GitHub Copilot is an AI-enabled tool that automates program synthesis. It has gained significant attention since its launch in 2021. Recent studies have extensively examined Copilot's capabilities in various programming tasks, as well as its security issues. However, little is known about the effect of different natural languages on code suggestion. Natural language is considered a social bias in the field of NLP, and this bias could impact the diversity of software engineering. To address this gap, we conducted an empirical study to investigate the effect of three popular natural languages (English, Japanese, and Chinese) on Copilot. We used 756 questions of varying difficulty levels from AtCoder contests for evaluation purposes. The results highlight that the capability varies across natural languages, with Chinese achieving the worst performance. Furthermore, regardless of the type of natural language, the performance decreases significantly as the difficulty of questions increases. Our work represents the initial step in comprehending the significance of natural languages in Copilot's capability and introduces promising opportunities for future endeavors.

Microtask programming [4] is a solution to promote distributed development in industry. The key idea of microtask programming is to reduce face-to-face communication across developers by splitting the development task of software into independent microtasks. Such microtasks can be completed by crowd workers who work remotely and at their preferable time such as early morning. Dedicated developers who have the responsibility for the progress of development split the task into microtasks, and distribute them to crowd workers. Hence, microtask programming has these two actors. Our research team reported that microtask programming has potential benefits such as the fluidity of project assignments in industrial companies [4]. However, we suppose it still has challenges. In addition, it is still unclear what are future research direction to support both actors in microtask programming, though our research team has conducted three studies for microtask programming so far [2--4].

Software quality assurance efforts often focus on identifying defective code. To find likely defective code early, change-level defect prediction - aka. Just-In-Time (JIT) defect prediction - has been proposed. JIT defect prediction models identify likely defective changes and they are trained using machine learning techniques with the assumption that historical changes are similar to future ones. Most existing JIT defect prediction approaches make use of manually engineered features. Unlike those approaches, in this paper, we propose an end-to-end deep learning framework, named DeepJIT, that automatically extracts features from commit messages and code changes and use them to identify defects. Experiments on two popular software projects (i.e., QT and OPENSTACK) on three evaluation settings (i.e., cross-validation, short-period, and long-period) show that the best variant of DeepJIT (DeepJIT-Combined), compared with the best performing state-of-the-art approach, achieves improvements of 10.36-11.02% for the project QT and 9.51-13.69% for the project OPENSTACK in terms of the Area Under the Curve (AUC).

Prior research suggests that predicting defect-inducing changes, i.e., Just-In-Time (JIT) defect prediction is a more practical alternative to traditional defect prediction techniques, providing immediate feedback while design decisions are still fresh in the minds of developers. Unfortunately, similar to traditional defect prediction models, JIT models require a large amount of training data, which is not available when projects are in initial development phases. To address this flaw in traditional defect prediction, prior work has proposed cross-project models, i.e., models learned from older projects with sufficient history. However, cross-project models have not yet been explored in the context of JIT prediction. Therefore, in this study, we empirically evaluate the performance of JIT cross-project models. Through a case study on 11 open source projects, we find that in a JIT cross-project context: (1) high performance within-project models rarely perform well; (2) models trained on projects that have similar correlations between predictor and dependent variables often perform well; and (3) ensemble learning techniques that leverage historical data from several other projects (e.g., voting experts) often perform well. Our findings empirically confirm that JIT cross-project models learned using other projects are a viable solution for projects with little historical data. However, JIT cross-project models perform best when the data used to learn them is carefully selected.

For Open Source Software (OSS) projects, retaining existing contributors and attracting new ones is a major concern. In this paper, we expand and adapt a pair of population migration metrics to analyze migration trends in a collection of open source projects. Namely, we study: (1) project stickiness, i.e., its tendency to retain existing contributors and (2) project magnetism, i.e., its tendency to attract new contributors. Using quadrant plots, we classify projects as attractive (highly magnetic and sticky), stagnant (highly sticky, weakly magnetic), fluctuating (highly magnetic, weakly sticky), or terminal (weakly magnetic and sticky). Through analysis of the MSR challenge dataset, we find that: (1) quadrant plots can effectively identify at-risk projects, (2) stickiness is often motivated by professional activity and (3) transitions among quadrants as a project ages often coincides with interesting events in the evolution history of a project.

Many research projects on software estimation use software size as a major explanatory variable. However, practitioners sometimes use the ratio of effort for early phase activities such as planning and requirement analysis, to the effort for the whole development phase of the software in order to estimate effort. In this paper, we focus on effort estimation based on the effort for early phase activities. The goal of the research is to examine the relationship of early phase effort and software size with software development effort. To achieve the goal, we built effort estimation models using early phase effort as an explanatory variable, and compared the estimation accuracies of these models to the effort estimation models based on software size. In addition, we built estimation models using both early phase effort and software size. In our experiment, we used ISBSG dataset, which was collected from software development companies, and regarded planning phase effort and requirement analysis effort as early phase effort. The result of the experiment showed that when both software size and sum of planning and requirement analysis phase effort were used as explanatory variables, the estimation accuracy was most improved (Average Balanced Relative Error was improved to 75.4% from 148.4%). Based on the result, we recommend that both early phase effort and software size be used as explanatory variables, because that combination showed the high accuracy, and did not have multicollinearity issues.