Tugrulcan Elmas

dblp:251/2973 · DBLP profile ↗
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9ranked-venue papers in the field
5as first author
9since 2021 · last 2025
0000-0002-4305-1479ORCID · reported

Domains — venue-derived; a paper can count in several

Information Retrieval & Web Search · 8 (4 first)Data Mining & Knowledge Discovery · 1 (1 first)
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 State & Geopolitical Censorship on Twitter (X): Detection & Impact Analysis of Withheld Content
abstract
State and geopolitical censorship on Twitter, now X, has been turning into a routine, raising concerns about the boundaries between criminal content and freedom of speech. One such censorship practice, withholding content in a particular state has renewed attention due to Elon Musk's apparent willingness to comply with state demands. In this study, we present the first quantitative analysis of the impact of state censorship by withholding on social media using a dataset in which two prominent patterns emerged: Russian accounts censored in the EU for spreading state-sponsored narratives, and Turkish accounts blocked within Turkey for promoting militant propaganda. We find that censorship has little impact on posting frequency but significantly reduces likes and retweets by 25%, and follower growth by 90%-especially when the censored region aligns with the account's primary audience. Meanwhile, some Russian accounts continue to experience growth as their audience is outside the withholding jurisdictions. We develop a user-level binary classifier with a transformer backbone and temporal aggregation strategies, aiming to predict whether an account is likely to be withheld. Through an ablation study, we find that tweet content is the primary signal in predicting censorship, while tweet metadata and profile features contribute marginally. Our best model achieves an F1 score of 0.73 and an AUC of 0.83. This work informs debates on platform governance, free speech, and digital repression.
Yusuf Mücahit Çetinkaya, Tugrulcan Elmas
CIKM2
2025 Cross-Partisan Interactions on Twitter
abstract
Many social media studies argue that social media creates echo chambers where some users only interact with peers of the same political orientation. However, recent studies suggest that a substantial amount of Cross-Partisan Interactions (CPIs) do exist --- even within echo chambers, but they may be toxic. There is no consensus about how such interactions occur and when they lead to healthy or toxic dialogue. In this paper, we study a comprehensive Twitter dataset that consists of 3 million tweets from 2020 related to the U.S. context to understand the dynamics behind CPIs. We investigate factors that are more associated with such interactions, including how users engage in CPIs, which topics are more contentious, and what are the stances associated with healthy interactions. We find that CPIs are significantly influenced by the nature of the topics being discussed, with politically charged events acting as strong catalysts. The political discourse and pre-established political views sway how users participate in CPIs, but the direction in which users go is nuanced. While Democrats engage in cross-partisan interactions slightly more frequently, these interactions often involve more negative and nonconstructive stances compared to their intra-party interactions. In contrast, Republicans tend to maintain a more consistent tone across interactions. Although users are more likely to engage in CPIs with popular accounts in general, this is less common among Republicans who often engage in CPIs with accounts with a low number of followers for personal matters. Our study has implications beyond Twitter as identifying topics with low toxicity and high CPI can help highlight potential opportunities for reducing polarization while topics with high toxicity and low CPI may action targeted interventions when moderating harm.
Yusuf Mücahit Çetinkaya, Vahid Ghafouri, Guillermo Suarez-Tangil, Jose M. Such, Tugrulcan Elmas
ICWSM5
2025 Large Engagement Networks for Classifying Coordinated Campaigns and Organic Twitter Trends
abstract
Social media users and inauthentic accounts, such as bots, may coordinate in promoting their topics. Such topics may give the impression that they are organically popular among the public, even though they are astroturfing campaigns that are centrally managed. It is challenging to predict if a topic is organic or a coordinated campaign due to the lack of reliable ground truth. In this paper, we create such a ground truth by detecting the campaigns promoted by ephemeral astroturfing attacks. These attacks push any topic to Twitter’s (X) trends list by employing bots that tweet in a coordinated manner within a short period and then immediately delete their tweets. We also manually curate a dataset of organic Twitter trends. We then create engagement networks out of these datasets which can serve as a challenging testbed for graph classification task to distinguish between campaigns and organic trends. Engagement networks consist of users as nodes and edges indicate engagements (retweets, replies, and quotes) between users. We release the engagement networks for 179 campaigns and 135 non-campaigns, and also provide finer-grain labels to characterize the type of the campaigns and non-campaigns. Our dataset, LEN (Large Engagement Networks), in the URL below. In comparison to traditional graph classification datasets, which are small with tens of nodes and hundreds of edges at most, graphs in LEN are larger. The average size of a graph in LEN has ∼11K nodes and ∼23K edges. We show that state-of-the-art GNN methods give only mediocre results for campaign vs. non-campaign and campaign type classification on LEN. LEN offers a unique and challenging playfield for the graph classification problem. We believe that LEN will help advance the frontiers of graph classification techniques on large networks and also provide an interesting use case in terms of distinguishing coordinated campaigns and organic trends.
Atul Anand Gopalakrishnan, Jakir Hossain, Tugrulcan Elmas, Ahmet Erdem Sariyüce
ICWSM3
2025 Coordinated Reply Attacks in Influence Operations: Characterization and Detection
abstract
Coordinated reply attacks are a tactic observed in online influence operations and other coordinated campaigns to support or harass targeted individuals, or influence them or their followers. Despite its potential to influence the public, past studies have yet to analyze or provide a methodology to detect this tactic. In this study, we characterize coordinated reply attacks in the context of influence operations on Twitter. Our analysis reveals that the primary targets of these attacks are influential people such as journalists, news media, state officials, and politicians. We propose two supervised machine-learning models, one to classify tweets to determine whether they are targeted by a reply attack, and one to classify accounts that reply to a targeted tweet to determine whether they are part of a coordinated attack. The classifiers achieve AUC scores of 0.88 and 0.97, respectively. These results indicate that accounts involved in reply attacks can be detected, and the targeted accounts themselves can serve as sensors for influence operation detection.
Manita Pote, Tugrulcan Elmas, Alessandro Flammini, Filippo Menczer
ICWSM2
2024 #TeamFollowBack: Detection & Analysis of Follow Back Accounts on Social Media
abstract
Follow back accounts inflate their follower counts by engaging in reciprocal followings. Such accounts manipulate the public and the algorithms by appearing more popular than they really are. Despite their potential harm, no studies have analyzed such accounts at scale. In this study, we present the first large-scale analysis of follow back accounts. We formally define follow back accounts and employ a honeypot approach to collect a dataset of such accounts on X (formerly Twitter). We discover and describe 12 communities of follow back accounts from 12 different countries, some of which exhibit clear political agenda. We analyze the characteristics of follow back accounts and report that they are newer, more engaging, and have more followings and followers. Finally, we propose a classifier for such accounts and report that models employing profile metadata and the ego network have some success, although achieving high recall is challenging. Our study enhances understanding of the follow back accounts and discovering such accounts in the wild.
Tugrulcan Elmas, Mathis Randl, Youssef Attia
ICWSM1
2023 Misleading Repurposing on Twitter
abstract
We present the first in-depth and large-scale study of misleading repurposing, in which a malicious user changes the identity of their social media account via, among other things, changes to the profile attributes in order to use the account for a new purpose while retaining their followers. We propose a definition for the behavior and a methodology that uses supervised learning on data mined from the Internet Archive's Twitter Stream Grab to flag repurposed accounts. We found over 100,000 accounts that may have been repurposed. Of those, 28% were removed from the platform after 2 years, thereby confirming their inauthenticity. We also characterize repurposed accounts and found that they are more likely to be repurposed after a period of inactivity and deleting old tweets. We also provide evidence that adversaries target accounts with high follower counts to repurpose, and some make them have high follower counts by participating in follow-back schemes. The results we present have implications for the security and integrity of social media platforms, for data science studies in how historical data is considered, and for society at large in how users can be deceived about the popularity of an opinion. The data and the code is available at https://github.com/tugrulz/MisleadingRepurposing.
Tugrulcan Elmas, Rebekah Overdorf, Karl Aberer
ICWSM1
2022 WayPop Machine: A Wayback Machine to Investigate Popularity and Root Out Trolls
abstract
Contrary to celebrities who owe their popularity online to their activity offline, malicious users such as trolls have to gain fame on social media through the social media itself. The exact reasons that a certain user has become popular are often obscure especially when the popularity was gained illicitly through means such as fake amplification of content. In this paper, we develop a methodology for uncovering why an account has become popular and present an open source tool that encapsulates this methodology. This tool aims to aid others in uncovering malicious accounts which have artificially gained many followers and to distinguish such accounts from those which gained followers and popularity honestly.
Tugrulcan Elmas, Thomas Romain Ibanez, Alexandre Hutter, Rebekah Overdorf, Karl Aberer
ASONAM1
2022 Characterizing Retweet Bots: The Case of Black Market Accounts
Tugrulcan Elmas, Rebekah Overdorf, Karl Aberer
ICWSM1
2021 A Dataset of State-Censored Tweets
Tugrulcan Elmas, Rebekah Overdorf, Karl Aberer
ICWSM1