Structural equation models (SEM) are a standard approach to representing causal dependencies between variables. In this paper we propose a new interpretation of existing formalisms in the field of Actual Causality in which SEM's are viewed as mechanisms transforming the dynamics of exogenous variables into the dynamics of endogenous variables. This allows us to combine counterfactual causal reasoning with existing temporal logic formalizms, and to introduce a temporal logic, CPLTL, for causal reasoning about such structures. Then, we demonstrate that the standard restriction to so-called recursive models (with no cycles in the dependency graphs) is not necessary in our approach. This fact provides us extra tools for reasoning about mutually dependent processes and feedback loops. Finally, we introduce the notions of model equivalence for temporal causal models and show that CPLTL has an efficient model-checking procedure.

Tracing and analysing the responsibility for unsafe outcomes of actors' decisions in multi-agent settings have been studied in recent years. These studies often focus on deterministic scenarios and assume that the unsafe outcomes for which actors can be held responsible are actually realized. This paper considers a broader notion of responsibility where unsafe outcomes are not necessarily realized, but their probabilities are unacceptably high. We present a logic combining strategic, probabilistic and temporal primitives designed to express concepts such as the risk of an undesirable outcome and being responsible for exceeding a risk threshold in one-shot games. We demonstrate that the proposed logic is (weakly) complete, decidable and has an efficient model-checking procedure. Finally, we define a probabilistic notion of responsibility and study its formal properties in the proposed logic setting.

There have been a number of attempts to develop a formal definition of causality that accords with our intuitions about what constitutes a cause. Perhaps the best known is the “modified” definition of actual causality, HPm, due to Halpern. In this paper, we argue that HPm gives counterintuitive results for some simple causal models. We propose Dynamic Causality (DC), an alternative semantics for causal models that leads to an alternative definition of causes. DC ascribes the same causes as HPm on the examples of causal models widely discussed in the literature and ascribes intuitive causes for the kinds of causal models we consider. Moreover, we show that the complexity of determining a cause under the DC definition is lower than for the HPm definition.

The need for tools and techniques to formally analyze and trace the responsibility for unsafe outcomes to decision-making actors is urgent. Existing formal approaches assume that the unsafe outcomes for which actors can be held responsible are actually realized. This paper considers a broader notion of responsibility where unsafe outcomes are not necessarily realized, but their probabilities are unacceptably high. We present a logic combining strategic, probabilistic and temporal primitives designed to express concepts such as the risk of an undesirable outcome and being responsible for exceeding a risk threshold. We demonstrate that the proposed logic is complete and decidable.