EDBT 2026 Demo / reviewers in the wild / expert
Yongshun Gong
dblp:194/1824
· DBLP profile ↗
24ranked-venue papers in the field
5as first author
22since 2021 · last 2026
0000-0003-3948-4471ORCID · verified
Domains — venue-derived; a paper can count in several
Database Systems & Data Management · 10 (3 first)Information Retrieval & Web Search · 9 (1 first)Data Mining & Knowledge Discovery · 4Knowledge Engineering, Semantic Web & Information Systems · 1 (1 first)
| Year | Publication | Venue | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | DS_HURNSP: An effective method for mining high utility repeated negative sequential patterns from data streams
Xiangjun Dong 0001, Yicong Zhen, Ping Qiu, Jing Chi, Lei Guo 0008, Wenpeng Lu, Long Zhao 0002, Yongshun Gong, Yuhai Zhao |
Inf. Process. Manag. | 8 |
| 2026 | HU-RNSP: Efficiently mining high-utility repeated negative sequential patterns
Ping Qiu, Dun Lan, Xiangjun Dong 0001, Lei Guo 0008, Yuhai Zhao, Yongshun Gong, Long Zhao 0002 |
Inf. Process. Manag. | 7 |
| 2026 | Region Embedding With Adaptive Correlation Discovery for Predicting Urban Socioeconomic IndicatorsabstractA recent trend in urban computing involves utilizing multi-modal data for urban region embedding, which can be further expanded in a variety of downstream urban sensing tasks. Many previous studies rely on multi-graph embedding techniques and follow a two-stage paradigm: first building a k-nearest neighbor graph based on fixed region correlations for each view, and then blending multi-view information in a posterior stage to learn region representations. However, multi-graph construction and multi-graph representation learning are not associated in most existing two-stage studies, and the relationship between them is not leveraged, which can provide complementary information to each other. In this paper, we unify these two stages into one by constructing learnable weighted complete graphs of regions and propose a new one-stage Region Embedding method with Adaptive region correlation Discovery (READ). Specifically, READ comprises three modules, including a disentangled region feature learning module utilizing a city-context Transformer to encode regions' semantic and mobility features, and an adaptive weighted multi-graph construction module that builds multiple complete graphs with learnable weights based on disentangled features of regions. In addition, we propose a multi-graph representation learning module to yield effective region representations that integrate information from multiple graphs. We conduct thorough experiments on three downstream tasks to assess READ. Experimental results demonstrate that READ considerably outperforms state-of-the-art baseline methods in urban region embedding. Meng Chen 0003, Hongwei Jia, Zechen Li 0003, Weiming Huang 0001, Kai Zhao 0011, Yongshun Gong, Hongjun Dai |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 6 |
| 2025 | Time-aware Medication Recommendation via Intervention of Dynamic Treatment RegimesabstractMedication recommendation aims to suggest personalized drug combinations to patients based on their longitudinal medical histories stored in electronic health record (EHR) datasets. Patients' Dynamic Treatment Regimes (DTRs) determine how patients' drug combinations change along with the evolution of disease treatment. DTRs are effective for comprehending disease-treatment dynamics and for recommending a timely and personalized combination of medications for patients. However, existing medication recommender systems (MRSs) overlook the multiple treatment pathways generated by the intervention of DTRs and can only recommend a single treatment paradigm, ignoring the fact that patients may be at different treatment stages and thus require different treatment regime. Such disregard leads to a significant limitation in recommending personalized medication combinations tailored to different treatment stages, yielding greatly compromised accuracy and applicability of MRSs. Moreover, existing methods often overlook the time interval information over patients' successive visits, which is critical to indicate patients' treatment evolution. To address these significant gaps, we propose a Time-aware Medication Recommendation Framework via Intervention of Dynamic Treatment Regimes, called MR-DTR. To explicitly illustrate the intervention processes of DTRs on similar patients, we employ a co-guided graph to connect various patient sequences. In addition, to fully utilize the time interval information, we design a time-aware guidance mechanism dedicated to the co-guided graph to efficiently learn medication representation using the patient's guidance information. We also introduce relative time intervals in the encoder to act as positional information. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that MR-DTR surpasses state-of-the-art models in terms of recommendation performance. Our code is available at: https://github.com/liyifo/MR-DTR. Yishuo Li, Qi Zhang 0020, Wenpeng Lu, Xueping Peng, Weiyu Zhang 0001, Jiasheng Si, Yongshun Gong, Liang Hu 0004 |
WWW | 7 |
| 2025 | TK-RNSP: Efficient Top-K Repetitive Negative Sequential Pattern miningabstractRepetitive Negative Sequential Patterns (RNSPs) can provide critical insights into the importance of sequences. However, most current RNSP mining methods require users to set an appropriate support threshold to obtain the expected number of patterns, which is a very difficult task for the users without prior experience . To address this issue, we propose a new algorithm, TK-RNSP, to mine the Top- K RNSPs with the highest support, without the need to set a support threshold. In detail, we achieve a significant breakthrough by proposing a series of definitions that enable RNSP mining to satisfy anti-monotonicity. Then, we propose a bitmap-based Depth-First Backtracking Search (DFBS) strategy to decrease the heavy computational burden by increasing the speed of support calculation. Finally, we propose the algorithm TK-RNSP in an one-stage process, which can effectively reduce the generation of unnecessary patterns and improve computational efficiency comparing to those two-stage process algorithms. To the best of our knowledge, TK-RNSP is the first algorithm to mine Top- K RNSPs. Extensive experiments on eight datasets show that TK-RNSP has better flexibility and efficiency to mine Top- K RNSPs. Dun Lan, Chuanhou Sun, Xiangjun Dong 0001, Ping Qiu, Yongshun Gong, Xinwang Liu 0002, Philippe Fournier-Viger, Chengqi Zhang |
Inf. Process. Manag. | 5 |
| 2025 | Spatio-Temporal Multivariate Probabilistic Modeling for Traffic PredictionabstractTraffic prediction is an essential task in intelligent transportation systems dealing with complex and dynamic spatio-temporal correlations. To date, most work is focused on point estimation models, which only output a single value w.r.t an attribute of traffic data at a time, falling short of depicting diverse situations and uncertainty in future. Besides, most methods are not flexible enough to handle real complex traffic scenarios, involving missing values and non-uniformly sampled data. The interactions among different attributes of traffic data are also rarely explored explicitly. In this paper, we focus on probabilistic estimation in traffic prediction tasks, proposing a spatio-temporal multivariate probabilistic predictive model to estimate the distributions of traffic data. Specifically, we devise a multivariate spatio-temporal fusion graph block to extract spatio-temporal correlations of multiple traffic attributes at different locations. A multi-graph fusion module is designed to capture time-varying spatial relationships. We estimate the joint distributions of missing traffic data using copulas. The proposed model can simultaneously perform traffic forecasting and interpolation tasks with non-uniformly sampled data. Our experiments on two real-world traffic datasets demonstrate the advantages of our model over the state-of-the-art1. Zhibin Li 0002, Wei Liu 0007, Xinghao Yang, Haoliang Sun, Meng Chen 0003, Yu Zheng 0004, Yongshun Gong |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 9 |
| 2025 | Adaptive Traffic Forecasting on Daily Basis: A Spatio-Temporal Context Learning ApproachabstractTraffic forecasting plays a crucial role in establishing an Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) by providing essential insights. Existing traffic forecasting relies on the assumption that there is a hidden invariant spatial-temporal pattern in the large-scale dataset. However, the traffic patterns are easily influenced by many unpredictable external factors, such as policy interventions and climate changes. Due to the dynamic nature of these exogenous factors, the traffic network's spatial-temporal patterns are also changed, thus impacting the performance of traffic forecasting models. Thus, there is an urgent need to rethink the traffic forecasting model in a fast-adaptive manner. To solve this challenge, this paper proposes an Adaptive Spatio-Temporal Context Learning framework named ASTCL, which achieves desired forecasting accuracy using daily basis traffic data collected from dozens of sensors. ASTCL constructs adaptive spatio-temporal contexts for target locations in the traffic network and generates dynamic sequence graphs based on semantic similarities. The adaptive contexts aggregate valuable information from available data, while the graphs reveal dynamic trends in traffic properties. Further, ASTCL introduces a joint convolution and attention mechanism to model intricate spatio-temporal relationships from multiple perspectives. Extensive experiments conducted on four real-world datasets demonstrate that ASTCL achieves remarkable fast adaptability and outperforms other state-of-the-art methods by a significant margin. Guodong Long, Yupeng Hu 0003, Wenpeng Lu, Meng Chen 0003, Chengqi Zhang, Yongshun Gong |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 8 |
| 2025 | STDA: Spatio-Temporal Deviation Alignment Learning for Cross-City Fine-Grained Urban Flow InferenceabstractFine-grained urban flow inference (FUFI) is crucial for traffic management, as it infers high-resolution urban flow maps from coarse-grained observations. Existing FUFI methods typically focus on a single city and rely on comprehensive training with large-scale datasets to achieve precise inferences. However, data availability in developing cities may be limited, posing challenges to the development of well-performing models. To address this issue, we propose cross-city fine-grained urban flow inference, which aims to transfer spatio-temporal knowledge from data-rich cities to data-scarce areas using meta-transfer learning. This paper devises a Spatio-Temporal Deviation Alignment (STDA) framework to mitigate spatio-temporal distribution deviations and urban structural deviations between multiple source cities and the target city. Furthermore, STDA presents a cross-city normalization method that adaptively combines batch and instance normalization to maintain consistency between city-variant and city-invariant features. Besides, we design an urban structure alignment module to align spatial topological differences across cities. STDA effectively reduces distribution and structural deviations among different datasets while avoiding negative transfer. Extensive experiments conducted on three real-world datasets demonstrate that STDA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines. Min Yang 0006, Xiushan Nie, Muming Zhao, Chengqi Zhang, Yu Zheng 0004, Yongshun Gong |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 8 |
| 2024 | Spatio-temporal Graph Normalizing Flow for Probabilistic Traffic PredictionabstractWith the development of the Intelligent Transportation Systems, a great deal of work has been proposed to tackle traffic prediction tasks. Despite their good performance, most traffic prediction models are point estimation models, lacking the capability to estimate the uncertainties of future traffic data, which is crucial in practical traffic decision-making. Aiming at this problem, we combine the probabilistic estimation capabilities of conditional normalizing flows with the spatio-temporal relationship learning of spatio-temporal graphs, leading to a Spatio-Temporal Graph Normalizing Flow (STGNF) model to estimate the distribution of future traffic data. We are the first to employ the conditional normalizing flows as the backbone for probabilistic traffic prediction. Then we design a spatio-temporal graph conditional fusion network to learn the spatio-temporal relationships between future and historical traffic data, which are provided to the conditional normalizing flows as conditional information. Extensive experiments on two real-world traffic datasets demonstrate that our proposed model significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines. Zhibin Li 0002, Wei Liu 0007, Haoliang Sun, Meng Chen 0003, Wenpeng Lu, Yongshun Gong |
CIKM | 7 |
| 2024 | Time-Series Representation Learning via Dual Reference ContrastingabstractThe inherent complexity of real-world time series data, combined with the cost and infeasibility of manual labeling, presents considerable challenges to time series representation learning. Most existing studies tend to utilize data augmentation techniques to construct positive and negative samples and leverage a comparative learning framework to generate time series representations. However, they typically employ simple data augmentation techniques, such as jitter and cropping, to construct positive samples while randomly selecting irrelevant samples as negative ones, which are easily distinguished and unable to guide comparative learning to capture subtle discriminative features. Furthermore, they usually employ only a single positive sample for comparative learning, which is insufficient to model the diversity and hurts the robustness. To address these issues, this paper proposes a Time Series representation learning framework via Dual Reference Contrasting (TS-DRC). Specifically, we first utilize Markov transition field or Gramian angular field to transform the anchor sample of time series into image representations, which are adopted as positive samples. Then, we incorporate two positive samples (dual references) and one negative sample into the comparative learning framework, and devise a novel optimization objective to guide the model to capture more discriminate features, mitigate overfitting, and enhance the robustness. Extensive experiments conducted on four public real-world datasets demonstrate that our TS-DRC outperforms other state-of-the-art baselines.Our code is available at: https://github.com/yurui12138/TS-DRC. Rui Yu 0005, Yongshun Gong, Shoujin Wang, Jiasheng Si, Xueping Peng, Wenpeng Lu |
CIKM | 2 |
| 2024 | Fine-Grained Urban Flow Inference with Dynamic Multi-scale Representation Learning
Shilu Yuan, Wei Liu 0007, Xinxin Zhang 0004, Meng Chen 0003, Junjie Zhang 0002, Yongshun Gong |
DASFAA (2) | 7 |
| 2024 | Profiling Urban Streets: A Semi-Supervised Prediction Model Based on Street View Imagery and Spatial TopologyabstractWith the expansion and growth of cities, profiling urban areas with the advent of multi-modal urban datasets (e.g., points-of-interest and street view imagery) has become increasingly important in urban planing and management. Particularly, street view images have gained popularity for understanding the characteristics of urban areas due to its abundant visual information and inherent correlations with human activities. In this study, we define a street segment represented by multiple street view images as the minimum spatial unit for analysis and predict its functional and socioeconomic indicators, which presents several challenges in modeling spatial distributions of images on a street and the spatial topology (adjacency) of streets. Meanwhile, Large Language Models are capable of understanding imagery data based on its extraordinary knowledge base and unveil a remarkable opportunity for profiling streets with images. In view of the challenges and opportunity, we present a semi-supervised Urban Street Profiling Model (USPM) based on street view imagery and spatial adjacency of urban streets. Specifically, given a street with multiple images, we first employ a newly designed spatial context-based contrastive learning method to generate feature vectors of images and then apply the LSTM-based fusion method to encode multiple images on a street to yield the street visual representation; we then create the descriptions of street scenes for street view images based on the SPHINX (a large language model) and produce the street textual representation; finally, we build an urban street graph based on spatial topology (adjacency) and employ a semi-supervised graph learning algorithm to further encode the street representations for prediction. We conduct thorough experiments with real-world datasets to assess the proposed USPM. The experimental results demonstrate that USPM considerably outperforms baseline methods in two urban prediction tasks. Meng Chen 0003, Zechen Li 0003, Weiming Huang 0001, Yongshun Gong, Yilong Yin |
KDD | 4 |
| 2024 | Going Where, by Whom, and at What Time: Next Location Prediction Considering User Preference and Temporal RegularityabstractNext location prediction is a crucial task in human mobility modeling, and is pivotal for many downstream applications like location-based recommendation and transportation planning. Although there has been a large body of research tackling this problem, the usefulness of user preference and temporal regularity remains underrepresented. Specifically, previous studies usually neglect the explicit user preference information entailed from human trajectories and fall short in utilizing the arrival time of next location, as a key determinant on next location. To address these limitations, we propose a Multi-Context aware Location Prediction model (MCLP) to predict next locations for individuals, where it explicitly models user preference and the next arrival time as context. First, we utilize a topic model to extract user preferences for different types of locations from historical human trajectories. Second, we develop an arrival time estimator to construct a robust arrival time embedding based on the multi-head attention mechanism. The two components provide pivotal contextual information for the subsequent prediction. Finally, we utilize the Transformer architecture to mine sequential patterns and integrate multiple contextual information to predict the next locations. Experimental results on two real-world mobility datasets show that our proposed MCLP outperforms baseline methods. Tianao Sun, Ke Fu, Weiming Huang 0001, Kai Zhao 0011, Yongshun Gong, Meng Chen 0003 |
KDD | 5 |
| 2024 | Spatio-Temporal Enhanced Contrastive and Contextual Learning for Weather ForecastingabstractWeather forecasting is of great importance for human life and various real-world fields, e.g., traffic prediction, agricultural production, and tourist industry. Existing methods can be roughly divided into two categories: theory-driven (e.g., numerical weather prediction (NWP)) and data-driven methods. Theory-driven methods require a complex simulation of the physical evolution process in the atmosphere model using supercomputers, while most data-driven methods learn the underlying laws from the historical weather records via deep learning models. However, some data-driven methods simply regard all weather variables of monitoring stations as a whole and fail to more granularly exploit complex correlations across different stations, while others prefer to construct large neural networks with massive learnable parameters. To alleviate these defects, we propose a spatio-temporal contrastive self-supervision method and a generative contextual self-supervised technique to capture spatial and temporal dependencies from the station-level and variable-level, respectively. Through these well-designed self-supervised tasks, uncomplicated networks obtain strong capability to capture latent representations for weather changes with time-varying. Thereafter, an effective encoder-decoder based fine-tuning framework is proposed, consisting of three self-supervised encoders. Extensive experiments conducted on four real-world weather condition datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms the state-of-the-art models and also empirically validates the feasibility of each self-supervised task. Yongshun Gong, Tiantian He 0004, Meng Chen 0003, Bin Wang 0045, Liqiang Nie, Yilong Yin |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 1 |
| 2023 | Mask- and Contrast-Enhanced Spatio-Temporal Learning for Urban Flow PredictionabstractAs a critical mission of intelligent transportation systems, urban flow prediction (UFP) benefits in many city services including trip planning, congestion control, and public safety. Despite the achievements of previous studies, limited efforts have been observed on simultaneous investigation of the heterogeneity in both space and time aspects. That is, regional correlations would be variable at different timestamps. In this paper, we propose a spatio-temporal learning framework with mask and contrast enhancements to capture spatio-temporal variabilities among city regions. We devise a mask-enhanced pre-training task to learn latent correlations across the spatial and temporal dimensions, and then a graph-based method is developed to extract the significance of regions by using the inter-regional attention weights. To further acquire contrastive correlations of regions, we elaborate a pre-trained contrastive learning task with the global-local cross-attention mechanism. Thereafter, two well-trained encoders have strong capability to capture latent spatio-temporal representations for the flow forecasting with time-varying. Extensive experiments conducted on real-world urban flow datasets demonstrate that our method compares favorably with other state-of-the-art models. Xu Zhang 0039, Yongshun Gong, Xinxin Zhang 0004, Chengqi Zhang, Xiangjun Dong 0001 |
CIKM | 2 |
| 2023 | Fine-grained Urban Flow Inference with Unobservable Data via Space-Time Attraction LearningabstractFine-grained urban flow inference focuses on inferring fine-grained urban flows based solely on coarse-grained observations, which is essential for the city management and transportation services. However, most of the existing methods assume that partial urban flows in coarse-grained regions cannot be observable. In this study, we propose a multi-task framework known as UrbanSTA with space-time attraction learning to estimate missing values in coarse-grained urban flow map and forecast fine-grained urban flows simultaneously. Specifically, UrbanSTA comprises two parts: the flow completion network STA and the fine-grained flow inference network FIN. STA captures space-time features with a separable space-time attention encoder and recovers the missing flow features with a decoder. FIN directly uses complete coarse-grained flow features for further decoding, and reconstructs fine-grained flow features based on the complex associations between coarse- and fine-grained urban flows, relying on upsampling constraints. Extensive experiments conducted on two real-world datasets demonstrate that our proposed model yields the best results compared to other state-of-the-art methods. The source code has been provided at https://github.com/Wangzheaos/UrbanSTA. Yuansheng Liu, Yongshun Gong, Wei Liu 0007, Meng Chen 0003, Yilong Yin, Yu Zheng 0004 |
ICDM | 3 |
| 2023 | Latent evolution model for change point detection in time-varying networks
Yongshun Gong, Jian Zhang 0002, Meng Chen 0003 |
Inf. Sci. | 1 |
| 2023 | Pre-Trained Semantic Embeddings for POI Categories Based on Multiple ContextsabstractThe past decade has witnessed the increasingly created point-of-interest (POI) data, which are utilized to express the semantics of places. To understand the POI semantics, current methods usually embed POI categories into a latent space via certain trajectory sequential models, while neglecting the underlining spatial information. It is noteworthy that the complex spatial relationships among POI categories contain substantial information that benefits meaningful semantic embeddings for various POI categories. Inspired by this, we present a unified POI Category Embedding Method (CatEM for short), which jointly encodes the sequential transitions and spatial relations of POI categories as well as the adaptive semantic neighbors of each POI category. The merits of CatEM lie in that: (1) it considers the pairwise spatial similarities between categories and represents categories with larger similarity values with adjacent embeddings in the latent space, and (2) it adaptively locates neighbor categories with similar semantics in the embedding space to improve the adaptivity of POI category embedding. The proposed pre-trained POI category embeddings are justified by three downstream tasks. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of our proposed model, as compared to several cutting-edge baselines. Junxiang Bing, Meng Chen 0003, Min Yang 0006, Weiming Huang 0001, Yongshun Gong, Liqiang Nie |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 5 |
| 2023 | Missing Value Imputation for Multi-View Urban Statistical Data via Spatial Correlation LearningabstractAs a developing trend of urbanization, massive amounts of urban statistical data with multiple views (e.g., views of Population and Economy) are increasingly collected and benefited to diverse domains, including transportation service, regional analysis, etc. Unfortunately, these statistical data that are divided into fine-grained regions usually suffer from missing value problem during the acquisition and storage processes. It is mianly caused by some inevitable circumstances, e.g., the document defacement, statistical difficulty in remote districts, and inaccurate information cleaning, etc. Those missing entries which make valuable information invisible may distort the further urban analysis. To improve the quality of missing data imputation, we propose an improved spatial multi-kernel learning method to guide the imputation process incorporating with the adaptive-weight non-negative matrix factorization strategy. Our model takes into account the regional latent similarities and the real geographical positions as well as the correlations among various views that are able to complete missing values precisely. We conduct intensive experiments to evaluate our method and compare with other state-of-the-art approaches on real-world datasets. All the empirical results show that the proposed model outperforms all the other state-of-the-art methods. Additionally, our model represents a strong generalization ability across multiple cities. Yongshun Gong, Zhibin Li 0002, Jian Zhang 0002, Wei Liu 0007, Yilong Yin, Yu Zheng 0004 |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 1 |
| 2023 | Forecasting Fine-Grained Urban Flows Via Spatio-Temporal Contrastive Self-SupervisionabstractAs a critical task of the urban traffic services, fine-grained urban flow inference (FUFI) benefits in many fields including intelligent transportation management, urban planning, public safety. FUFI is a technique that focuses on inferring fine-grained urban flows depending solely on observed coarse-grained data. However, existing methods always require massive learnable parameters and the complex network structures. To reduce these defects, we formulate a contrastive self-supervision method to predict fine-grained urban flows taking into account all correlated spatial and temporal contrastive patterns. Through several well-designed self-supervised tasks, uncomplicated networks have a strong ability to capture high-level representations from flow data. Then, a fine-tuning network combining with three pre-training encoder networks is proposed. We conduct experiments to evaluate our model and compare with other state-of-the-art methods by using two real-world datasets. All the empirical results not only show the superiority of our model against other comparative models, but also demonstrate its effectiveness in the resource-limited environment. Yongshun Gong, Meng Chen 0003, Junbo Zhang 0004, Yu Zheng 0004, Yilong Yin |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 2 |
| 2023 | TME: Tree-guided Multi-task Embedding Learning towards Semantic Venue AnnotationabstractThe prevalence of location-based services has generated a deluge of check-ins, enabling the task of human mobility understanding. Among the various types of information associated with the check-in venues, categories (e.g., Bar and Museum ) are vital to the task, as they often serve as excellent semantic characterization of the venues. Despite its significance and importance, a large portion of venues in the check-in services do not have even a single category label, such as up to 30% of venues in the Foursquare system lacking category labels. We, therefore, address the problem of semantic venue annotation, i.e., labeling the venue with a semantic category. Existing methods either fail to fully exploit the contextual information in the check-in sequences, or do not consider the semantic correlations across related categories. As such, we devise a Tree-guided Multi-task Embedding model (TME for short) to learn effective representations of venues and categories for the semantic annotation. TME jointly learns a common feature space by modeling multi-contexts of check-ins and utilizes the predefined category hierarchy to regularize the relatedness among categories. We evaluate TME over the task of semantic venue annotation on two check-in datasets. Experimental results show the superiority of TME over several state-of-the-art baselines. Ronghui Xu 0001, Meng Chen 0003, Yongshun Gong, Yang Liu 0008, Xiaohui Yu 0001, Liqiang Nie |
ACM Trans. Inf. Syst. | 3 |
| 2022 | Online Spatio-Temporal Crowd Flow Distribution Prediction for Complex Metro SystemabstractAs a key mission of the modern traffic management, crowd flow prediction (CFP) benefits in many tasks of intelligent transportation services. However, most existing techniques focus solely on forecasting entrance and exit flows of metro stations that do not provide enough useful knowledge for traffic management. In practical applications, managers desperately want to solve the problem of getting the potential passenger distributions to help authorities improve transport services, termed as crowd flow distribution (CFD) forecasts. Therefore, to improve the quality of transportation services, we proposed three spatiotemporal models to effectively address the network-wide CFD prediction problem based on the online latent space (OLS) strategy. Our models take into account the various trending patterns and climate influences, as well as the inherent similarities among different stations that are able to predict both CFD and entrance and exit flows precisely. In our online systems, a sequence of CFD snapshots is used as the training data. The latent attribute evolutions of different metro stations can be learned from the previous trend and do the next prediction based on the transition patterns. All the empirical results demonstrate that the three developed models outperform all the other state-of-the-art approaches on three large-scale real-world datasets. Yongshun Gong, Zhibin Li 0002, Jian Zhang 0002, Wei Liu 0007, Yu Zheng 0004 |
IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. | 1 |
| 2019 | Sample Adaptive Multiple Kernel Learning for Failure Prediction of Railway PointsabstractRailway points are among the key components of railway infrastructure. As a part of signal equipment, points control the routes of trains at railway junctions, having a significant impact on the reliability, capacity, and punctuality of rail transport. Meanwhile, they are also one of the most fragile parts in railway systems. Points failures cause a large portion of railway incidents. Traditionally, maintenance of points is based on a fixed time interval or raised after the equipment failures. Instead, it would be of great value if we could forecast points' failures and take action beforehand, minimising any negative effect. To date, most of the existing prediction methods are either lab-based or relying on specially installed sensors which makes them infeasible for large-scale implementation. Besides, they often use data from only one source. We, therefore, explore a new way that integrates multi-source data which are ready to hand to fulfil this task. We conducted our case study based on Sydney Trains rail network which is an extensive network of passenger and freight railways. Unfortunately, the real-world data are usually incomplete due to various reasons, e.g., faults in the database, operational errors or transmission faults. Besides, railway points differ in their locations, types and some other properties, which means it is hard to use a unified model to predict their failures. Aiming at this challenging task, we firstly constructed a dataset from multiple sources and selected key features with the help of domain experts. In this paper, we formulate our prediction task as a multiple kernel learning problem with missing kernels. We present a robust multiple kernel learning algorithm for predicting points failures. Our model takes into account the missing pattern of data as well as the inherent variance on different sets of railway points. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of our algorithm compared with other state-of-the-art methods. Zhibin Li 0002, Jian Zhang 0002, Qiang Wu 0001, Yongshun Gong, Jinfeng Yi, Christina Kirsch |
KDD | 4 |
| 2018 | Network-wide Crowd Flow Prediction of Sydney Trains via Customized Online Non-negative Matrix FactorizationabstractCrowd Flow Prediction (CFP) is one major challenge in the intelligent transportation systems of the Sydney Trains Network. However, most advanced CFP methods only focus on entrance and exit flows at the major stations or a few subway lines, neglecting Crowd Flow Distribution (CFD) forecasting problem across the entire city network. CFD prediction plays an irreplaceable role in metro management as a tool that can help authorities plan route schedules and avoid congestion. In this paper, we propose three online non-negative matrix factorization (ONMF) models. ONMF-AO incorporates an Average Optimization strategy that adapts to stable passenger flows. ONMF-MR captures the Most Recent trends to achieve better performance when sudden changes in crowd flow occur. The Hybrid model, ONMF-H, integrates both ONMF-AO and ONMF-MR to exploit the strengths of each model in different scenarios and enhance the models' applicability to real-world situations. Given a series of CFD snapshots, both models learn the latent attributes of the train stations and, therefore, are able to capture transition patterns from one timestamp to the next by combining historic guidance. Intensive experiments on a large-scale, real-world dataset containing transactional data demonstrate the superiority of our ONMF models. Yongshun Gong, Zhibin Li 0002, Jian Zhang 0002, Wei Liu 0007, Yu Zheng 0004, Christina Kirsch |
CIKM | 1 |