Large language models (LLMs) are revolutionizing user interactions in online map applications by enabling conversational interfaces with intelligent map agents. However, inherent ambiguities and nuances in human communication often lead to incomplete or unclear user instructions. While generating clarification questions can mitigate this issue, existing methods—which rely on prompt-based LLM assessments or supervised fine-tuning (SFT) of LLMs with limited annotated data—struggle to reliably determine when clarification is necessary, resulting in cold-start issues and reduced adaptability. To address this gap, we propose an uncertainty-aware dynamic planning framework for intent disambiguation in interactive agent systems, exemplified by Baidu Maps. Our framework leverages LLMs to dynamically generate agent action sequences while estimating query uncertainty. When uncertainty thresholds are exceeded, targeted clarification questions are triggered. Besides, to efficiently navigate the vast uncertainty space, we introduce a novel beam search-based pruning strategy. Crucially, the framework supports context-aware task planning without any additional model training. We evaluate our approach on Baidu Maps and a public robotic task, focusing on uncertainty management and adaptability. Experiments demonstrate that the framework achieves high precision across diverse LLMs without requiring an additional training phase, highlighting its versatility and robustness. Ablation studies confirm that the framework can significantly improve user intent recognition and task success rates.

In modern cities, there is an increasing trend for the development of business agglomeration, which can foster the prosperity of individual businesses by clustering stores and industries. Recently, the advent of Point-of-Interest (POI) data enables a new paradigm for studying the causal effect of business agglomeration in a data-driven way. To this end, we aim to quantify the contribution of the agglomeration effect to the check-in volume at POIs. This is a non-trivial causal effect estimation task due to the higher-order spatial interference typically exhibited by the agglomeration distribution. Moreover, the confounding bias can be exacerbated due to the complex spatial and functional properties inherent to confounders. Therefore, we propose a Causal effect estimation framework for AgglomeRation Effect (CARE) measurement, which includes a Spatial Interference Diffusion Network (SIDN) and a Disentangled Propensity Estimator (DPE) . SIDN captures spatial interference by spreading the treatment effect among POIs through a dedicated spatial agglomeration hypergraph. Then, DPE models a POI’s propensity of receiving the treatment and further unravels the spatial and inherent aspects of propensity by disentangled learning objectives. In addition, we incorporate SIDN and DPE into a unified causal effect estimation architecture using neural Robinson decomposition. Finally, extensive experiments on three real-world datasets validate the effectiveness and universality of CARE for measuring the agglomeration effect.

Urban land use, intrinsically linked to people’s daily activities, undergoes continuous evolution, presenting a complex interplay that remains partially understood. To bridge this gap, our study leverages fine-grained human mobility data to predict these changes, adopting a novel approach that conceptualizes “community-level” land use shifts as a regression problem and represents citywide changes through dynamic graphs. We harness recent advancements in graph neural networks (GNNs), which, despite their success in various applications, face challenges in directly predicting land use changes due to the temporal mismatch between the slow evolution of urban land and the immediacy of human mobility data. Our research stands out by introducing a temporal skeleton for dynamic GNNs to synchronize human activity graphs with urban land use changes, a dynamic heterogeneous GNN approach for integrating diverse human activity data to capture essential temporal dependencies, and a novel algorithm powered by causal inference to elucidate the primary factors influencing land use predictions at the community level, all of which contribute to a training process informed by the generated causal graph. Empirically validated on three real-world datasets, our model demonstrates a performance leap over state-of-the-art baselines, marking a pivotal step toward understanding and predicting the dynamics of urban land use.

Recent trends in next-item recommendation systems have focused on modeling user intents. Traditional methods often extract users' inherent intents from the most representative items in a session, overlooking “unexpected items” that deviate from the majority in various contextual aspects. These unexpected items, frequently present, can be crucial indicators of a user's inclination towards exploring new options, signaling emerging intents that warrant significant attention. In response, we introduce DbMei, a novel approach that decouples user behaviors and emphasizes the modeling of emerging intents. DbMei distinguishes between two user behavior types: “focused shopping”, which aligns with users' inherent intents, and”wandering shopping”, which aligns with emerging intents. Focused shopping is analyzed using topic modeling and hypergraph learning while wandering shopping is explored through session neighbor retrieval. An exploitation-exploration mechanism is employed to determine the behavioral probability distribution for upcoming items. This integrated modeling of focused and wandering shopping behaviors drives our recommendation process. Extensive empirical studies on two real-world datasets, Amazon-KDD and Beauty, showcase DbMei's superiority over leading methods regarding Recall and MRR metrics. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/sunlingdan-123/DbMei.

Point-of-Interest (POI) recommendation, an important research hotspot in the field of urban computing, plays a crucial role in urban construction. While understanding the process of users’ travel decisions and exploring the causality of POI choosing is not easy due to the complex and diverse influencing factors in urban travel scenarios. Moreover, the spurious explanations caused by severe data sparsity, i.e., misrepresenting universal relevance as causality, may also hinder us from understanding users’ travel decisions. To this end, in this article, we propose a factor-level causal explanation generation framework based on counterfactual data augmentation for user travel decisions, named Factor-level Causal Explanation for User Travel Decisions (FCE-UTD), which can distinguish between true and false causal factors and generate true causal explanations. Specifically, we first assume that a user decision is composed of a set of several different factors. Then, by preserving the user decision structure with a joint counterfactual contrastive learning paradigm, we learn the representation of factors and detect the relevant factors. Next, we further identify true causal factors by constructing counterfactual decisions with a counterfactual representation generator, in particular, it can not only augment the dataset and mitigate the sparsity but also contribute to clarifying the causal factors from other false causal factors that may cause spurious explanations. Besides, a causal dependency learner is proposed to identify causal factors for each decision by learning causal dependency scores. Extensive experiments conducted on three real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of our approach in terms of check-in rate, fidelity, and downstream tasks under different behavior scenarios. The extra case studies also demonstrate the ability of FCE-UTD to generate causal explanations in POI choosing.

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational self-attention mechanism. Though one could lower the complexity of Transformers by inducing the sparsity in point-wise self-attentions for LTTF, the limited information utilization prohibits the model from exploring the complex dependencies comprehensively. To this end, we propose an efficient Transformer-based model, named Conformer, which differentiates itself from existing methods for LTTF in three aspects: (i) an encoder-decoder architecture incorporating a linear complexity without sacrificing information utilization is proposed on top of sliding-window attention and Stationary and Instant Recurrent Network (SIRN); (ii) a module derived from the normalizing flow is devised to further improve the information utilization by inferring the outputs with the latent variables in SIRN directly; (iii) the inter-series correlation and temporal dynamics in time-series data are modeled explicitly to fuel the downstream self-attention mechanism. Extensive experiments on seven real-world datasets demonstrate that Conformer outperforms the state-of-the-art methods on LTTF and generates reliable prediction results with uncertainty quantification.

Long-term urban crowd flow prediction involving the evolution trends of crowd flow is of great importance of traffic management, public safety and urban planning. However, learning long-term crowd flow is very challenging due to the latent effect of varied urban Point-of-Interests distribution, which is quite different from the short-term crowd flow mainly influenced by readily available external factors like weather, date, etc. The key issue for us is how to learn the interaction between POI distribution and human mobility in a dynamic way. To address this problem, we propose a POI-flow interaction based spatial-temporal framework (PFIST) for long-term crowd flow prediction. First, we model the long-term evolution representations of crowd flow and POI distribution. Then we study the dynamic interaction between POI transition patterns and crowd flow variation on different POI periods and categories. Afterwards, we decompose the flow sequence into long-term trend and daily variation parts and apply the normalized POI-flow interaction attention to the long-term trend parts. Finally, we model the spatial and multi-scale temporal dependencies to predict long-term crowd flow. Extensive experiments on Beijing map query track dataset and NYC taxi dataset demonstrate the superiority of PFIST.

Medical tests are crucial for treatment decision making. However, over-testing can often occur in any medical speciality or level of expertise. Since over-testing usually results in a financial burden for patients and is also a waste of medical resources, this naturally leads to the question: which medical test items (MTIs) are necessary and should be prioritized for the target patients? It is a nontrivial task to identify the right MTIs due to the diversified health status of patients and the complicated prerequisites of therapies. To this end, in this paper, we propose a data-driven approach to evaluate the priority which should be given to MTIs by modeling the relationships between MTIs and therapies. Specifically, we first develop a dual hierarchical topic model (DHTM), which views the adopted hierarchical therapies as labeled topics and the MTI reports, i.e., the set of hierarchical attribute-value pairs (AVPs), as documents. Then, with the therapy-AVP distribution and the partial MTI reports of the target patient, we can scope the candidate therapies, which are further utilized to evaluate the accumulated gain of MTIs to be tested. Moreover, the next MTI recommendation is conducted based on the gains. Finally, extensive experiments on real-world medical data validate the effectiveness of our approach, and some interesting observations are also provided. The code is available at https://github.com/mtirec/MtiRec.

As a promising learning paradigm for addressing the data scarcity and distribution mismatch issues, cross-domain prediction aims to leverage the transferable knowledge from the source domain to solve the learning problems in the target domain. Indeed, many urban computing tasks, such as cross- city/mode traffic flow prediction, have to face the severe data scarcity problem due to the heterogeneity in different data sources as well as the imbalanced development among cities. To this end, in this paper, we propose a cross-domain learning framework, namely CCMHC, which exploits Hierarchical Correlation between domains for Cross-City cross-Mode traffic flow prediction. Specifically, we first measure the correlation among inter-city traffic flows by exploring the similarity of region functions and road-networks. In this step, we filter out the regions with lower transfer ability from the source city to the target city. Then, we calculate the temporal correlations of traffic flows across different modes to select a source region that is highly related to the target region in a dynamic way. Moreover, a cross-domain urban flow prediction method is devised by transferring shared knowledge from the source city to the target city. Finally, experimental results on real-world data demonstrate the superiority of CCMHC over the state-of-the-art transfer learning methods. In addition, the generalization ability of the CCMHC framework on different neural network-based models is also validated.

Pre-travel out-of-town recommendation aims to recommend Point-of-Interests (POIs) to the users who plan to travel out of their hometown in the near future yet have not decided where to go, i.e., their destination regions and POIs both remain unknown. It is a non-trivial task since the searching space is vast, which may lead to distinct travel experiences in different out-of-town regions and eventually confuse decision-making. Besides, users' out-of-town travel behaviors are affected not only by their personalized preferences but heavily by others' travel behaviors. To this end, we propose a Crowd-Aware Pre-Travel Out-of-town Recommendation framework (CAPTOR) consisting of two major modules: spatial-affined conditional random field (SA-CRF) and crowd behavior memory network (CBMN). Specifically, SA-CRF captures the spatial affinity among POIs while preserving the inherent information of POIs. Then, CBMN is proposed to maintain the crowd travel behaviors w.r.t. each region through three affiliated blocks reading and writing the memory adaptively. We devise the elaborated metric space with a dynamic mapping mechanism, where the users and POIs are distinguishable both inherently and geographically. Extensive experiments on two real-world nationwide datasets validate the effectiveness of CAPTOR against the pre-travel out-of-town recommendation task.

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of car-hailing services, which provide a convenient approach for connecting passengers and local drivers using their personal vehicles. At the same time, the concern on passenger safety has gradually emerged and attracted more and more attention. While car-hailing service providers have made considerable efforts on developing real-time trajectory tracking systems and alarm mechanisms, most of them only focus on providing rescue-supporting information rather than preventing potential crimes. Recently, the newly available large-scale car-hailing order data have provided an unparalleled chance for researchers to explore the risky travel area and behavior of car-hailing services, which can be used for building an intelligent crime early warning system. To this end, in this article, we propose a Risky Area and Risky Behavior Evaluation System (RARBEs) based on the real-world car-hailing order data. In RARBEs, we first mine massive multi-source urban data and train an effective area risk prediction model, which estimates area risk at the urban block level. Then, we propose a transverse and longitudinal double detection method, which estimates behavior risk based on two aspects, including fraud trajectory recognition and fraud patterns mining. In particular, we creatively propose a bipartite graph-based algorithm to model the implicit relationship between areas and behaviors, which collaboratively adjusts area risk and behavior risk estimation based on random walk regularization. Finally, extensive experiments on multi-source real-world urban data clearly validate the effectiveness and efficiency of our system.

The understanding of people’s inter-regional mobility behaviors, such as predicting the next activity region (AR) or uncovering the intentions for regional mobility, is of great value to public administration or business interests. While there are numerous studies on human mobility, these studies are mainly from a statistical view or study movement behaviors within a region. The work on individual-level inter-regional mobility behavior is limited. To this end, in this article, we propose a dynamic region-relation-aware graph neural network (DRRGNN) for exploring individual mobility behaviors over ARs. Specifically, we aim at developing models that can answer three questions: (1) Which regions are the ARs? (2) Which region will be the next AR, and (3) Why do people make this regional mobility? To achieve these tasks, we first propose a method to find out people’s ARs. Then, the designed model integrates a dynamic graph convolution network (DGCN) and a recurrent neural network (RNN) to depict the evolution of relations between ARs and mine the regional mobility patterns. In the learning process, the model further considers peoples’ profiles and visited point-of-interest (POIs). Finally, extensive experiments on two real-world datasets show that the proposed model can significantly improve accuracy for both the next AR prediction and mobility intention prediction.

Transportation recommendation is one important map service in navigation applications. Previous transportation recommendation solutions fail to deliver satisfactory user experience because their recommendations only consider routes in one transportation mode (uni-modal, e.g., taxi, bus, cycle) and largely overlook situational context. In this work, we propose$\mathsf {Hydra}$, a multi-task deep learning based recommendation system that offers multi-modal transportation planning and is adaptive to various situational context (e.g., nearby point-of-interest (POI) distribution and weather). We leverage the availability of existing routing engines and big urban data, and design a novel two-level framework that integrates uni-modal and multi-modal (e.g., taxi-bus, bus-cycle) routes as well as heterogeneous urban data for intelligent multi-modal transportation recommendation. In addition to urban context features constructed from multi-source urban data, we learn the latent representations of users, origin-destination (OD) pairs and transportation modes based on user implicit feedbacks, which captures the collaborative transportation mode preferences of users and OD pairs. Moreover, we propose two models to recommend the proper route among various uni-modal and multi-modal transportation routes: (1) a light-weight gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) based recommendation model; and (2) a multi-task wide and deep learning (MTWDL) based recommendation model. We also optimize the framework to support real-time, large-scale route query and recommendation. We deploy$\mathsf {Hydra}$on Baidu Maps,11.https://maps.baidu.com/.one of the world's largest map services. Real-world urban-scale experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our proposed system. Since its deployment in August 2018,$\mathsf {Hydra}$has answered over a hundred million route recommendation queries made by over ten million distinct users. The GBDT based model and MTWDL based model achieve 82.8 and 96.6 percent relative improvement of user click ratio, respectively.

A session-based recommender system (SBRS) captures users’ evolving behaviors and recommends the next item by profiling users in terms of items in a session. User intent and user preference are two factors affecting his (her) decisions. Specifically, the former narrows the selection scope to some item types, while the latter helps to compare items of the same type. Most SBRSs assume one arbitrary user intent dominates a session when making a recommendation. However, this oversimplifies the reality that a session may involve multiple types of items conforming to different intents. In current SBRSs, items conforming to different user intents have cross-interference in profiling users for whom only one user intent is considered. Explicitly identifying and differentiating items conforming to various user intents can address this issue and model rich contextual information of a session. To this end, we design a framework modeling user intent and preference explicitly, which empowers the two factors to play their distinctive roles. Accordingly, we propose a key-array memory network (KA-MemNN) with a hierarchical intent tree to model coarse-to-fine user intents. The two-layer weighting unit (TLWU) in KA-MemNN detects user intents and generates intent-specific user profiles. Furthermore, the hierarchical semantic component (HSC) integrates multiple sets of intent-specific user profiles along with different user intent distributions to model a multi-intent user profile. The experimental results on real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of KA-MemNN over selected state-of-the-art methods.

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are prone to adversarial attacks and discriminatory biases. The cutting-edge studies usually adopt a perturbation-invariant consistency regularization strategy without considering the inherent prediction uncertainties, which can lead to unsatisfactory overconfidence for incorrect prediction under intent graph topology or node features attacks. Besides, operating on the complete graph structure is biased towards global level graph noise and brings severe computational issues. In this work, we develop a multi-view confidence-calibrated framework, called MCCNIFTY, for unified fair and stable graph representation learning. At its core is a multi-view uncertainty-aware node embedding learning module derived from evidential theory, including an intra-view evidence calibration, an inter-view evidence fusion, and an uncertainty-aware message passing process in a GNN architecture, which simultaneously optimizes for counterfactual fairness and stability at the sub-graph level. Experimental results on three real-world datasets demonstrate that our method is capable of adequately capturing inherent uncertainties while improving the fairness and stability via subgraph-induced multiview confidence calibration.

Partial correlation-based connectivity networks can describe the direct connectivity between features while avoiding spurious effects, and hence they can be implemented in diagnosing complex dynamic multivariate systems. However, existing studies mainly focus on single systems that are ill-equipped for incremental learning. Moreover, related methods estimate temporal connectivity network by imposing only sparse regularization without integrating pattern priors (e.g., inter-system shared pattern and intra-system intrinsic pattern), which have been proven effective in limiting noise interference. To this end, we develop an adaptive connectivity estimation model that incorporates prior patterns, namely Sparse Adaptive Meta-Learning Connectivity Network (SAMCN). Specifically, our model extends ideas of the gradient-based meta-learning to capture inter-system shared prior information by generating fast adaptive initialization parameters for the connectivity matrix. Then, a sparse variational autoencoder is proposed to generate a weight matrix for sparse regularization penalty in reweighted LASSO, which helps extract intra-system intrinsic patterns (local manifold structure). Experimental results on both synthetic data and real-world datasets demonstrate that our method is capable of adequately capturing the aforementioned pattern priors. Further, experiments from corresponding classification tasks validate the strength of the prior pattern-aware features connectivity network in resulting in better classification performance.

The competitive relationship of Points of Interest (POIs) refers to the degree of competition between two POIs for business opportunities from third parties in an urban area. Existing studies for competitive analysis usually focus on mining competitive relationships of entities, such as companies or products, from textual data. However, there are few studies which have a focus on competitive analysis for POIs. Indeed, the growing availability of user behavior data about POIs, such as POI reviews and human mobility data, enables a new paradigm for understanding the competitive relationships among POIs. To this end, in this paper, we study how to predict the POI competitive relationship. Along this line, a very first challenge is how to integrate heterogeneous user behavior data with the spatial features of POIs. As a solution, we first build a heterogeneous POI information network (HPIN) from POI reviews and map search data. Then, we develop a graph neural network-based deep learning framework, named DeepR, for POI competitive relationship prediction based on HPIN. Specifically, DeepR contains two components: a spatial adaptive graph neural network (SA-GNN) and a POI pairwise knowledge extraction learning (PKE) model. The SA-GNN is a novel GNN architecture with incorporating POI's spatial information and location distribution by a specially designed spatial oriented aggregation layer and spatial-dependency attentive propagation mechanism. In addition, PKE is devised to distill the POI pairwise knowledge in HPIN being useful for relationship prediction into condensate vectors with relational graph convolution and cross attention. Finally, extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

Multi-modal transportation recommendation aims to provide the most appropriate travel route with various transportation modes according to certain criteria. After analyzing large-scale navigation data, we find that route representations exhibit two patterns: spatio-temporal autocorrelations within transportation networks and the semantic coherence of route sequences. However, there are few studies that consider both patterns when developing multi-modal transportation systems. To this end, in this paper, we study multi-modal transportation recommendation with unified route representation learning by exploiting both spatio-temporal dependencies in transportation networks and the semantic coherence of historical routes. Specifically, we propose to unify both dynamic graph representation learning and hierarchical multi-task learning for multi-modal transportation recommendations. Along this line, we first transform the multi-modal transportation network into time-dependent multi-view transportation graphs and propose a spatiotemporal graph neural network module to capture the spatial and temporal autocorrelation. Then, we introduce a coherent-aware attentive route representation learning module to project arbitrary-length routes into fixed-length representation vectors, with explicit modeling of route coherence from historical routes. Moreover, we develop a hierarchical multi-task learning module to differentiate route representations for different transport modes, and this is guided by the final recommendation feedback as well as multiple auxiliary tasks equipped in different network layers. Extensive experimental results on two large-scale real-world datasets demonstrate the performance of the proposed system outperforms eight baselines.

A Point-of-Interest (POI) refers to a specific location that people may find useful or interesting. In modern cities, a large number of POIs emerge, grow, stabilize for a period, then finally disappear. The stages (e.g., emerge and grow) in this process are called lifetime statuses of a POI. While a large body of research has been devoted to identifying and recommending POIs, there are few studies on inferring the lifetime status of POIs. Indeed, the predictive analytics of POI lifetime status can be valuable for various tasks, such as urban planning, business site selection, and real estate appraisal. In this article, we propose a multitask learning approach, named inferring POI lifetime status, to inferring the POI lifetime status with multifaceted data sources. Specifically, we first define three types of POI lifetime status, i.e., booming, decaying, and stable. Then, we formulate a serial classification problem to predict the sequential/successive lifetime statuses of POIs over time. Leveraging geographical data and human mobility data, we examine and integrate three aspects of features related to the prosperity of POIs, i.e., region popularity, region demands, and peer competitiveness. Next, as the booming/decaying POIs are relatively rare in our data, we perform stable class decomposition to alleviate the imbalance between stable POIs and booming/decaying POIs. Finally, we develop a POI lifetime status classifier by exploiting the multitask learning framework as well as the multiclass kernel-based vector machines. We perform extensive experiments using large-scale and real-world datasets of New York City. The experimental results validate the effectiveness of our approach to automatically inferring POI lifetime status.

Transportation recommendation is one important map service in navigation applications. Previous transportation recommendation solutions fail to deliver satisfactory user experience because their recommendations only consider routes in one transportation mode (uni-modal, e.g., taxi, bus, cycle) and largely overlook situational context. In this work, we propose Hydra, a recommendation system that offers multi-modal transportation planning and is adaptive to various situational context (e.g., nearby point-of-interest (POI) distribution and weather). We leverage the availability of existing routing engines and big urban data, and design a novel two-level framework that integrates uni-modal and multi-modal (e.g., taxi-bus, bus-cycle) routes as well as heterogeneous urban data for intelligent multi-modal transportation recommendation. In addition to urban context features constructed from multi-source urban data, we learn the latent representations of users, origin-destination (OD) pairs and transportation modes based on user implicit feedbacks, which captures the collaborative transportation mode preferences of users and OD pairs. A gradient boosting tree based model is then introduced to recommend the proper route among various uni-modal and multi-modal transportation routes. We also optimize the framework to support real-time, large-scale route query and recommendation. We deploy Hydra on Baidu Maps, one of the world's largest map services. Real-world urban-scale experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our proposed system. Since its deployment in August 2018, Hydra has answered over a hundred million route recommendation queries made by over ten million distinct users with 82.8% relative improvement of user click ratio.

Housing demand estimation is an important topic in the field of economic research. It is beneficial and helpful for various applications including real estate market regulation and urban planning, and therefore is crucial for both real estate investors and government administrators. Meanwhile, given the rapid development of the express industry, abundant useful information is embedded in express delivery records, which is helpful for researchers in profiling urban life patterns. The express delivery behaviors of the residents in a residential community can reflect the housing demand to some extent. Although housing demand has been analyzed in previous studies, its estimation has not been very good, and the subject remains under explored. To this end, in this article, we propose a systematic housing demand estimation method based on express delivery data. First, the express delivery records are aggregated on the community scale with the use of clustering methods, and the missing values in the records are completed. Then, various features are extracted from a less sparse dataset considering both the probability of residential mobility and the attractiveness of residential communities. In addition, given that the correlations between different districts can influence the performances of the inference model, the commonalities and differences of different districts are considered. After obtaining the features and correlations between different districts being obtained, the housing demand is estimated by using a multi-task learning method based on neural networks. The experimental results for real-world data show that the proposed model is effective at estimating the housing demand at the residential community level.

Estimation of housing requirement is beneficial for many applications such as guidance of house trading and real estate market regulation. Although there have been studies focusing on the demand analysis of urban resources, estimation of housing requirement is still under explored. To this end, in this paper we propose a systematic housing demand inference method, named Housing Demand Inference Model (HDIM), to estimate housing demand by exploiting the residential mobility of communities based on express delivery data. In this work, we first aggregate the express delivery records at community scale with clustering methods. Then, we propose a useful method to infer residential mobility by extracting express delivery related features and community related features. Since the features extracted are sparse for some residents, we utilize Regularized Singular Value Decomposition Model (RSVD) to construct missing values of features. After that, we infer residential mobility probability of each community by taking advantage of the less sparse features. We also consider community attractiveness as one of the factors influencing housing demand with the help of community profiles and geographical data. With the residential mobility probability and community attractiveness being obtained, we estimate housing demand with a regression model. Finally, experimental results on real-world data show that our model is effective to infer housing demand for communities in urban areas.

Volatile Point-of-Interests (vPOIs) refer to those small businesses which appear and disappear quickly in cities. How to maintain and incubate small business in the urban area is a big concern for both business owners and government administrators. Therefore, the prediction task for the rise and fall of vPOIs is valuable for both shopkeepers and administrators by supporting a variety of applications in urban economics. In this paper, we propose a framework, named FRFP, to predict the prosperity of vPOIs over time. Specifically, due to the data sparsity and skewness of the individual vPOIs, we first aggregate vPOIs prosperities at focal areas w.r.t. each vPOI category. Then we develop the dynamic-continuous CRF (DC-CRF) model to integrate the association between input and output as well as the correlations between outputs from temporal, spatial and contextual perspectives. Finally, we conduct empirical experiments on real-world data from Google Maps and NYC OpenData. The evaluation results demonstrate that our proposed approach outperforms baseline algorithms with considerable margins. In addition, we explore the predictability of different explanatory variables and provide actionable insights for both shopkeepers and urban planners.

Point-of-Interest (POI) demand modeling in urban regions is critical for many applications such as business site selection and real estate investment. While some efforts have been made for the demand analysis of some specific POI categories, such as restaurants, it lacks systematic means to support POI demand modeling. To this end, in this paper, we develop a systematic POI demand modeling framework, named Region POI Demand Identification (RPDI), to model POI demands by exploiting the daily needs of people identified from their large-scale mobility data. Specifically, we first partition the urban space into spatially differentiated neighborhood regions formed by many small local communities. Then, the daily activity patterns of people traveling in the city will be extracted from human mobility data. Since the trip activities, even aggregated, are sparse and insufficient to directly identify the POI demands, especially for underdeveloped regions, we develop a latent factor model that integrates human mobility data, POI profiles, and demographic data to robustly model the POI demand of urban regions in a holistic way. In this model, POI preferences and supplies are used together with demographic features to estimate the POI demands simultaneously for all the urban regions interconnected in the city. Moreover, we also design efficient algorithms to optimize the latent model for large-scale data. Finally, experimental results on real-world data in New York City (NYC) show that our method is effective for identifying POI demands for different regions.

The service usage analysis, aiming at identifying customers' messaging behaviors based on encrypted App traffic flows, has become a challenging and emergent task for service providers. Prior literature usually starts from segmenting a traffic sequence into single-usage subsequences, and then classify the subsequences into different usage types. However, they could suffer from inaccurate traffic segmentations and mixed-usage subsequences. To address this challenge, we exploit a multi-label multi-view learning strategy and develop an enhanced frame-work for in-App usage analytics. Specifically, we first devise an enhanced traffic segmentation method to reduce mixed-usage sub-sequences. Besides, we develop a multi-label multi-view logistic classification method, which comprises two alignments. The first alignment is to make use of the classification consistency between packet-length view and time-delay view of traffic subsequences and improve classification accuracy. The second alignment is to combine the classification of single-usage subsequence and the post-classification of mixed-usage subsequences into a unified multi-label logistic classification problem. Finally, we present extensive experiments with real-world datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

Recent years have witnessed the boom of venture capital industry. Venture capitalists can attain great financial rewards if their invested companies exit successfully, via being acquired or going IPO (Initial Public Offering). The literature has revealed that, from both financial and managerial perspectives, decision-making process and successful rates of venture capital (VC) investments can be greatly improved if the investors well know the team members of target startups. However, much less efforts have been made on understanding the impact of prominent social ties between the members of VC firms and start-up companies on investment decisions. To this end, we propose to study such social relationship and see how this information can contribute to foreseeing investment deals. We aim at providing analytical guidance for the venture capitalists in choosing right investment targets. Specifically, we develop a Social-Adjusted Probabilistic Matrix Factorization (PMF) model to exploit members social connections information from VC firms and startups for investment recommendations. Unlike previous studies, we make use of the directed relationship between any pair of connected members from the two institutions respectively and quantify the variety of social network groups. As a result, it brings in much more flexibility, and the modeling results inherently provide meaningful managerial implications for the operators of VC firms and startups. Finally, we evaluate our model on both synthetic and real-world data. The results demonstrate that our approach outperforms the baseline algorithms with a significant margin.

In online karaoke, the decision process in choosing a song is different from that in music radio, because users usually prefer songs that meet their vocal competence besides their tastes. Traditional music recommendation methods typically model users' personalized preference for songs in terms of content and style. However, this can be improved by considering the degree of matching the vocal competence (e.g. pitch, volume, and rhythm) of users to the vocal requirements of songs. To this end, in this paper, we develop a karaoke recommender system by incorporating vocal competence. Along this line, we propose a joint modeling method named CBNTF by exploiting the mutual enhancement between non-negative tensor factorization (NTF) and support vector machine (SVM). Specifically, we first extract vocal (i.e., pitch, volume, and rhythm) ratings of a user for a song from his/her singing records. Since these vocal ratings encode users' vocal competence from three aspects, we treat these vocal ratings as a tensor, exploit an NTF method, and learn the latent features of users' vocal metrics. These factorized features are simultaneously fed into an SVM classifier and then we use the trained classifier to predict the overall rating of a user with respect to a song. In addition, we propose an enhanced objective function to exploit the mutual enhancement between NTF and SVM, and devise an effective method to solve this objective as a coupled least-squares optimization problem via a maximum margin framework. With the estimated model, we compute the similarity between users and songs in terms of pitch, volume and rhythm and recommend songs to users. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments with real-world online karaoke data. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

College students with financial difficulties refer to those whose families can hardly afford their high tuition in universities, and should be supported by modern funding system. Indeed, students' economic plight negatively impact their mental health, academic performance, as well as their personal and social life. While funding students in financial hardship is widely accepted, there is limited understanding and research on effectively identification of the qualifying students. Traditional approaches relying on advisers' personal assessments are inefficient, and such subjective judgements may not reflect the truth. To this end, in this paper, we explore the data mining techniques for identifying students who are qualified for financial support. Specifically, we investigate students' complex behaviors on campus from multiple perspectives, and develop a learning framework, named Dis-HARD, by jointly incorporating the heterogeneous features to predict the portfolio of stipends a given student should be awarded. Our framework formalizes the above problem as a multi-label learning problem. Along this line, we first extract discriminative features from three perspectives: (i) smartcard usage behavior, (ii) internet usage behavior and (iii) trajectory on campus. Then, we develop a linear loss function with regularization to solve this multi-label classification problem. In addition, to effectively exploit the students' similarity and label dependency, we incorporate the graph Laplacian and composite l2,1-norm into the regularization of our model, and develop are-weighted algorithm to achieve effective optimization. Finally, experiments on real-world data demonstrate that our method consistently provides better performance compared to the existing state-of-the-art methods.

During the last decade, microblog has become an important social networking service with billions of users all over the world, acting as a novel and efficient platform for the creation and dissemination of real-time information. Modeling and revealing the information propagation patterns in microblogging services cannot only lead to more accurate understanding of user behaviors and provide insights into the underlying sociology, but also enable useful applications such as trending prediction, recommendation and filtering, spam detection and viral marketing. In this article, we aim to reveal the information propagation patterns in Sina Weibo, the biggest microblogging service in China. First, the cascade of each message is represented as a tree based on its retweeting process. Afterwards, we divide the information propagation pattern into two levels, that is, the macro level and the micro level. On one hand, the macro propagation patterns refer to general propagation modes that are extracted by grouping propagation trees based on hierarchical clustering. On the other hand, the micro propagation patterns are frequent information flow patterns that are discovered using tree-based mining techniques. Experimental results show that several interesting patterns are extracted, such as popular message propagation, artificial propagation, and typical information flows between different types of users.