characterize the counterfactual assumptions necessary to use the regression models for causal inference, and show that current approaches to causal network regression may result in over-control bias. The method is very general, so that it is applicable to many types of structured data beyond social networks, such as text, areal data, psychometrics, images and omics.
Alex Hayes, Mark M. Fredrickson, Keith Levin
J. Mach. Learn. Res.1