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Oliver Dukes

dblp:345/8680 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
1since 2021 · last 2024
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-author · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 50% Trustworthy machine learning · 25% Learning theory · 25%

Topics — the 4 heaviest of 4, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning
causal inference
0.812024
On Doubly Robust Inference for Double Machine Learning in Semiparametric Regression · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2024
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › causal machine learning
double machine learning
0.812024
On Doubly Robust Inference for Double Machine Learning in Semiparametric Regression · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2024
Machine learning › Learning theory › statistical estimation › semiparametric inference
partially linear model
0.812024
On Doubly Robust Inference for Double Machine Learning in Semiparametric Regression · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2024
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference › regression
semiparametric regression
0.812024
On Doubly Robust Inference for Double Machine Learning in Semiparametric Regression · J. Mach. Learn. Res. 2024

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

targeted minimum loss estimation · 0.8doubly robust estimation · 0.8
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2024 On Doubly Robust Inference for Double Machine Learning in Semiparametric Regression
abstract
Due to concerns about parametric model misspecification, there is interest in using machine learning to adjust for confounding when evaluating the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Unfortunately, exposure effect estimators that rely on machine learning predictions are generally subject to so-called plug-in bias, which can render naive p-values and confidence intervals invalid. Progress has been made via proposals like targeted minimum loss estimation and more recently double machine learning, which rely on learning the conditional mean of both the outcome and exposure. Valid inference can then be obtained so long as both predictions converge (sufficiently fast) to the truth. Focusing on partially linear regression models, we show that a specific implementation of the machine learning techniques can yield exposure effect estimators that have small bias even when one of the first-stage predictions does not converge to the truth. The resulting tests and confidence intervals are doubly robust. We also show that the proposed estimators may fail to be regular when only one nuisance parameter is consistently estimated; nevertheless, we observe in simulation studies that our proposal can lead to reduced bias and improved confidence interval coverage in moderate-to-large samples.
Oliver Dukes, Stijn Vansteelandt, David Whitney
J. Mach. Learn. Res.1