EDBT 2026 Demo / reviewers in the wild / expert
Matthias Jakobs
dblp:231/5456
· DBLP profile ↗
5ranked-venue papers in the field
1as first author
5since 2021 · last 2023
0000-0003-4607-8957ORCID · corroborated
Domains — venue-derived; a paper can count in several
Data Mining & Knowledge Discovery · 5 (1 first)
| Year | Publication | Venue | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Explainable Adaptive Tree-based Model Selection for Time-Series ForecastingabstractTree-based models have been successfully applied to a wide variety of tasks, including time series forecasting. They are increasingly in demand and widely accepted because of their comparatively high level of interpretability. However, many of them suffer from the overfitting problem, which limits their application in real-world decision-making. This problem becomes even more severe in online-forecasting settings where time series observations are incrementally acquired, and the distributions from which they are drawn may keep changing over time. In this context, we propose a novel method for the online selection of tree-based models using the TreeSHAP explainability method in the task of time series forecasting. We start with an arbitrary set of different tree-based models. Then, we outline a performance-based ranking with a coherent design to make TreeSHAP able to specialize the tree-based forecasters across different regions in the input time series. In this framework, adequate model selection is performed online, adaptively following drift detection in the time series. In addition, explainability is supported on three levels, namely online input importance, model selection, and model output explanation. An extensive empirical study on various real-world datasets demonstrates that our method achieves excellent or on-par results in comparison to the state-of-the-art approaches as well as several baselines. Matthias Jakobs, Amal Saadallah |
ICDM | 1 |
| 2023 | Shapley Values with Uncertain Value Functions
Raoul Heese, Sascha Mücke, Matthias Jakobs, Thore Gerlach, Nico Piatkowski |
IDA | 3 |
| 2023 | An Empirical Evaluation of the Rashomon Effect in Explainable Machine Learning
Vanessa Toborek, Katharina Beckh, Matthias Jakobs, Christian Bauckhage, Pascal Welke |
ECML/PKDD (3) | 4 |
| 2023 | Online Deep Hybrid Ensemble Learning for Time Series Forecasting
Amal Saadallah, Matthias Jakobs |
ECML/PKDD (5) | 2 |
| 2021 | Explainable Online Deep Neural Network Selection Using Adaptive Saliency Maps for Time Series Forecasting
Amal Saadallah, Matthias Jakobs, Katharina Morik |
ECML/PKDD (1) | 2 |