We consider a latent space model for dynamic networks, where our objective is to estimate the pairwise inner products plus the intercept of the latent positions. To balance posterior inference and computational scalability, we consider a structured mean-field variational inference framework, where the time-dependent properties of the dynamic networks are exploited to facilitate computation and inference. Additionally, an easy-to-implement block coordinate ascent algorithm is developed with message-passing type updates in each block, whereas the complexity per iteration is linear with the number of nodes and time points. To certify the optimality, we demonstrate that the variational risk of the proposed variational inference approach attains the minimax optimal rate with only a logarithm factor under certain conditions. To this end, we first derive the minimax lower bound, which might be of independent interest. In addition, we show that the posterior under commonly adopted Gaussian random walk priors can achieve the minimax lower bound with only a logarithm factor. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first such a throughout theoretical analysis of Bayesian dynamic latent space models. Simulations and real data analysis demonstrate the efficacy of our methodology and the efficiency of our algorithm.

Graphical models are used to capture complex multivariate relationships and have applications in diverse disciplines such as biology, physics, and economics. Within this field, Gaussian graphical models aim to identify the pairs of variables whose dependence is maintained even after conditioning on the remaining variables in the data, known as the conditional dependence structure of the data. There are many existing software packages for Gaussian graphical modeling, however, they often make restrictive assumptions that reduce their flexibility for modeling data that are not identically distributed. Conversely, covdepGE is an R implementation of a variational weighted pseudo-likelihood algorithm for modeling the conditional dependence structure as a continuous function of an extraneous covariate. To build on the efficiency of this algorithm, covdepGE leverages parallelism and C++ integration with R. Additionally, covdepGE provides fully-automated and data-driven hyperparameter specification while maintaining flexibility for the user to decide key components of the estimation procedure. Through an extensive simulation study spanning diverse settings, covdepGE is demonstrated to be top of its class in recovering the ground truth conditional dependence structure while efficiently managing computational overhead.

Investigating relationships between response variables and covariates in areas such as environmental science, geoscience, and public health is an important endeavor. Based on a Bayesian mixture of finite mixtures model, we present a novel spatially clustered coefficients regression model for count value data. The proposed method detects the spatial homogeneity of the Poisson regression coefficients. A Markov random field constrained mixture of finite mixtures prior provides a regularized estimator of the number of clusters of regression coefficients with geographical neighborhood information. As a by-product, we also provide the theoretical properties of our proposed method when the Markov random field is exchangeable. An efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is developed by using the multivariate log gamma distribution as a base distribution. Simulation studies are carried out to examine the empirical performance of the proposed method. Additionally, we analyze Georgia's premature death data as an illustration of the effectiveness of our approach. The supplementary materials are provided on GitHub at https://github.com/pengzhaostat/MLG_MFM.

The computational limitations of enormously large datasets make statistical inference with big data challenging. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach that uses nonuniform subsampled data to derive the pseudo-posterior distribution of the parameters of interest Using the proposed subsampling strategies, we investigate a Jeffery’s prior. In addition, we develop a theoretical framework for analyzing the posterior convergence rate of the pseudo-posterior in subsampling, which relaxes the conditions of corresponding theoretical results from sample survey literature. Extensive simulation studies are carried out to confirm the valid estimation and computational efficiency of our proposed method. Finally, we analyze PUMS Data as illustrations of the effectiveness of our approach.