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Florian Seligmann

dblp:349/8006 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2023
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 36% Trustworthy machine learning · 36% Kernel, tree and ensemble methods · 18%

Topics — the 7 heaviest of 7, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › probabilistic inference
approximate inference
0.712023
Beyond Deep Ensembles: A Large-Scale Evaluation of Bayesian Deep Learning under Distribution Shift · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › deep probabilistic models
bayesian deep learning
0.712023
Beyond Deep Ensembles: A Large-Scale Evaluation of Bayesian Deep Learning under Distribution Shift · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning
calibration
0.712023
Beyond Deep Ensembles: A Large-Scale Evaluation of Bayesian Deep Learning under Distribution Shift · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Kernel, tree and ensemble methods › ensemble learning
deep ensembles
0.712023
Beyond Deep Ensembles: A Large-Scale Evaluation of Bayesian Deep Learning under Distribution Shift · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › robustness
distribution shift
0.712023
Beyond Deep Ensembles: A Large-Scale Evaluation of Bayesian Deep Learning under Distribution Shift · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Transfer learning and domain adaptation
fine-tuning
0.212023
Beyond Deep Ensembles: A Large-Scale Evaluation of Bayesian Deep Learning under Distribution Shift · NeurIPS 2023
Machine learning › Transfer learning and domain adaptation › pre-training and adaptation
large-scale pre-trained models
0.212023
Beyond Deep Ensembles: A Large-Scale Evaluation of Bayesian Deep Learning under Distribution Shift · NeurIPS 2023

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

variational inference · 0.7deep ensembles · 0.7SWAG · 0.7
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2023 Beyond Deep Ensembles: A Large-Scale Evaluation of Bayesian Deep Learning under Distribution Shift
abstract
Bayesian deep learning (BDL) is a promising approach to achieve well-calibrated predictions on distribution-shifted data. Nevertheless, there exists no large-scale survey that evaluates recent SOTA methods on diverse, realistic, and challenging benchmark tasks in a systematic manner. To provide a clear picture of the current state of BDL research, we evaluate modern BDL algorithms on real-world datasets from the WILDS collection containing challenging classification and regression tasks, with a focus on generalization capability and calibration under distribution shift. We compare the algorithms on a wide range of large, convolutional and transformer-based neural network architectures. In particular, we investigate a signed version of the expected calibration error that reveals whether the methods are over- or underconfident, providing further insight into the behavior of the methods. Further, we provide the first systematic evaluation of BDL for fine-tuning large pre-trained models, where training from scratch is prohibitively expensive. Finally, given the recent success of Deep Ensembles, we extend popular single-mode posterior approximations to multiple modes by the use of ensembles. While we find that ensembling single-mode approximations generally improves the generalization capability and calibration of the models by a significant margin, we also identify a failure mode of ensembles when finetuning large transformer-based language models. In this setting, variational inference based approaches such as last-layer Bayes By Backprop outperform other methods in terms of accuracy by a large margin, while modern approximate inference algorithms such as SWAG achieve the best calibration.
Florian Seligmann, Philipp Becker, Michael Volpp, Gerhard Neumann
NeurIPS1