Event forecasting is inherently influenced by multifaceted considerations, including international relations, regional historical dynamics, and cultural contexts. However, existing LLM-based approaches employ single-model architectures that generate predictions along a singular explicit trajectory, constraining their ability to capture diverse geopolitical nuances across complex regional contexts. To address this limitation, we introduce ThinkTank-ME, a novel Think Tank framework for Middle East event forecasting that emulates collaborative expert analysis in real-world strategic decision-making. To facilitate expert specialization and rigorous evaluation, we construct POLECAT-FOR-ME, a Middle East–focused event forecasting benchmark. Experimental results demonstrate the superiority of multi-expert collaboration in handling complex temporal geopolitical forecasting tasks. The code is available at https://github.com/LuminosityX/ThinkTank-ME.

Recent breakthroughs in generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) have ignited a revolutionary wave across information retrieval and recommender systems. This workshop serves as a premier interdisciplinary platform to explore how generative models, particularly Large Language Models (LLMs) and Large Multimodal Models (LMMs), are transforming multimodal search and recommendation paradigms [3, 6, 9, 10, 12-14]. We aim to convene researchers and practitioners to discuss innovative architectures, methodologies, and evaluation strategies spanning generative document retrieval [5, 8] generative image retrieval [ 7, 16], grounded answer generation [17], generative recommendation [2, 4, 11], and related tasks involving multiple modalities [1,15]. The workshop will facilitate discussions on improving algorithms, generating personalized content, evolving user-system interactions, enhancing trustworthiness, and refining evaluation methodologies for these cutting-edge systems. This timely workshop seeks to identify promising research directions, address key challenges, and foster collaborations towards the development of next-generation intelligent systems.

Talking face video generation with arbitrary speech audio is a significant challenge within the realm of digital human technology. The previous studies have emphasized the significance of audio-lip synchronization and visual quality. Currently, limited attention has been given to the learning of visual uncertainty, which creates several issues in existing systems, including inconsistent visual quality and unreliable performance across different input conditions. To address the problem, we propose a Joint Uncertainty Learning Network (JULNet) for high-quality talking face video generation, which incorporates a representation of uncertainty that is directly related to visual error. Specifically, we first design an uncertainty module to individually predict the error map and uncertainty map after obtaining the generated image. The error map represents the difference between the generated image and the ground truth image, while the uncertainty map is used to predict the probability of incorrect estimates. Furthermore, to match the uncertainty distribution with the error distribution through a KL divergence term, we introduce a histogram technique to approximate the distributions. By jointly optimizing error and uncertainty, the performance and robustness of our model can be enhanced. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method achieves superior high-fidelity and audio-lip synchronization in talking face video generation compared to previous methods.

Conversational Product Search (CPS) provides an engaging way for users to find products through effective natural language conversations. However, understanding the effect of conversational characteristics on user search performance and when to ask clarifying questions or recommend products remains unexplored. To fill the gap, we conduct an empirical study in this paper. Specifically, we developed a conversational system that allows participants to join as customers or shopping assistants, to simulate the conversational product search activity. Data collected from conversations and participant feedback indicate that: (a) CPS systems tend to ask clarifying questions early in the conversation when users express the intent of issuing a new query and chitchat, while they tend to recommend products at a later stage of conversations; asking clarifying questions early and recommending products lately can significantly improve search performance and user's satisfaction; (b) asking clarifying questions and more fine-grained search keywords positively influence search performance in terms of finding relevant products; (c) although the conversation time has a positive impact on the number of recommended products, the performance gain diminishes with longer conversation time; (d) more clarifying questions, more conversation turns, and longer system response time lead to decreased user satisfaction.

In the absence of an official statement about a rumor, people may expose the truth behind such rumor through their responses on social media. Due to the varying relevance of responses in exposing hidden suspicious points within a rumor claim, it is crucial to prioritize those with higher relevance, rather than considering every responding tweets. As for the multi-modal rumor detection, an effective approach for evaluating relevance is aligning responses with the different modalities of the rumor claim in a fine-grained manner. However, owing to the substantial volume of response tweets, it is both costly and redundant to align all responses with the multi-modal claim. In this paper, we propose a novel two-stage model, termedFocal Reasoning Model (FoRM), to select critical responses for multi-modal rumor detection. More specifically, our FoRM consists of two primary elements: coarse-grained selection and fine-grained reasoning. The coarse-grained selection component employs post-level features of responses to initialize a relevant score for each. Based on these scores, we preserve the responses with higher scores as the candidate ones for subsequent reasoning. Within the fine-grained reasoning component, we develop a relation attention module to investigate fine-grained relationships, specifically token-to-token and token-to-object connections, between the preserved responses and the multi-modal claim, with the goal of discovering valuable clues. Extensive experiments have been conducted on three real-world datasets, and the results demonstrate that our proposed model outperforms all the baselines.

Rumor verification on social media aims to identify the truth value of a rumor, which is important to decrease the detrimental public effects. A rumor might arouse heated discussions and replies, conveying different stances of users that could be helpful in identifying the rumor. Thus, several works have been proposed to verify a rumor by modelling its entire stance sequence in the time domain. However, these works ignore that such a stance sequence could be decomposed into controversies with different intensities, which could be used to cluster the stance sequences with the same consensus. In addition, the existing stance extractors fail to consider both the impact of all previously posted tweets and the reply chain on obtaining the stance of a new reply. To address the above problems, in this article, we propose a novel stance-based network to aggregate the controversies of the stance sequence for rumor verification, termed Filter-based Stance Network (FSNet). As controversies with different intensities are reflected as the different changes of stances, it is convenient to represent different controversies in the frequency domain, but it is hard in the time domain. Our proposed FSNet decomposes the stance sequence into multiple controversies in the frequency domain and obtains the weighted aggregation of them. Specifically, FSNet consists of two modules: the stance extractor and the filter block. To obtain better stance features toward the source, the stance extractor contains two stages. In the first stage, the tweet representation of each reply is obtained by aggregating information from all previously posted tweets in a conversation. Then, the features of stance toward the source, i.e., rumor-aware stance, are extracted with the reply chains in the second stage. In the filter block module, a rumor-aware stance sequence is constructed by sorting all the tweets of a conversation in chronological order. Fourier Transform thereafter is employed to convert the stance sequence into the frequency domain, where different frequency components reflect controversies of different intensities. Finally, a frequency filter is applied to explore the different contributions of controversies. We supervise our FSNet with both stance labels and rumor labels to strengthen the relations between rumor veracity and crowd stances. Extensive experiments on two benchmark datasets demonstrate that our model substantially outperforms all the baselines.

Previous studies on multimodal fake news detection have observed the mismatch between text and images in the fake news and attempted to explore the consistency of multimodal news based on global features of different modalities. However, they fail to investigate this relationship between fine-grained fragments in multimodal content. To gain public trust, fake news often includes relevant parts in the text and the image, making such multimodal content appear consistent. Using global features may suppress potential inconsistencies in irrelevant parts. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a novel Consistency-learning Fine-grained Fusion Network (CFFN) that separately explores the consistency and inconsistency from high-relevant and low-relevant word-region pairs. Specifically, for a multimodal post, we divide word-region pairs into high-relevant and low-relevant parts based on their relevance scores. For the high-relevant part, we follow the cross-modal attention mechanism to explore the consistency. For low-relevant part, we calculate inconsistency scores to capture inconsistent points. Finally, a selection module is used to choose the primary clue (consistency or inconsistency) for identifying the credibility of multimodal news. Extensive experiments on two public datasets demonstrate that our CFFN substantially outperforms all the baselines. Our code can be found at: https://github.com/uestc-lj/CFFN/.

Composed query image retrieval is a growing research topic. The object is to retrieve images not only generally resemble the reference image, but differ according to the desired modification text. Existing methods mainly explore composing modification text with global feature or local entity descriptor of reference image. However, they ignore the fact that modification text is indeed diverse and arbitrary. It not only relates to abstractive global feature or concrete local entity transformation, but also often associates with the fine-grained structured visual adjustment. Thus, it is insufficient to emphasize the global or local entity visual for the query composition. In this work, we tackle this task by hierarchical composition learning. Specifically, the proposed method first encodes images into three representations consisting of global, entity and structure level representations. Structure level representation is richly explicable, which explicitly describes entities as well as attributes and relationships in the image with a directed graph. Based on these, we naturally perform hierarchical composition learning by fusing modification text and reference image in the global-entity-structure manner. It can transform the visual feature conditioned on modification text to target image in a coarse-to-fine manner, which takes advantage of the complementary information among three levels. Moreover, we introduce a hybrid space matching to explore global, entity and structure alignments which can get high performance and good interpretability.