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Patrick Nicholson

dblp:295/9219 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2021
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 72% Transfer learning and domain adaptation · 28%

Topics — the 5 heaviest of 5, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference › bayesian inference › bayesian model selection › model averaging
bayesian model averaging
0.512021
Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shift · NeurIPS 2021
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › deep probabilistic models › bayesian deep learning
bayesian neural networks
0.512021
Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shift · NeurIPS 2021
Machine learning › Transfer learning and domain adaptation › domain shift
covariate shift
0.512021
Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shift · NeurIPS 2021
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › probabilistic inference
approximate inference
0.112021
Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shift · NeurIPS 2021
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › monte carlo methods › markov chain monte carlo
hamiltonian monte carlo
0.112021
Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shift · NeurIPS 2021

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

maximum a-posteriori training · 0.5hamiltonian monte carlo · 0.5bayesian inference · 0.5
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2021 Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shift
abstract
Approximate Bayesian inference for neural networks is considered a robust alternative to standard training, often providing good performance on out-of-distribution data. However, Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with high-fidelity approximate inference via full-batch Hamiltonian Monte Carlo achieve poor generalization under covariate shift, even underperforming classical estimation. We explain this surprising result, showing how a Bayesian model average can in fact be problematic under covariate shift, particularly in cases where linear dependencies in the input features cause a lack of posterior contraction. We additionally show why the same issue does not affect many approximate inference procedures, or classical maximum a-posteriori (MAP) training. Finally, we propose novel priors that improve the robustness of BNNs to many sources of covariate shift.
Pavel Izmailov, Patrick Nicholson, Sanae Lotfi, Andrew Gordon Wilson
NeurIPS2