EDBT 2026 Demo / reviewers in the wild / expert
Henryk Mustroph
dblp:295/3926
· DBLP profile ↗
2ranked-venue papers in the field
1as first author
2since 2021 · last 2026
0009-0005-1946-1979ORCID · corroborated
Domains — venue-derived; a paper can count in several
Business Process & Enterprise Data · 2 (1 first)
| Year | Publication | Venue | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Predicting Conformance Deviations and Their Positions in Future Event Sequences
Henryk Mustroph, Michel Kunkler, Stefanie Rinderle-Ma |
CAiSE (2) | 1 |
| 2025 | Probabilistic Suffix Prediction of Business ProcessesabstractSuffix prediction of business processes forecasts the remaining sequence of events until process completion. Current approaches focus on predicting the most likely suffix, representing a single scenario. However, when the future course of a process is highly uncertain and variable, a single scenario may have limited predictive value. To address this limitation, we propose probabilistic suffix prediction, a novel approach that returns a set of sampled suffixes. The method is based on an uncertainty-aware encoder-decoder LSTM combined with a Monte Carlo suffix sampling algorithm. We capture epistemic uncertainty via MC dropout and aleatoric uncertainty as learned loss attenuation. Comparisons with two other uncertainty-aware PPM approaches across four datasets demonstrate that our probabilistic suffix prediction approach achieves reasonable predictive performance while it allows estimating prediction intervals for multiple objectives within a single model. Michel Kunkler, Henryk Mustroph, Stefanie Rinderle-Ma |
ICPM | 2 |