Signed networks allow us to model conflicting relationships and interactions, such as friend/enemy and support/oppose. These signed interactions happen in real-time. Modeling such dynamics of signed networks is crucial to understanding the evolution of polarization in the network and enabling effective prediction of the signed structure (i.e., link signs) in the future. However, existing works have modeled either (static) signed networks or dynamic (unsigned) networks but not dynamic signed networks. Since both sign and dynamics inform the graph structure in different ways, it is non-trivial to model how to combine the two features. In this work, we propose a new Graph Neural Network (GNN)-based approach to model dynamic signed networks, named SEMBA: Signed link's Evolution using Memory modules and Balanced Aggregation. Here, the idea is to incorporate the signs of temporal interactions using separate modules guided by balance theory and to evolve the embeddings from a higher-order neighborhood. Experiments on 4 real-world datasets and 3 different tasks demonstrate that SEMBA consistently and significantly outperforms the baselines by up to 80% on the tasks of predicting signs of future links while matching the state-of-the-art performance on predicting existence of these links in the future. We find that this improvement is due specifically to superior performance of SEMBA on the minority negative class. Code is made available at https://github.com/claws-lab/semba.

The problem of community-level information pathway prediction (CLIPP) aims at predicting the transmission trajectory of content across online communities. A successful solution to CLIPP holds significance as it facilitates the distribution of valuable information to a larger audience and prevents the proliferation of misinfor- mation. Notably, solving CLIPP is non-trivial as inter-community relationships and influence are unknown, information spread is multi-modal, and new content and new communities appear over time. In this work, we address CLIPP by collecting large-scale, multi-modal datasets to examine the diffusion of online YouTube videos on Reddit. We analyze these datasets to construct community influence graphs (CIGs) and develop a novel dynamic graph frame- work, INPAC (Information Pathway Across Online Communities), which incorporates CIGs to capture the temporal variability and multi-modal nature of video propagation across communities. Ex- perimental results in both warm-start and cold-start scenarios show that INPAC outperforms seven baselines in CLIPP. Our code and datasets are available at https://github.com/claws-lab/INPAC

Real-world graphs such as social networks, communication networks, and rating networks are constantly evolving over time. Many deep learning architectures have been developed to learn effective node representations using both graph structure and dynamics. While being crucial for practical applications, the robustness of these representation learners for dynamic graphs in the presence of adversarial attacks is highly understudied. In this work, we design a novel adversarial attack on discrete-time dynamic graph models where we desire to perturb the input graph sequence in a manner that preserves the temporal dynamics of the graph while dropping the performance of representation learners. To this end, we motivate a novel Temporal Dynamics-Aware Perturbation (TDAP) constraint, which ensures that perturbations introduced at each time step are restricted to only a small fraction of the number of changes in the graph since the previous time step. We present a theoretically-motivated Projected Gradient Descent approach for dynamic graphs to find effective perturbations under the TDAP constraint. Experiments on two tasks - dynamic link prediction and node classification, show that our approach is up to 4x more effective than the baseline methods for attacking these models. We extend our approach to a more practical online setting where graphs become available in real-time and show up to 5x superior performance over baselines We also show that our approach successfully evades state-of-the-art neural approaches for anomaly detection, thereby promoting the need to study robustness as a part of representation-learning approaches for dynamic graphs.

Early crop yield prediction is crucial in agriculture for making administrative plans to ensure food security, post harvest management and distribution of a crop. Remote sensing data captured using various satellites provide reliable phenological information for a crop through surface reflectance bands. Other important factors, affecting crop yield include meteorological and soil. The data which we have used for crop yield prediction is multimodal. It consists of spatiotemporal meteorological (numeric) and surface reflectance bands (satellite image), and temporally static soil (satellite image) data. We effectively utilize this multimodal data to develop the proposed multimodal deep learning model, CropYieldNet. The objective of the paper is to accurately predict crop yield using high resolution data obtained from recently launched satellites such as Landsat8 and Sentinel-2. We used contrastive learning in a supervised setting and data augmentation techniques to overcome the limited historical data available for training deep learning models.We introduce a depth-level selection module for effectively modelling the depth-variant information of soil data. We have also modified our model to perform in-season (early) crop yield prediction which is as accurate as end-season prediction. We evaluate our model for two crops, corn and soybean, on counties in US and districts in India using data from MODIS, Landsat8, and Sentinel-2 satellites. Our extensive experimentation show that our model outperforms competing models. Our experiments also show that CropYieldNet generalizes well when applied on different crops and geographies.

In signed networks, each edge is labeled as either positive or negative. The edge sign captures the polarity of a relationship. Balance of signed networks is a well-studied property in graph theory. In a balanced (sub)graph, the vertices can be partitioned into two subsets with negative edges present only across the partitions. Balanced portions of a graph have been shown to increase coherence among its members and lead to better performance. While existing works have focused primarily on finding the largest balanced subgraph inside a graph, we study the network design problem of maximizing balance of a target community (subgraph). In particular, given a budget b and a community of interest within the signed network, we aim to make the community as close to being balanced as possible by deleting up to b edges. Besides establishing NP-hardness, we also show that the problem is non-monotone and non-submodular. To overcome these computational challenges, we propose heuristics based on the spectral relation of balance with the Laplacian spectrum of the network. Since the spectral approach lacks approximation guarantees, we further design a greedy algorithm, and its randomized version, with provable bounds on the approximation quality. The bounds are derived by exploiting pseudo-submodularity of the balance maximization function. Empirical evaluation on eight real-world signed networks establishes that the proposed algorithms are effective, efficient, and scalable to graphs with millions of edges.