Demo Data from VLDB 2026 / reviewers in the wild / expert
Alessandro Antonio Grande
dblp:379/6373
· DBLP profile ↗
1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2024
—ORCID · none
Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several
Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021
Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.
| Artificial intelligence
1 paper |
Generative modeling · 46% Time series and sequential data · 23% Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 23% |
Topics — the 5 heaviest of 5, each with the papers that count most for it
| Topic | Weight | Papers | Last | Evidence papers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Machine learning › Generative modeling › diffusion model
conditional diffusion model |
0.8 | 1 | 2024 | Treeffuser: probabilistic prediction via conditional diffusions with gradient-boosted trees · NeurIPS 2024 |
Machine learning › Generative modeling
diffusion model |
0.8 | 1 | 2024 | Treeffuser: probabilistic prediction via conditional diffusions with gradient-boosted trees · NeurIPS 2024 |
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference › bayesian inference › bayesian prediction
predictive distribution |
0.8 | 1 | 2024 | Treeffuser: probabilistic prediction via conditional diffusions with gradient-boosted trees · NeurIPS 2024 |
Machine learning › Time series and sequential data › time series modeling
probabilistic forecasting |
0.8 | 1 | 2024 | Treeffuser: probabilistic prediction via conditional diffusions with gradient-boosted trees · NeurIPS 2024 |
Machine learning › Kernel, tree and ensemble methods › gradient boosting
gradient boosted decision trees |
0.2 | 1 | 2024 | Treeffuser: probabilistic prediction via conditional diffusions with gradient-boosted trees · NeurIPS 2024 |
Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics
score function estimation · 0.8gradient boosted trees · 0.8conditional diffusion model · 0.8
| Year | Publication | Venue | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Treeffuser: probabilistic prediction via conditional diffusions with gradient-boosted treesabstractProbabilistic prediction aims to compute predictive distributions rather than single point predictions. These distributions enable practitioners to quantify uncertainty, compute risk, and detect outliers. However, most probabilistic methods assume parametric responses, such as Gaussian or Poisson distributions. When these assumptions fail, such models lead to bad predictions and poorly calibrated uncertainty. In this paper, we propose Treeffuser, an easy-to-use method for probabilistic prediction on tabular data. The idea is to learn a conditional diffusion model where the score function is estimated using gradient-boosted trees. The conditional diffusion model makes Treeffuser flexible and non-parametric, while the gradient-boosted trees make it robust and easy to train on CPUs. Treeffuser learns well-calibrated predictive distributions and can handle a wide range of regression tasks---including those with multivariate, multimodal, and skewed responses. We study Treeffuser on synthetic and real data and show that it outperforms existing methods, providing better calibrated probabilistic predictions. We further demonstrate its versatility with an application to inventory allocation under uncertainty using sales data from Walmart. We implement Treeffuser in https://github.com/blei-lab/treeffuser. Nicolas Beltran-Velez, Alessandro Antonio Grande, Achille Nazaret, Alp Kucukelbir, David M. Blei |
NeurIPS | 2 |