MOTIVATION: Epigenetic clocks are prediction methods based on DNA methylation levels in a given species or set of species. Defined as multivariate regression models, these DNA methylation-based biomarkers of age or mortality risk are useful in species conservation efforts and in preclinical studies. RESULTS: We present an R package called MammalMethylClock for the construction, assessment, and application of epigenetic clocks in different mammalian species. The R package includes the utility for implementing pre-existing mammalian clocks from the Mammalian Methylation Consortium. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: The source code and documentation manual for MammalMethylClock, and clock coefficient .csv files that are included within this software package, can be found on Zenodo at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10971037.

Predictions of COVID-19 case growth and mortality are critical to the decisions of political leaders, businesses, and individuals grappling with the pandemic. This predictive task is challenging due to the novelty of the virus, limited data, and dynamic political and societal responses. We embed a Bayesian time series model and a random forest algorithm within an epidemiological compartmental model for empirically grounded COVID-19 predictions. The Bayesian case model fits a location-specific curve to the velocity (first derivative) of the log transformed cumulative case count, borrowing strength across geographic locations and incorporating prior information to obtain a posterior distribution for case trajectories. The compartmental model uses this distribution and predicts deaths using a random forest algorithm trained on COVID-19 data and population-level characteristics, yielding daily projections and interval estimates for cases and deaths in U.S. states. We evaluated the model by training it on progressively longer periods of the pandemic and computing its predictive accuracy over 21-day forecasts. The substantial variation in predicted trajectories and associated uncertainty between states is illustrated by comparing three unique locations: New York, Colorado, and West Virginia. The sophistication and accuracy of this COVID-19 model offer reliable predictions and uncertainty estimates for the current trajectory of the pandemic in the U.S. and provide a platform for future predictions as shifting political and societal responses alter its course.