We study a novel variant of a contextual bandit problem with multi-dimensional reward feedback formulated as a mixed-effects model, where the correlations between multiple feedback are induced by sharing stochastic coefficients called random effects. We propose a novel algorithm, Mixed-Effects Contextual UCB (ME-CUCB), achieving tildeO(d sqrt(mT)) regret bound after T rounds where d is the dimension of contexts and m is the dimension of outcomes, with either known or unknown covariance structure. This is a tighter regret bound than that of the naive canonical linear bandit algorithm ignoring the correlations among rewards. We prove a lower bound of Omega(d sqrt(mT)) matching the upper bound up to logarithmic factors. To our knowledge, this is the first work providing a regret analysis for mixed-effects models and algorithms involving weighted least-squares estimators. Our theoretical analysis faces a significant technical challenge in that the error terms do not constitute martingales since the weights depend on the rewards. We overcome this challenge by using covering numbers, of theoretical interest in its own right. We provide numerical experiments demonstrating the advantage of our proposed algorithm, supporting the theoretical claims.

We propose a novel algorithm for generalized linear contextual bandits (GLBs) with a regret bound sublinear to the time horizon, the minimum eigenvalue of the covariance of contexts and a lower bound of the variance of rewards. In several identified cases, our result is the first regret bound for generalized linear bandits (GLBs) achieving the regret bound sublinear to the dimension of contexts without discarding the observed rewards. Previous approaches achieve the regret bound sublinear to the dimension of contexts by discarding the observed rewards, whereas our algorithm achieves the bound incorporating contexts from all arms in our double doubly robust (DDR) estimator. The DDR estimator is a subclass of doubly robust estimator but with a tighter error bound. We also provide a logarithmic cumulative regret bound under a probabilistic margin condition. This is the first regret bound under the margin condition for linear models or GLMs when contexts are different for all arms but coefficients are common. We conduct empirical studies using synthetic data and real examples, demonstrating the effectiveness of our algorithm.

We propose a linear contextual bandit algorithm for linear contextual bandits with $O(\sqrt{dT \log T})$ regret bound, where $d$ is the dimension of contexts and $T$ is the time horizon. Our proposed algorithm is equipped with a novel estimator in which exploration is embedded through explicit randomization. Depending on the randomization, our proposed estimator takes contribution either from contexts of all arms or from selected contexts. We establish a self-normalized bound for our estimator, which allows a novel decomposition of the cumulative regret into additive dimension-dependent terms instead of multiplicative terms. We also prove a novel lower bound of $\Omega(\sqrt{dT})$ under our problem setting. Hence, the regret of our proposed algorithm matches the lower bound up to logarithmic factors. The numerical experiments support the theoretical guarantees and show that our proposed method outperforms the existing linear bandit algorithms.

Contextual dynamic pricing is a problem of setting prices based on current contextual information and previous sales history to maximize revenue. A popular approach is to postulate a distribution of customer valuation as a function of contextual information and the baseline valuation. A semi-parametric setting, where the context effect is parametric and the baseline is nonparametric, is of growing interest due to its flexibility. A challenge is that customer valuation is almost never observable in practice and is instead type-I interval censored by the offered price. To address this challenge, we propose a novel semi-parametric contextual pricing algorithm for stochastic contexts, called the epoch-based Cox proportional hazards Contextual Pricing (CoxCP) algorithm. To our best knowledge, our work is the first to employ the Cox model for customer valuation. The CoxCP algorithm has a high-probability regret upper bound of $\tilde{O}( T^{\frac{2}{3}}d )$, where $T$ is the length of horizon and $d$ is the dimension of context. In addition, if the baseline is known, the regret bound can improve to $O( d \log T )$ under certain assumptions. We demonstrate empirically the proposed algorithm performs better than existing semi-parametric contextual pricing algorithms when the model assumptions of all algorithms are correct.

The statistical distance of conditional distributions is an essential element of generating target data given some data as in video prediction. We establish how the statistical distances between two joint distributions are related to those between two conditional distributions for three popular statistical distances: f-divergence, Wasserstein distance, and integral probability metrics. Such characterization plays a crucial role in deriving a tractable form of the objective function to learn a conditional generator. For Wasserstein distance, we show that the distance between joint distributions is an upper bound of the expected distance between conditional distributions, and derive a tractable representation of the upper bound. Based on this theoretical result, we propose a new conditional generator, the conditional Wasserstein generator. Our proposed algorithm can be viewed as an extension of Wasserstein autoencoders (Tolstikhin et al. 2018) to conditional generation or as a Wasserstein counterpart of stochastic video generation (SVG) model by Denton and Fergus (Denton et al. 2018). We apply our algorithm to video prediction and video interpolation. Our experiments demonstrate that the proposed algorithm performs well on benchmark video datasets and produces sharper videos than state-of-the-art methods.

A challenging aspect of the bandit problem is that a stochastic reward is observed only for the chosen arm and the rewards of other arms remain missing. The dependence of the arm choice on the past context and reward pairs compounds the complexity of regret analysis.We propose a novel multi-armed contextual bandit algorithm called Doubly Robust Thompson Sampling (DRTS) employing the doubly-robust estimator used in missing data literature to Thompson Sampling with contexts (\texttt{LinTS}).Different from previous works relying on missing data techniques (Dimakopoulou et al. [2019], Kim and Paik [2019]), the proposed algorithm is designed to allow a novel additive regret decomposition leading to an improved regret bound with the order of $\tilde{O}(\phi^{-2}\sqrt{T})$, where $\phi^2$ is the minimum eigenvalue of the covariance matrix of contexts.This is the first regret bound of \texttt{LinTS} using $\phi^2$ without $d$, where $d$ is the dimension of the context.Applying the relationship between $\phi^2$ and $d$, the regret bound of the proposed algorithm is $\tilde{O}(d\sqrt{T})$ in many practical scenarios, improving the bound of \texttt{LinTS} by a factor of $\sqrt{d}$.A benefit of the proposed method is that it uses all the context data, chosen or not chosen, thus allowing to circumvent the technical definition of unsaturated arms used in theoretical analysis of \texttt{LinTS}.Empirical studies show the advantage of the proposed algorithm over \texttt{LinTS}.

Anomaly detection is the task of finding abnormal data that are distinct from normal behavior. Current deep learning-based anomaly detection methods train neural networks with normal data alone and calculate anomaly scores based on the trained model. In this work, we formalize current practices, build a theoretical framework of anomaly detection algorithms equipped with an objective function and a hypothesis space, and establish a desirable property of the anomaly detection algorithm, namely, admissibility. Admissibility implies that optimal autoencoders for normal data yield a larger reconstruction error for anomalous data than that for normal data on average. We then propose a class of admissible anomaly detection algorithms equipped with an integral probability metric-based objective function and a class of autoencoders, Lipschitz continuous autoencoders. The proposed algorithm for Wasserstein distance is implemented by minimizing an approximated Wasserstein distance with a penalty to enforce Lipschitz continuity with respect to Wasserstein distance. Through ablation studies, we demonstrate the efficacy of enforcing Lipschitz continuity of the proposed method. The proposed method is shown to be more effective in detecting anomalies than existing methods via applications to network traffic and image datasets.

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) attempts to learn a model that minimizes the local worst-case risk in the vicinity of the empirical data distribution defined by Wasserstein ball. While WDRO has received attention as a promising tool for inference since its introduction, its theoretical understanding has not been fully matured. Gao et al. (2017) proposed a minimizer based on a tractable approximation of the local worst-case risk, but without showing risk consistency. In this paper, we propose a minimizer based on a novel approximation theorem and provide the corresponding risk consistency results. Furthermore, we develop WDRO inference for locally perturbed data that include the Mixup (Zhang et al., 2017) as a special case. We show that our approximation and risk consistency results naturally extend to the cases when data are locally perturbed. Numerical experiments demonstrate robustness of the proposed method using image classification datasets. Our results show that the proposed method achieves significantly higher accuracy than baseline models on noisy datasets.

Contextual multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms have been shown promising for maximizing cumulative rewards in sequential decision tasks such as news article recommendation systems, web page ad placement algorithms, and mobile health. However, most of the proposed contextual MAB algorithms assume linear relationships between the reward and the context of the action. This paper proposes a new contextual MAB algorithm for a relaxed, semiparametric reward model that supports nonstationarity. The proposed method is less restrictive, easier to implement and faster than two alternative algorithms that consider the same model, while achieving a tight regret upper bound. We prove that the high-probability upper bound of the regret incurred by the proposed algorithm has the same order as the Thompson sampling algorithm for linear reward models. The proposed and existing algorithms are evaluated via simulation and also applied to Yahoo! news article recommendation log data.

Contextual multi-armed bandit algorithms are widely used in sequential decision tasks such as news article recommendation systems, web page ad placement algorithms, and mobile health. Most of the existing algorithms have regret proportional to a polynomial function of the context dimension, $d$. In many applications however, it is often the case that contexts are high-dimensional with only a sparse subset of size $s_0 (\ll d)$ being correlated with the reward. We consider the stochastic linear contextual bandit problem and propose a novel algorithm, namely the Doubly-Robust Lasso Bandit algorithm, which exploits the sparse structure of the regression parameter as in Lasso, while blending the doubly-robust technique used in missing data literature. The high-probability upper bound of the regret incurred by the proposed algorithm does not depend on the number of arms and scales with $\mathrm{log}(d)$ instead of a polynomial function of $d$. The proposed algorithm shows good performance when contexts of different arms are correlated and requires less tuning parameters than existing methods.