Urban land use, intrinsically linked to people’s daily activities, undergoes continuous evolution, presenting a complex interplay that remains partially understood. To bridge this gap, our study leverages fine-grained human mobility data to predict these changes, adopting a novel approach that conceptualizes “community-level” land use shifts as a regression problem and represents citywide changes through dynamic graphs. We harness recent advancements in graph neural networks (GNNs), which, despite their success in various applications, face challenges in directly predicting land use changes due to the temporal mismatch between the slow evolution of urban land and the immediacy of human mobility data. Our research stands out by introducing a temporal skeleton for dynamic GNNs to synchronize human activity graphs with urban land use changes, a dynamic heterogeneous GNN approach for integrating diverse human activity data to capture essential temporal dependencies, and a novel algorithm powered by causal inference to elucidate the primary factors influencing land use predictions at the community level, all of which contribute to a training process informed by the generated causal graph. Empirically validated on three real-world datasets, our model demonstrates a performance leap over state-of-the-art baselines, marking a pivotal step toward understanding and predicting the dynamics of urban land use.

Real-world time series data is inherently complex, noisy, and exhibits abrupt changes, posing various challenges in data modeling. Given the ubiquity and importance of time-series data, accurately forecasting change points, instead of the overall predictive performance, has become increasingly attractive as it assists in risk mitigation and loss prevention. In this task, we argue that the past and future interactions involving the target points determine the comprehensive structure contributing to abrupt changes. However, traditional left-to-right auto-regressive approaches only consider the historical sequence, resulting in a flawed learning process and limited performance. In this paper, we extend the teacher-student learning and propose a novel S elf-optimizing T eacher and A uto-matching S tudent framework (named ST-AS) to predict change points in time series data. Our framework models change point representations specific to the target points by integrating future knowledge while avoiding data leakage. Specifically, we design a Gumbel-enhanced filter for our self-optimizing teacher, which constructs selected and filtered sub-groups to derive discriminative representations using a positive-unlabeled learning strategy. Given this well-trained teacher, we propose an adaptive pattern matcher for our auto-matching student model, which learns missing information by automatically aligning relevant features. After that, a novel two-stage dual-guided learning process is then designed to mimic teacher’s decision-making behavior and enhance student’s excavate capability. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on four real-world datasets to demonstrate that our proposed ST-AS exhibits significantly better prediction performance compared to existing state-of-the-art alternatives.

Federated learning, as a distributed machine learning framework, enables clients to conduct model training without transmitting their data to the server, which is used to solve the dilemma of data silos and data privacy. It can work well on clients having similar data characteristics and distribution. However, it has some limitations where the dataset of clients may be different in distribution, quantity, and concept in many application scenarios. Personalized federated learning is a new federated learning paradigm that aims to guarantee client personalized models’ effectiveness when collaborating with the cloud server. Intuitively, providing further facilitated collaborations for the clients with similar data characteristics and distribution can benefit personalized model building. However, due to the invisibility of client data, it is challenging to extract client characteristics and define collaborative relationships among them from a fine-grained view. Moreover, a reasonable collaborative training approach needs to be designed for a distributed server–client framework. In this article, we design a Hierarchical Attention-enhanced Meta-learning Network (HAM) to address this issue. The main advantage of HAM is that it utilizes the meta-learning approach of taking model parameters as features and learns to learn an extra model for each client to analyze similarities according to their local dataset automatically. According to its two-layers framework, HAM can reasonably achieve a tradeoff between clients’ personality and commonality and provides a hybrid model with useful information from all clients. Considering there are two networks (HAM and base network) that need to learn for each client during the federated training process, we then provide an alternative learning approach to train them in an end-to-end fashion. To further clarify the approach, we describe the personalized federated learning settings framework as FedHAM where the HAM network is distributed deployed in each client. Extensive experiments based on two datasets prove that our method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines under different evaluation metrics.