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Alex Aussem

dblp:a/AAussem · also Alexandre Aussem · DBLP profile ↗
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55ranked-venue papers
19as first author
6since 2021 · last 2026
0000-0002-8797-5403ORCID · conflict

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 52 · 17 first-author · 5 since 2021Databases, data management, data science and information retrieval · 15 · 2 first-author · 2 since 2021Applied, interdisciplinary, general and emerging computing · 3 · 2 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
2 papers
Learning paradigms · 35% Trustworthy machine learning · 35% Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 30%
Databases, data mining, and information retrieval
2 papers
Data mining · 96% Data integration and cleaning · 4%

Topics — the 10 heaviest of 11, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Learning paradigms
multi-label classification
0.212015
On the Optimality of Multi-Label Classification under Subset Zero-One Loss for Distributions Satisfying the Composition Property · ICML 2015
Data mining › dimensionality reduction
feature selection
0.222010
Feature Selection for Unsupervised Learning Using Random Cluster Ensembles · ICDM 2010
A Conservative Feature Subset Selection Algorithm with Missing Data · ICDM 2008
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › interpretability
feature importance
0.112011
Semi-supervised Feature Importance Evaluation with Ensemble Learning · ICDM 2011
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning
interpretability
0.112011
Semi-supervised Feature Importance Evaluation with Ensemble Learning · ICDM 2011
Data mining
clustering
0.112010
Feature Selection for Unsupervised Learning Using Random Cluster Ensembles · ICDM 2010
Data mining › clustering
ensemble clustering
0.112010
Feature Selection for Unsupervised Learning Using Random Cluster Ensembles · ICDM 2010
Data mining › dimensionality reduction › feature selection
unsupervised feature selection
0.112010
Feature Selection for Unsupervised Learning Using Random Cluster Ensembles · ICDM 2010
Data mining › dimensionality reduction › feature selection
markov blanket feature selection
0.112008
A Conservative Feature Subset Selection Algorithm with Missing Data · ICDM 2008
Machine learning › Learning paradigms
semi-supervised learning
0.012011
Semi-supervised Feature Importance Evaluation with Ensemble Learning · ICDM 2011
Data integration and cleaning
missing data
0.012008
A Conservative Feature Subset Selection Algorithm with Missing Data · ICDM 2008

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

random forest · 0.2feature subset selection · 0.2factorization of conditional distribution · 0.2permutation-based out-of-bag feature importance · 0.1co-training · 0.1random cluster ensembles · 0.1markov blanket · 0.1expectation-maximization · 0.1
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2026 Diagnosing Hallucinations in RAG-Based Educational Recommendation Systems: A Controlled Comparative Study
Ichrak Ennaceur, Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem, Guillaume Lefebvre, Matthieu Sonnati
ISMIS3
2025 Prompt-Based Recommendation with In-Context Learning and Category-Enriched Modeling
abstract
The increasing scale and diversity of available content pose significant challenges for recommendation systems, including data sparsity, cold-start scenarios, and lack of personalization. We present a modular recommendation framework that addresses these issues by combining category-level sequence modeling with retrieval-augmented generation guided by structured prompts. By predicting semantic category trajectories rather than individual items, the system captures long-term user interests and improves generalization to unseen content. Retrieved documents and user context are dynamically injected into generation via prompt engineering strategies, enabling high-quality recommendations without model finetuning. Experiments demonstrate that incorporating category signals leads to substantial performance improvements, particularly in cold-start settings.
Ichrak Ennaceur, Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem, Guillaume Lefebvre, Matthieu Sonnati
AICCSA3
2025 Rx-PAD: Recognition and eXtraction - A Dataset for Prescription Analysis and Clinical Data Structuring
Jonathan Pattin Cottet, Véronique Eglin, Alex Aussem
ICDAR (5)3
2024 A new sentence embedding framework for the education and professional training domain with application to hierarchical multi-label text classification
Guillaume Lefebvre, Haytham Elghazel, Théodore Guillet, Alex Aussem, Matthieu Sonnati
Data Knowl. Eng.4
2022 Nonparametric neural topic modeling for customer insight extraction about the tire industry
abstract
In the age of social media, customers have become opinion makers that share their experience. People interested in a product can reach for these reviews on the whole Internet, thus leading to heterogeneity of data sources. As the massive amounts of data are not systematically accessible through APIs, companies frequently scrap it from several platforms and marketplaces. Data acquisition processes include some amount of ETL, yet the variability of noise contained in the data and the heterogeneity induced by different existing sources create the need for ad-hoc tools. In other words, and even if large quantities of data are accessible for virtually free, customer insight extraction is an harduous task. To circumvent this issue, we apply the Embedded Dirichlet Process (EDP) and the Embedded Hierarchical Dirichlet Process (EHDP) in a realistic setting regarding industrial practices. These neural topic models simultaneously learn the number of topics, representations of documents, topic embeddings and word embeddings from data. These properties allow for semantic units' disambiguation and for deeper text exploration than other approaches. As such, they can also serve as a way to refine industrial ETL processes. When not higher, both the EDP and the EHDP models achieve similar likelihood than other methods in our experimental settings, while providing with more analytical levels. Last but not least, we could achieve our results without having to perform costly reruns to find the number of topics.
Miguel Palencia-Olivar, Stéphane Bonnevay, Alex Aussem, Bruno Canitia
IJCNN3
2021 Neural Embedded Dirichlet Processes for Topic Modeling
Miguel Palencia-Olivar, Stéphane Bonnevay, Alex Aussem, Bruno Canitia
MDAI3
2020 Building bagging on critical instances
abstract
Abstract The ensemble method is a powerful data mining paradigm, which builds a classification model by integrating multiple diversified component learners. Bagging is one of the most successful ensemble methods. It is made of bootstrap‐inspired classifiers and uses these classifiers to get an aggregated classifier. However, in bagging, bootstrapped training sets become more and more similar as redundancy is increasing. Besides redundancy, any training set is usually subject to noise. Moreover, the training set might be imbalanced. Thus, each training instance has a different impact on the learning process. This paper explores some properties of the ensemble margin and its use in improving the performance of bagging. We introduce a new approach to measure the importance of training data in learning, based on the margin theory. Then, a new bagging method concentrating on critical instances is proposed. This method is more accurate than bagging and more robust than boosting. Compared to bagging, it reduces the bias while generally keeping the same variance. Our findings suggest that (a) examples with low margins tend to be more critical for the classifier performance; (b) examples with higher margins tend to be more redundant; (c) misclassified examples with high margins tend to be noisy examples. Our experimental results on 15 various data sets show that the generalization error of bagging can be reduced up to 2.5% and its resilience to noise strengthened by iteratively removing both typical and noisy training instances, reducing the training set size by up to 75%.
Li Guo 0005, Samia Boukir, Alex Aussem
Expert Syst. J. Knowl. Eng.3
2019 Recurrent Neural Network Approach for Table Field Extraction in Business Documents
abstract
Efficiently extracting information from documents issued by their partners is crucial for companies that face huge daily document flows. Particularly, tables contain most valuable information of business documents. However, their contents are challenging to automatically parse as tables from industrial contexts may have complex and ambiguous physical structure. Bypassing their structure recognition, we propose a generic method for end-to-end table field extraction that starts with the sequence of document tokens segmented by an OCR engine and directly tags each token with one of the possible field types. Similar to the state-of-the-art methods for non-tabular field extraction, our approach resorts to a token level recurrent neural network combining spatial and textual features. We empirically assess the effectiveness of recurrent connections for our task by comparing our method with a baseline feedforward network having local context knowledge added to its inputs. We train and evaluate both approaches on a dataset of 28,570 purchase orders to retrieve the ID numbers and quantities of the ordered products. Our method outperforms the baseline with micro F1 score on unknown document layouts of 0.821 compared to 0.764.
Clément Sage, Alex Aussem, Haytham Elghazel, Véronique Eglin, Jérémy Espinas
ICDAR2
2019 Hierarchical Recurrent Attention Networks for Context-Aware Education Chatbots
abstract
We propose a hierarchical network architecture for context-aware dialogue systems, that chooses which parts of the past conversation to focus on through a two-layer attention mechanism. The model can encode the parts of the historical dialog that are relevant to the current question to reason about the required response. We first assess the performance of our model on the Dialog bAbI task that involves a restaurant reservation system, where the goal is to book a table at a restaurant. We then train our model on a new hand-crafted dialogue data set, consisting of 7500 dialogues, to inform prospective students about the Data Science master program at University of Lyon.
Jean-Baptiste Aujogue, Alex Aussem
IJCNN2
2017 Reducing variance due to importance weighting in covariate shift bias correction
Van-Tinh Tran, Alex Aussem
ESANN2
2017 Dynamic Ensemble Selection with Probabilistic Classifier Chains
Anil Narassiguin, Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem
ECML/PKDD (1)3
2016 F-Measure Maximization in Multi-Label Classification with Conditionally Independent Label Subsets
Maxime Gasse, Alex Aussem
ECML/PKDD (1)2
2016 Ensemble multi-label text categorization based on rotation forest and latent semantic indexing
Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem, Ouadie Gharroudi, Wafa Saadaoui
Expert Syst. Appl.2
2016 An extensive empirical comparison of ensemble learning methods for binary classification
Anil Narassiguin, Mohamed Bibimoune, Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem
Pattern Anal. Appl.4
2015 On the Optimality of Multi-Label Classification under Subset Zero-One Loss for Distributions Satisfying the Composition Property
abstract
The benefit of exploiting label dependence in multi-label classification is known to be closely dependent on the type of loss to be minimized. In this paper, we show that the subsets of labels that appear as irreducible factors in the factorization of the conditional distribution of the label set given the input features play a pivotal role for multi-label classification in the context of subset Zero-One loss minimization, as they divide the learning task into simpler independent multi-class problems. We establish theoretical results to characterize and identify these irreducible label factors for any given probability distribution satisfying the Composition property. The analysis lays the foundation for generic multi-label classification and optimal feature subset selection procedures under this subclass of distributions. Our conclusions are supported by carefully designed experiments on synthetic and benchmark data.
Maxime Gasse, Alex Aussem, Haytham Elghazel
ICML2
2015 Calibrated k-labelsets for Ensemble Multi-label Classification
Ouadie Gharroudi, Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem
ICONIP (1)3
2015 Correcting a Class of Complete Selection Bias with External Data Based on Importance Weight Estimation
Van-Tinh Tran, Alex Aussem
ICONIP (3)2
2015 Ensemble Multi-label Classification: A Comparative Study on Threshold Selection and Voting Methods
abstract
Multi-label classification has attracted an increasing amount of attention in recent years. To this end, many ensemble-based algorithms have been developed to classify multi-label data in an effective manner. There are several factors that differentiate between the various ensembles methods to output a label set prediction for unseen instances: the method of combining the predictions of the base classifiers and the thresholding strategy to implement a decision function. In this paper, we present an extensive empirical study comparing several multi-label ensemble methods over ten benchmark data sets. We also examine the influence of two types of voting schemas and the effect of calibrating the final decision function via single and Multi thresholding strategies on each performance metric. The experimental results were analyzed using statistical test to assess the statistical differences in the predictions performance.
Ouadie Gharroudi, Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem
ICTAI3
2015 A Practical Approach to Reduce the Learning Bias Under Covariate Shift
Van-Tinh Tran, Alex Aussem
ECML/PKDD (2)2
2015 Unsupervised feature selection with ensemble learning
Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem
Mach. Learn.2
2014 A hybrid algorithm for Bayesian network structure learning with application to multi-label learning
Maxime Gasse, Alex Aussem, Haytham Elghazel
Expert Syst. Appl.2
2012 An Experimental Comparison of Hybrid Algorithms for Bayesian Network Structure Learning
Maxime Gasse, Alex Aussem, Haytham Elghazel
ECML/PKDD (1)2
2012 Analysis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma risk factors with Bayesian networks
Alex Aussem, Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Marilys Corbex
Artif. Intell. Medicine1
2012 A semi-supervised feature ranking method with ensemble learning
Fazia Bellal, Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem
Pattern Recognit. Lett.3
2011 Semi-supervised Feature Importance Evaluation with Ensemble Learning
abstract
We consider the problem of using a large amount of unlabeled data to improve the efficiency of feature selection in high dimensional datasets, when only a small set of labeled examples is available. We propose a new semi-supervised feature importance evaluation method (SSFI for short), that combines ideas from co-training and random forests with a new permutation-based out-of-bag feature importance measure. We provide empirical results on several benchmark datasets indicating that SSFI can lead to significant improvement over state-of-the-art semi-supervised and supervised algorithms.
Hasna Barkia, Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem
ICDM3
2010 Feature Selection for Unsupervised Learning Using Random Cluster Ensembles
abstract
In this paper, we propose another extension of the Random Forests paradigm to unlabeled data, leading to localized unsupervised feature selection (FS). We show that the way internal estimates are used to measure variable importance in Random Forests are also applicable to FS in unsupervised learning. We first illustrate the clustering performance of the proposed method on various data sets based on widely used external criteria of clustering quality. We then assess the accuracy and the scalability of the FS procedure on UCI and real labeled data sets and compare its effectiveness against other FS methods.
Haytham Elghazel, Alex Aussem
ICDM2
2010 An Efficient and Scalable Algorithm for Local Bayesian Network Structure Discovery
Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Alex Aussem
ECML/PKDD (3)2
2010 Analysis of lifestyle and metabolic predictors of visceral obesity with Bayesian Networks
abstract
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to provide a framework for the analysis of visceral obesity and its determinants in women, where complex inter-relationships are observed among lifestyle, nutritional and metabolic predictors. Thirty-four predictors related to lifestyle, adiposity, body fat distribution, blood lipids and adipocyte sizes have been considered as potential correlates of visceral obesity in women. To properly address the difficulties in managing such interactions given our limited sample of 150 women, bootstrapped Bayesian networks were constructed based on novel constraint-based learning methods that appeared recently in the statistical learning community. Statistical significance of edge strengths was evaluated and the less reliable edges were pruned to increase the network robustness. To allow accessible interpretation and integrate biological knowledge into the final network, several undirected edges were afterwards directed with physiological expertise according to relevant literature. RESULTS: Extensive experiments on synthetic data sampled from a known Bayesian network show that the algorithm, called Recursive Hybrid Parents and Children (RHPC), outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms that appeared in the recent literature. Regarding biological plausibility, we found that the inference results obtained with the proposed method were in excellent agreement with biological knowledge. For example, these analyses indicated that visceral adipose tissue accumulation is strongly related to blood lipid alterations independent of overall obesity level. CONCLUSIONS: Bayesian Networks are a useful tool for investigating and summarizing evidence when complex relationships exist among predictors, in particular, as in the case of multifactorial conditions like visceral obesity, when there is a concurrent incidence for several variables, interacting in a complex manner. The source code and the data sets used for the empirical tests are available at http://www710.univ-lyon1.fr/~aaussem/Software.html.
Alex Aussem, André Tchernof, Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Sophie Rome
BMC Bioinform.1
2010 Bayesian networks
Alex Aussem
Neurocomputing1
2010 A conservative feature subset selection algorithm with missing data
Alex Aussem, Sergio Rodrigues de Morais
Neurocomputing1
2010 A novel Markov boundary based feature subset selection algorithm
Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Alex Aussem
Neurocomputing2
2009 Robust Gene Selection from Microarray Data with a Novel Markov Boundary Learning Method: Application to Diabetes Analysis
Alex Aussem, Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Florence Perraud, Sophie Rome
ECSQARU1
2009 Exploiting Data Missingness in Bayesian Network Modeling
Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Alex Aussem
IDA2
2009 Incremental Bayesian Network Learning for Scalable Feature Selection
Grégory Thibault, Alex Aussem, Stéphane Bonnevay
IDA2
2008 SOM based clustering with instance-level constraints
Fazia Bellal, Khalid Benabdeslem, Alex Aussem
ESANN3
2008 Handling almost-deterministic relationships in constraint-based Bayesian network discovery : Application to cancer risk factor identification
Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Alex Aussem, Marilys Corbex
ESANN2
2008 A Conservative Feature Subset Selection Algorithm with Missing Data
abstract
This paper introduces a novel conservative feature subset selection method with incomplete data sets. The method is conservative in the sense that it selects the minimal subset of features that renders the rest of the features independent of the target (the class variable) without making any assumption about the missing data mechanism. This is achieved in the context of determining the Markov blanket of the target that reflects the worst-case assumption about the missing data mechanism, including the case when data is not missing at random. An application of the method on synthetic incomplete data is carried out to illustrate its practical relevance. The method is compared against state-of-the-art approaches such as the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm and the available case technique.
Alex Aussem, Sergio Rodrigues de Morais
ICDM1
2008 A Novel Scalable and Data Efficient Feature Subset Selection Algorithm
Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Alex Aussem
ECML/PKDD (2)2
2007 Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Data Analysis with a Novel Bayesian Network Skeleton Learning Algorithm
Alex Aussem, Sergio Rodrigues de Morais, Marilys Corbex
AIME1
2006 Modelling switching dynamics using prediction experts operating on distinct wavelet scales
Alex Aussem, Pierre Chainais
ESANN1
2006 Learning with monotonicity requirements for optimal routing with end-to-end quality of service constraints
Antoine Mahul, Alex Aussem
ESANN2
2006 Probabilistic classifiers and time-scale representations: application to the monitoring of a tramway guiding system
Zahra Hamou Mamar, Pierre Chainais, Alex Aussem
ESANN3
2003 Closed Loop Stability of FIR-Recurrent Neural Networks
Alex Aussem
ICANN1
2003 Distributed Neural Networks for Quality of Service Estimation in Communication Networks
abstract
We study an original scheme based on distributed feedforward neural networks, aimed at modelling several queueing systems in cascade fed with bursty traffic. For each queueing system, a neural network is trained to anticipate the average number of waiting packets, the packet loss rate and the coefficient of variation of the packet inter-departure time, given the mean rate, the peak rate and the coefficient of variation of the packet inter-arrival time. The latter serves for the calculation of the coefficient of variation of the cell inter-arrival time of the aggregated traffic which is fed as input to the next neural network along the path. The potential of this method is successfully illustrated on several single server FIFO (First In, First Out) queues and on small queueing networks made up from a combination of queues in tandem and in parallel fed by a superposition of ideal sources. Our long-term goal is the design of preventive control strategy in a multiservice communication network.
Antoine Mahul, Alex Aussem
Int. J. Comput. Intell. Appl.2
2002 Sufficient Conditions for Error Backflow Convergence in Dynamical Recurrent Neural Networks
abstract
This article extends previous analysis of the gradient decay to a class of discrete-time fully recurrent networks, called dynamical recurrent neural networks, obtained by modeling synapses as finite impulse response (FIR) filters instead of multiplicative scalars. Using elementary matrix manipulations, we provide an upper bound on the norm of the weight matrix, ensuring that the gradient vector, when propagated in a reverse manner in time through the error-propagation network, decays exponentially to zero. This bound applies to all recurrent FIR architecture proposals, as well as fixed-point recurrent networks, regardless of delay and connectivity. In addition, we show that the computational overhead of the learning algorithm can be reduced drastically by taking advantage of the exponential decay of the gradient.
Alex Aussem
Neural Comput.1
2001 Segmentation of switching dynamics with a Hidden Markov Model of neural prediction experts
Alex Aussem, C. Boutevin
ESANN1
2001 Web traffic demand forecasting using wavelet-based multiscale decomposition
abstract
In this paper we propose an experimental forecasting strategy taking into account the long-range dependence of aggregate network traffic, and we apply it to provide one-minute-ahead World-Wide Web (Web) traffic demand forecasts in terms of average number of bytes transferred. Recently, statistical examination of Web traces have shown evidence that Web traffic arising from file transfers exhibits a behavior that is consistent with the notion of self-similarity. Essentially, self-similarity indicates that significant burstiness is present on a wide range of time scales (i.e., the process is long-range dependent). Hence the idea of exploiting this multiscale property with a view towards discovering and capturing regularities underlying the time series which may prove useful for short-term traffic load forecasting. We carry out a wavelet transform decomposition of the original series to decompose the traffic time series into varying scales of temporal resolution, with the aim of making the underlying temporal structures more tractable. In a second step, each individual wavelet series—supposed to capture some features of the series—is fitted with a dynamical recurrent neural network (DRNN) model to output the wavelet forecast. The latter are afterwards recombined to form the next-minute Web Traffic demand. The method is applied on a large set of HTTP logs and is shown to yield good results. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Alex Aussem, Fionn Murtagh
Int. J. Intell. Syst.1
2000 Sufficient Conditions for Error Back Flow Convergence in Dynamical Recurrent Neural Networks
abstract
This paper extends previous analysis of the gradient decay to a class of discrete-time fully recurrent networks, called dynamical recurrent neural networks, obtained by modelling synapses as finite impulse response (FIR) filters instead of multiplicative scalars. Using elementary matrix manipulations, we provide an upper bound on the norm of the weight matrix ensuring that the gradient vector, when propagated in a reverse manner in time through the error-propagation network, decays exponentially to zero. This bounds apply to all FIR architecture proposals as well as fixed point recurrent networks, regardless of delay and connectivity. In addition, we show that the computational overhead of the learning algorithm can be reduced drastically by taking advantage of the exponential decay of the gradient.
Alex Aussem
IJCNN (4)1
2000 Queuing Network Modeling with Distributed Neural Networks for Service Quality Estimation in B-ISDN Network
abstract
We discuss a scheme based on distributed feedforward neural networks (NN), aimed at modelling several queueing systems in cascade fed with bursty traffic. For each queueing system, a neural network is trained to anticipate the average number of waiting packets, the packet loss rate and the coefficient of variation of the packet inter-departure time, given the mean rate, the peak rate and the coefficient of variation of the packet inter-arrival time. The latter serves for the calculation of the coefficient of variation of the cell inter-arrival time of the aggregated traffic which is fed as input to the next NN along the path. The potential of this method was sucessfully illustrated on several single server FIFO queues in Aussem et al. (1999). We now apply this technique to model a small queueing network made up from a combination of queues in tandem and in parallel fed by a superimposition of OnOff sources. Our long-term goal is the design of preventive control strategy in a multiservice communication network.
Alex Aussem, Antoine Mahul, Raymond Marie
IJCNN (5)1
2000 Neural-network metamodelling for the prediction of Caulerpa taxifolia development in the Mediterranean sea
Alex Aussem, David R. C. Hill
Neurocomputing1
2000 Neural network modelling for environmental prediction
Fionn Murtagh, Jonathan G. Campbell, Alex Aussem
Neurocomputing4
1999 Dynamical recurrent neural networks towards prediction and modeling of dynamical systems
Alex Aussem
Neurocomputing1
1997 Combining Neural Network Forecasts on Wavelet-transformed Time Series
abstract
We discuss a simple strategy aimed at improving neural network prediction accuracy, based on the combination of predictions at varying resolution levels of the domain under investigation (here: time series). First, a wavelet transform is used to decompose the time series into varying scales of temporal resolution. The latter provides a sensible decomposition of the data so that the underlying temporal structures of the original time series become more tractable. Then, a dynamical recurrent neural netork is trained on each resolution scale with the temporal-recurrent backpropagation algorithm. By virtue of its internal dynamic, this general class of dynamic connections network approximates the underlying law governing each resolution level by a system of non-linear difference equations. The individual wavelet scale forecasts are afterwards recombined to form the current estimate. The predictive ability of this strategy is assessed with the sunspot series.
Alex Aussem, Fionn Murtagh
Connect. Sci.1
1996 Fuzzy astronomical seeing nowcasts with a dynamical and recurrent connectionist network
Alex Aussem, Fionn Murtagh, Marc Sarazin
Neurocomputing1
1995 Dynamical recurrent neural networks -- towards environmental time series prediction
abstract
Dynamical Recurrent Neural Networks (DRNN) (Aussem 1995a) are a class of fully recurrent networks obtained by modeling synapses as autoregressive filters. By virtue of their internal dynamic, these networks approximate the underlying law governing the time series by a system of nonlinear difference equations of internal variables. They therefore provide history-sensitive forecasts without having to be explicitly fed with external memory. The model is trained by a local and recursive error propagation algorithm called temporal-recurrent-backpropagation. The efficiency of the procedure benefits from the exponential decay of the gradient terms backpropagated through the adjoint network. We assess the predictive ability of the DRNN model with meterological and astronomical time series recorded around the candidate observation sites for the future VLT telescope. The hope is that reliable environmental forecasts provided with the model will allow the modern telescopes to be preset, a few hours in advance, in the most suited instrumental mode. In this perspective, the model is first appraised on precipitation measurements with traditional nonlinear AR and ARMA techniques using feedforward networks. Then we tackle a complex problem, namely the prediction of astronomical seeing, known to be a very erratic time series. A fuzzy coding approach is used to reduce the complexity of the underlying laws governing the seeing. Then, a fuzzy correspondence analysis is carried out to explore the internal relationships in the data. Based on a carefully selected set of meteorological variables at the same time-point, a nonlinear multiple regression, termed nowcasting (Murtagh et al. 1993, 1995), is carried out on the fuzzily coded seeing records. The DRNN is shown to outperform the fuzzy k-nearest neighbors method.
Alex Aussem, Fionn Murtagh, Marc Sarazin
Int. J. Neural Syst.1