Causal inference using observational text data is becoming increasingly popular in many research areas.This paper presents the Bayesian Topic Regression (BTR) model that uses both text and numerical information to model an outcome variable.It allows estimation of both discrete and continuous treatment effects.Furthermore, it allows for the inclusion of additional numerical confounding factors next to text data.To this end, we combine a supervised Bayesian topic model with a Bayesian regression framework and perform supervised representation learning for the text features jointly with the regression parameter training, respecting the Frisch-Waugh-Lovell theorem.Our paper makes two main contributions.First, we provide a regression framework that allows causal inference in settings when both text and numerical confounders are of relevance.We show with synthetic and semi-synthetic datasets that our joint approach recovers ground truth with lower bias than any benchmark model, when text and numerical features are correlated.Second, experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that a joint and supervised learning strategy also yields superior prediction results compared to strategies that estimate regression weights for text and non-text features separately, being even competitive with more complex deep neural networks.

Batch Bayesian optimisation (BO) has been successfully applied to hyperparameter tuning using parallel computing, but it is wasteful of resources: workers that complete jobs ahead of others are left idle. We address this problem by developing an approach, Penalising Locally for Asynchronous Bayesian Optimisation on K Workers (PLAyBOOK), for asynchronous parallel BO. We demonstrate empirically the efficacy of PLAyBOOK and its variants on synthetic tasks and a real-world problem. We undertake a comparison between synchronous and asynchronous BO, and show that asynchronous BO often outperforms synchronous batch BO in both wall-clock time and sample efficiency.

We consider multi-agent planning in which the agents' optimal plans are solutions to mixed-integer programs (MIP) that are coupled via integer constraints. While in principle, one could find the joint solution by combining the separate problems into one large joint centralized MIP, this approach rapidly becomes intractable for growing numbers of agents and large problem domains. To address this issue, we propose an iterative approach that combines conflict detection with constraint-generation whereby the agents plan repeatedly until all conflicts are resolved. In each planning iteration, the agents plan with as few other agents and interaction-constraints as possible. This yields an optimal method that can reduce computation markedly. We test our approach in the context of multi-agent collision avoidance in graphs with indivisible flows. Our initial simulations on randomized graph routing problems confirm predicted optimality and reduced computational effort.