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Shaonli Pal

dblp:334/3883 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2023
0009-0005-5893-3908ORCID · reported

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021Databases, data management, data science and information retrieval · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Databases, data mining, and information retrieval
1 paper
Data mining · 100%
Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Optimization for machine learning · 100%

Topics — the 3 heaviest of 3, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Optimization for machine learning
hyperparameter optimization
0.712023
Hierarchical Proxy Modeling for Improved HPO in Time Series Forecasting · KDD 2023
Data mining › predictive modeling › forecasting
hierarchical forecasting
0.712023
Hierarchical Proxy Modeling for Improved HPO in Time Series Forecasting · KDD 2023
Data mining › time series analysis
time series forecasting
0.712023
Hierarchical Proxy Modeling for Improved HPO in Time Series Forecasting · KDD 2023

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

temporal cross-validation · 1.3proxy modeling · 1.3
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2023 Hierarchical Proxy Modeling for Improved HPO in Time Series Forecasting
abstract
Selecting the right set of hyperparameters is crucial in time series forecasting. The classical temporal cross-validation framework for hyperparameter optimization (HPO) often leads to poor test performance because of a possible mismatch between validation and test periods. To address this test-validation mismatch, we propose a novel technique, H-Pro to drive HPO via test proxies by exploiting data hierarchies often associated with time series datasets. Since higher-level aggregated time series often show less irregularity and better predictability as compared to the lowest-level time series which can be sparse and intermittent, we optimize the hyperparameters of the lowest-level base-forecaster by leveraging the proxy forecasts for the test period generated from the forecasters at higher levels. H-Pro can be applied on any off-the-shelf machine learning model to perform HPO. We validate the efficacy of our technique with extensive empirical evaluation on five publicly available hierarchical forecasting datasets. Our approach outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods in Tourism, Wiki, and Traffic datasets, and achieves competitive result in Tourism-L dataset, without any model-specific enhancements. Moreover, our method outperforms the winning method of the M5 forecast accuracy competition.
Arindam Jati, Vijay Ekambaram, Shaonli Pal, Brian Quanz, Wesley M. Gifford, Pavithra Harsha, Stuart Siegel, Sumanta Mukherjee, Chandrasekhar Narayanaswami 0001
KDD3