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Riccardo Cadei

dblp:307/5482 · DBLP profile ↗
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5ranked-venue papers
2as first author
5since 2021 · last 2025
—ORCID · unresolved

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 5 · 2 first-author · 5 since 2021Graphics, computer vision, multimedia, augmented reality and games · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
5 papers
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 46% Representation and self-supervised learning · 40% Trustworthy machine learning · 9%
Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Computational social science and digital humanities · 100%

Topics — the 11 heaviest of 12, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning
causal inference
2.842025
The third pillar of causal analysis? A measurement perspective on causal representations · NeurIPS 2025
Prediction-Powered Causal Inferences · NeurIPS 2025
Smoke and Mirrors in Causal Downstream Tasks · NeurIPS 2024
Machine learning › Representation and self-supervised learning
causal representation learning
2.332025
The third pillar of causal analysis? A measurement perspective on causal representations · NeurIPS 2025
Unifying Causal Representation Learning with the Invariance Principle · ICLR 2025
Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspective · CVPR 2022
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › causal inference › causal effect estimation
treatment effect estimation
1.022025
Smoke and Mirrors in Causal Downstream Tasks · NeurIPS 2024
Unifying Causal Representation Learning with the Invariance Principle · ICLR 2025
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › causal inference
causal discovery
0.912025
The third pillar of causal analysis? A measurement perspective on causal representations · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning
prediction-powered inference
0.912025
Prediction-Powered Causal Inferences · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Representation and self-supervised learning › representation analysis
representation evaluation
0.912025
The third pillar of causal analysis? A measurement perspective on causal representations · NeurIPS 2025
Computational social science and digital humanities
causal inference
0.912025
Prediction-Powered Causal Inferences · NeurIPS 2025
Computational social science and digital humanities › causal inference
treatment effect estimation
0.912025
Prediction-Powered Causal Inferences · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Representation and self-supervised learning › representation learning
invariant representation learning
0.612022
Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspective · CVPR 2022
Robotics › Autonomous driving
trajectory prediction
0.612022
Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspective · CVPR 2022
Machine learning › Representation and self-supervised learning
representation learning for causal inference
0.212024
Smoke and Mirrors in Causal Downstream Tasks · NeurIPS 2024

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

foundational model fine-tuning · 1.7empirical risk minimization · 1.7conditional calibration · 1.7measurement model framework · 0.9invariance principle · 0.9identifiability analysis · 0.9T-MEX score · 0.9visual backbone · 0.8fine-tuning · 0.8deep learning · 0.8
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 Unifying Causal Representation Learning with the Invariance Principle
abstract
Causal representation learning (CRL) aims at recovering latent causal variables from high-dimensional observations to solve causal downstream tasks, such as predicting the effect of new interventions or more robust classification. A plethora of methods have been developed, each tackling carefully crafted problem settings that lead to different types of identifiability. These different settings are widely assumed to be important because they are often linked to different rungs of Pearl's causal hierarchy, even though this correspondence is not always exact. This work shows that instead of strictly conforming to this hierarchical mapping, *many causal representation learning approaches methodologically align their representations with inherent data symmetries.* Identification of causal variables is guided by invariance principles that are not necessarily causal. This result allows us to unify many existing approaches in a single method that can mix and match different assumptions, including non-causal ones, based on the invariance relevant to the problem at hand. It also significantly benefits applicability, which we demonstrate by improving treatment effect estimation on real-world high-dimensional ecological data. Overall, this paper clarifies the role of causal assumptions in the discovery of causal variables and shifts the focus to preserving data symmetries.
Dingling Yao, Dario Rancati, Riccardo Cadei, Marco Fumero, Francesco Locatello
ICLR3
2025 Prediction-Powered Causal Inferences
abstract
In many scientific experiments, the data annotating cost constraints the pace for testing novel hypotheses. Yet, modern machine learning pipelines offer a promising solution—provided their predictions yield correct conclusions. We focus on Prediction-Powered Causal Inferences (PPCI), i.e., estimating the treatment effect in an unlabeled target experiment, relying on training data with the same outcome annotated but potentially different treatment or effect modifiers. We first show that conditional calibration guarantees valid PPCI at population level. Then, we introduce a sufficient representation constraint transferring validity across experiments, which we propose to enforce in practice in Deconfounded Empirical Risk Minimization, our new model-agnostic training objective. We validate our method on synthetic and real-world scientific data, solving impossible problem instances for Empirical Risk Minimization even with standard invariance constraints. In particular, for the first time, we achieve valid causal inference on a scientific experiment with complex recording and no human annotations, fine-tuning a foundational model on our similar annotated experiment.
Riccardo Cadei, Ilker Demirel, Piersilvio De Bartolomeis, Lukas Lindorfer, Sylvia Cremer, Cordelia Schmid, Francesco Locatello
NeurIPS1
2025 The third pillar of causal analysis? A measurement perspective on causal representations
abstract
Causal reasoning and discovery, two fundamental tasks of causal analysis, often face challenges in applications due to the complexity, noisiness, and high-dimensionality of real-world data. Despite recent progress in identifying latent causal structures using causal representation learning (CRL), what makes learned representations useful for causal downstream tasks and how to evaluate them are still not well understood. In this paper, we reinterpret CRL using a measurement model framework, where the learned representations are viewed as proxy measurements of the latent causal variables. Our approach clarifies the conditions under which learned representations support downstream causal reasoning and provides a principled basis for quantitatively assessing the quality of representations using a new Test-based Measurement EXclusivity (T-MEX) score. We validate T-MEX across diverse causal inference scenarios, including numerical simulations and real-world ecological video analysis, demonstrating that the proposed framework and corresponding score effectively assess the identification of learned representations and their usefulness for causal downstream tasks. Reproducible code can be found at https://github.com/shimenghuang/a-measurement-perspective-of-crl.
Dingling Yao, Shimeng Huang, Riccardo Cadei, Kun Zhang 0001, Francesco Locatello
NeurIPS3
2024 Smoke and Mirrors in Causal Downstream Tasks
abstract
Machine Learning and AI have the potential to transform data-driven scientific discovery, enabling accurate predictions for several scientific phenomena. As many scientific questions are inherently causal, this paper looks at the causal inference task of treatment effect estimation, where the outcome of interest is recorded in high-dimensional observations in a Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT). Despite being the simplest possible causal setting and a perfect fit for deep learning, we theoretically find that many common choices in the literature may lead to biased estimates. To test the practical impact of these considerations, we recorded ISTAnt, the first real-world benchmark for causal inference downstream tasks on high-dimensional observations as an RCT studying how garden ants (Lasius neglectus) respond to microparticles applied onto their colony members by hygienic grooming. Comparing 6 480 models fine-tuned from state-of-the-art visual backbones, we find that the sampling and modeling choices significantly affect the accuracy of the causal estimate, and that classification accuracy is not a proxy thereof. We further validated the analysis, repeating it on a synthetically generated visual data set controlling the causal model. Our results suggest that future benchmarks should carefully consider real downstream scientific questions, especially causal ones. Further, we highlight guidelines for representation learning methods to help answer causal questions in the sciences.
Riccardo Cadei, Lukas Lindorfer, Sylvia Cremer, Cordelia Schmid, Francesco Locatello
NeurIPS1
2022 Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspective
abstract
Learning behavioral patterns from observational data has been a de-facto approach to motion forecasting. Yet, the current paradigm suffers from two shortcomings: brittle under distribution shifts and inefficient for knowledge transfer. In this work, we propose to address these challenges from a causal representation perspective. We first introduce a causal formalism of motion forecasting, which casts the problem as a dynamic process with three groups of latent variables, namely invariant variables, style confounders, and spurious features. We then introduce a learning framework that treats each group separately: (i) unlike the common practice mixing datasets collected from different locations, we exploit their subtle distinctions by means of an invariance loss encouraging the model to suppress spurious correlations; (ii) we devise a modular architecture that factorizes the representations of invariant mechanisms and style confounders to approximate a sparse causal graph; (iii) we introduce a style contrastive loss that not only enforces the structure of style representations but also serves as a self-supervisory signal for test-time refinement on the fly. Experiments on synthetic and real datasets show that our proposed method improves the robustness and reusability of learned motion representations, significantly outperforming prior state-of-the-art motion forecasting models for out-of-distribution generalization and low-shot transfer.
Yuejiang Liu, Riccardo Cadei, Jonas Schweizer, Sherwin Bahmani, Alexandre Alahi
CVPR2