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Adriel Sosa Marco

dblp:424/1664 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2025
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Trustworthy machine learning · 50% Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 50%

Topics — the 4 heaviest of 4, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › deep probabilistic models
bayesian deep learning
0.912025
Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Regression using Contextualised Normalizing Flows · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference › bayesian inference › bayesian prediction
predictive distribution
0.912025
Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Regression using Contextualised Normalizing Flows · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › uncertainty estimation
predictive uncertainty
0.912025
Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Regression using Contextualised Normalizing Flows · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning
uncertainty estimation
0.912025
Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Regression using Contextualised Normalizing Flows · NeurIPS 2025

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

normalizing flow · 0.9bayesian approximation · 0.9
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 Uncertainty Quantification for Deep Regression using Contextualised Normalizing Flows
abstract
Quantifying uncertainty in deep regression models is important both for understanding the confidence of the model and for safe decision-making in high-risk domains. Existing approaches that yield prediction intervals overlook distributional information, neglecting the effect of multimodal or asymmetric distributions on decision-making. Similarly, full or approximated Bayesian methods, while yielding the predictive posterior density, demand major modifications to the model architecture and retraining. We introduce MCNF, a novel post hoc uncertainty quantification method that produces both prediction intervals and the full conditioned predictive distribution. MCNF operates on top of the underlying trained predictive model; thus, no predictive model retraining is needed. We provide experimental evidence that the MCNF-based uncertainty estimate is well calibrated, is competitive with state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification methods, and provides richer information for downstream decision-making tasks
Adriel Sosa Marco, John Daniel Kirwan, Alexia Toumpa, Simos Gerasimou
NeurIPS1