We discuss the problem of estimating Radon-Nikodym derivatives. This problem appears in various applications, such as covariate shift adaptation, likelihood-ratio testing, mutual information estimation, and conditional probability estimation. However, in many of the above applications one is interested in the pointwise evaluation of the Radon-Nikodym derivatives rather than in their approximation as elements of some spaces of functions, and this aspect has been left unexplored in the previous studies. To address the above problem, we employ the general regularization scheme in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. The convergence rate of the corresponding regularized algorithm is established by taking into account both the smoothness of the derivative and the capacity of the space in which it is estimated. This is done in terms of general source conditions and the regularized Christoffel functions. We also find that the reconstruction of Radon-Nikodym derivatives at any particular point can be done with higher order of accuracy as compared to the reported work available so far. Our theoretical results are illustrated by numerical simulations.

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from finitely many observations of the densities is a central problem in machine learning and statistics with applications in two-sample testing, divergence estimation, generative modeling, covariate shift adaptation, conditional density estimation, and novelty detection. In this work, we analyze a large class of density ratio estimation methods that minimize a regularized Bregman divergence between the true density ratio and a model in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). We derive new finite-sample error bounds, and we propose a Lepskii type parameter choice principle that minimizes the bounds without knowledge of the regularity of the density ratio. In the special case of square loss, our method adaptively achieves a minimax optimal error rate. A numerical illustration is provided.

We address the unsolved algorithm design problem of choosing a justified regularization parameter in unsupervised domain adaptation. This problem is intriguing as no labels are available in the target domain. Our approach starts with the observation that the widely-used method of minimizing the source error, penalized by a distance measure between source and target feature representations, shares characteristics with regularized ill-posed inverse problems. Regularization parameters in inverse problems are optimally chosen by the fundamental principle of balancing approximation and sampling errors. We use this principle to balance learning errors and domain distance in a target error bound. As a result, we obtain a theoretically justified rule for the choice of the regularization parameter. In contrast to the state of the art, our approach allows source and target distributions with disjoint supports. An empirical comparative study on benchmark datasets underpins the performance of our approach.