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Nick Cannella

dblp:431/0953 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2026
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 83% Representation and self-supervised learning · 8% Language models and text generation · 8%

Topics — the 5 heaviest of 5, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference
bayesian inference
1.012026
Universal priors: solving empirical Bayes via Bayesian inference and pretraining · COLT 2026
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference › bayesian inference
empirical bayes
1.012026
Universal priors: solving empirical Bayes via Bayesian inference and pretraining · COLT 2026
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference › bayesian inference › bayesian asymptotics
posterior contraction
1.012026
Universal priors: solving empirical Bayes via Bayesian inference and pretraining · COLT 2026
Natural language and speech › Language models and text generation
in-context learning
0.312026
Universal priors: solving empirical Bayes via Bayesian inference and pretraining · COLT 2026
Machine learning › Representation and self-supervised learning
pre-training
0.312026
Universal priors: solving empirical Bayes via Bayesian inference and pretraining · COLT 2026

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

regret bounds · 1.0fractional posterior · 1.0
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2026 Universal priors: solving empirical Bayes via Bayesian inference and pretraining
abstract
We theoretically justify the recent empirical finding of Teh et al. (2025) that a transformer pretrained on synthetically generated data achieves strong performance on empirical Bayes (EB) problems. We take an indirect approach to this question: rather than analyzing the model architecture or training dynamics, we ask why a pretrained Bayes estimator, trained under a prespecified training distribution, can adapt to arbitrary test distributions. Focusing on Poisson EB problems, we identify the existence of universal priors such that training under these priors yields a near-optimal regret bound of $\widetilde{O}(\frac{1}{n})$ uniformly over all test distributions. Our analysis leverages the classical phenomenon of posterior contraction in Bayesian statistics, showing that the pretrained Bayes estimator adapts to unknown test distributions precisely through posterior contraction. This perspective also explains the phenomenon of length generalization, in which the test sequence length exceeds the training length, as the model performs Bayesian inference using a fractional posterior.
Nick Cannella, Anzo Teh, Yanjun Han, Yury Polyanskiy
COLT1