This study demonstrates whether financial text is useful for tactical asset allocation using stocks by using natural language processing to create polarity indexes in financial news. In this study, we performed clustering of the created polarity indexes using the change-point detection algorithm. In addition, we constructed a stock portfolio and rebalanced it at each change point utilizing an optimization algorithm. Consequently, the asset allocation method proposed in this study outperforms the comparative approach. This result suggests that the polarity index helps construct the equity asset allocation method.

This study demonstrates whether analysts’ sentiment toward individual stocks is useful in predicting the macroeconomic index. This can be achieved by using natural language processing to create polarity indexes from analyst reports. In this study, the created polarity indexes were analyzed using the Vector Autoregressive model with various macroeconomic indexes. Consequently, it was confirmed that the polarity indexes do have an impact on indexes such as prices, exchange rates, and government bonds.