Recently, there has been gradually more attention paid to Out-of-Distribution (OOD) performance prediction, whose goal is to predict the performance of trained models on unlabeled OOD test datasets, so that we could better leverage and deploy off-the-shelf trained models in risk-sensitive scenarios. Although progress has been made in this area, evaluation protocols in previous literature are inconsistent, and most works cover only a limited number of real-world OOD datasets and types of distribution shifts. To provide convenient and fair comparisons for various algorithms, we propose Out-of-Distribution Performance Prediction Benchmark (ODP-Bench), a comprehensive benchmark that includes most commonly used OOD datasets and existing practical performance prediction algorithms. We provide our trained models as a testbench for future researchers, thus guaranteeing the consistency of comparison and avoiding the burden of repeating the model training process. Furthermore, we also conduct in-depth experimental analyses to better understand their capability boundary.

Benchmark Data Contamination (BDC)—the inclusion of benchmark testing samples in the training set—has raised increasing concerns in Large Language Model (LLM) evaluation, leading to falsely inflated performance estimates and undermining evaluation reliability. To address this, researchers have proposed various mitigation strategies to update existing benchmarks, including modifying original questions or generating new ones based on them. However, a rigorous examination of the effectiveness of these mitigation strategies remains lacking. In this paper, we design a systematic and controlled pipeline along with two novel metrics—fidelity and contamination resistance—to provide a fine-grained and comprehensive assessment of existing BDC mitigation strategies. Previous assessment methods, such as accuracy drop and accuracy matching, focus solely on aggregate accuracy, often leading to incomplete or misleading conclusions. Our metrics address this limitation by emphasizing question-level evaluation result matching. Extensive experiments with 10 LLMs, 5 benchmarks, 20 BDC mitigation strategies, and 2 contamination scenarios reveal that no existing strategy effectively balances fidelity and contamination resistance. No semantic-preserving strategy yields a significant improvement in resistance over the vanilla case (i.e., no benchmark update) across all benchmarks, while semantic-altering strategies sacrifice fidelity for resistance. These findings underscore the urgent need for designing more effective BDC mitigation strategies. Our code repository is available at https://github.com/ASTRAL-Group/BDC_mitigation_assessment.

Despite notable progress in enhancing the capability of machine learning against distribution shifts, training data quality remains a bottleneck for cross-distribution generalization. Recently, from a data-centric perspective, there have been considerable efforts to improve model performance through refining the preparation of training data. Inspired by realistic scenarios, this paper addresses a practical requirement of acquiring training samples from various domains on a limited budget to facilitate model generalization to target test domain with distribution shift. Our empirical evidence indicates that the advance in data acquisition can significantly benefit the model performance on shifted data. Additionally, by leveraging unlabeled test domain data, we introduce a Domain-wise Active Acquisition framework. This framework iteratively optimizes the data acquisition strategy as training samples are accumulated, theoretically ensuring the effective approximation of test distribution. Extensive real-world experiments demonstrate our proposal’s advantages in machine learning applications. The code is available at https://github.com/dongbaili/DAA.