Previous work has shown that some user cognitive abilities relevant for processing information visualizations can be predicted from eye-tracking data. Performing this type of user modeling is important for devising visualizations that can detect a user's abilities and adapt accordingly during the interaction. In this article, we extend previous user modeling work by investigating for the first time interaction data as an alternative source to predict cognitive abilities during visualization processing when it is not feasible to collect eye-tracking data. We present an extensive comparison of user models based solely on eye-tracking data, on interaction data, as well as on a combination of the two. Although we found that eye-tracking data generate the most accurate predictions, results show that interaction data can still outperform a majority-class baseline, meaning that adaptation for interactive visualizations could be enabled even when it is not feasible to perform eye tracking, using solely interaction data. Furthermore, we found that interaction data can predict several cognitive abilities with better accuracy at the very beginning of the task than eye-tracking data, which are valuable for delivering adaptation early in the task. We also extend previous work by examining the value of multimodal classifiers combining interaction data and eye-tracking data, with promising results for some of our target user cognitive abilities. Next, we contribute to previous work by extending the type of visualizations considered and the set of cognitive abilities that can be predicted from either eye-tracking data and interaction data. Finally, we evaluate how noise in gaze data impacts prediction accuracy and find that retaining rather noisy gaze datapoints can yield equal or even better predictions than discarding them, a novel and important contribution for devising adaptive visualizations in real settings where eye-tracking data are typically noisier than in laboratory settings.

Previous work has shown that some user cognitive abilities relevant for processing information visualizations can be predicted from eye tracking data. Performing this type of user modeling is important for devising user-adaptive visualizations that can adapt to a user’s abilities as needed during the interaction. In this paper, we contribute to previous work by extending the type of visualizations considered and the set of cognitive abilities that can be predicted from gaze data, thus providing evidence on the generality of these findings. We also evaluate how quality of gaze data impacts prediction.