Recent advances in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have enabled robust modeling of real-world dynamical processes across diverse domains, such as finance, health, and systems biology. However, parameter estimation for SDEs typically relies on accurately time-stamped observational data. When temporal ordering information is corrupted, missing, or deliberately hidden (e.g., for privacy), existing estimation methods often fail. In this paper, we investigate the conditions under which temporal order can be recovered and introduce a novel framework that simultaneously reconstructs temporal information and estimates SDE parameters. Our approach exploits asymmetries between forward and backward processes, deriving a score-matching criterion to infer the correct temporal order between pairs of observations. We then recover the total order via a sorting procedure and estimate SDE parameters from the reconstructed sequence using maximum likelihood. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets to demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, extending parameter estimation to settings with missing temporal order and broadening applicability in sensitive domains.

AI code completion tools, such as Github Copilot, provide students with code suggestions to help them write programs. However, recent qualitative studies suggest that students fail to critically evaluate these suggestions. We present Clover, a code completion tool that logs students' interactions with code suggestions and additionally offers attention checks to probe reflective engagement during programming tasks. We also develop a taxonomy of behavioral interaction metrics for AI-assisted programming, informed by literature. We analyzed relationships between interaction patterns, engagement with attention checks, and task performance. We observed that higher rates of tab accept were associated with lower attention check performance, while increased dwell time was associated with higher attention check performance. We conclude by discussing how programming process data and attention checks might support reflective engagement in AI-assisted programming.

Identifying the root causes of outliers is a fundamental problem in causal inference and anomaly detection. Traditional approaches based on heuristics or counterfactual reasoning often struggle under uncertainty and high-dimensional dependencies. We introduce SIREN, a novel and scalable method that attributes the root causes of outliers by estimating the score functions of the data likelihood. Attribution is computed via integrated gradients that accumulate score contributions along paths from the outlier toward the normal data distribution. Our method satisfies three of the four classic Shapley value axioms-dummy, efficiency, and linearity-as well as an asymmetry axiom derived from the underlying causal structure. Unlike prior work, SIREN operates directly on the score function, enabling tractable and uncertainty-aware root cause attribution in nonlinear, high-dimensional, and heteroscedastic causal models. Extensive experiments on synthetic random graphs and real-world cloud service and supply chain datasets show that SIREN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both attribution accuracy and computational efficiency.

Telling apart the cause and effect between two random variables with purely observational data is a challenging problem that finds applications in various scientific disciplines. A key principle utilized in this task is the algorithmic Markov condition, which postulates that the joint distribution, when factorized according to the causal direction, yields a more succinct codelength compared to the anti-causal direction. Previous approaches approximate these codelengths by relying on simple functions or Gaussian processes (GPs) with easily evaluable complexity, compromising between model fitness and computational complexity. To address these limitations, we propose leveraging the variational Bayesian learning of neural networks as an interpretation of the codelengths. This allows the improvement of model fitness, while maintaining the succinctness of the codelengths, and the avoidance of the significant computational complexity of the GP-based approaches. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world benchmarks in cause-effect identification demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method, showing promising performance enhancements on several datasets in comparison to most related methods.

Modern-day autonomous robots need high-level map representations to perform sophisticated tasks. Recently, 3D scene graphs (3DSGs) have emerged as a promising alternative to traditional grid maps, blending efficient memory use and rich feature representation. However, most efforts to apply them have been limited to static worlds. This work introduces REACT, a framework that efficiently performs real-time attribute clustering and transfer to relocalize object nodes in a 3DSG. REACT employs a novel method for comparing object instances using an embedding model trained on triplet loss, facilitating instance clustering and matching. Experimental results demonstrate that REACT is able to relocalize objects while maintaining computational efficiency. The REACT framework’s source code will be available as an open-source project, promoting further advancements in reusable and up-datable 3DSGs1.

Identifying root causes of anomalies in causal processes is vital across disciplines. Once identified, one can isolate the root causes and implement necessary measures to restore the normal operation. Causal processes are often modelled as graphs with entities being nodes and their paths/interconnections as edge. Existing work only consider the contribution of nodes in the generative process, thus can not attribute the outlier score to the edges of the mechanism if the anomaly occurs in the connections. In this paper, we consider both individual edge and node of each mechanism when identifying the root causes. We introduce a noisy functional causal model to account for this purpose. Then, we employ Bayesian learning and inference methods to infer the noises of the nodes and edges. We then represent the functional form of a target outlier leaf as a function of the node and edge noises. Finally, we propose an efficient gradient-based attribution method to compute the anomaly attribution scores which scales linearly with the number of nodes and edges. Experiments on simulated datasets and two real-world scenario datasets show better anomaly attribution performance of the proposed method compared to the baselines. Our method scales to larger graphs with more nodes and edges.

This research examines the effectiveness of OpenAI's GPT models as independent evaluators of text summaries generated by six transformer-based models from Hugging Face: DistilBART, BERT, ProphetNet, T5, BART, and PEGASUS. We evaluated these summaries based on the essential properties of a high-quality summary: concision, relevance, coherence, and readability using traditional metrics such as ROUGE and Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA). Uniquely, we employ GPT not as a summarizer, but as an evaluator, allowing it to independently assess summary quality without predefined metrics. Our analysis revealed significant correlations between GPT evaluations and traditional metrics, particularly in assessing relevance and coherence. The results demonstrate the potential of GPT as a robust tool for evaluating text summaries, providing insights that complement established metrics while providing a basis for comparative analysis of transformer-based models in natural language processing tasks.

Distinguishing the cause and effect from bivariate observational data is the foundational problem that finds applications in many scientific disciplines. One solution to this problem is assuming that cause and effect are generated from a structural causal model, enabling identification of the causal direction after estimating the model in each direction. The heteroscedastic noise model is a type of structural causal model where the cause can contribute to both the mean and variance of the noise. Current methods for estimating heteroscedas-tic noise models choose the Gaussian likelihood as the optimization objective which can be suboptimal and unstable when the data has a non-Gaussian distribution. To address this limitation, we propose a novel approach to estimating this model with Student's t-distribution, which is known for its robustness in accounting for sampling variability with smaller sample sizes and extreme values without significantly altering the overall distribution shape. This adaptability is beneficial for capturing the parameters of the noise distribution in het-eroscedastic noise models. Our empirical evaluations demonstrate that our estimators are more robust and achieve better overall performance across synthetic and real benchmarks.

Abstract Distributional estimates in Bayesian approaches in structure learning have advantages compared to the ones performing point estimates when handling epistemic uncertainty. Differentiable methods for Bayesian structure learning have been developed to enhance the scalability of the inference process and are achieving optimistic outcomes. However, in the differentiable continuous setting, constraining the acyclicity of learned graphs emerges as another challenge. Various works utilize post-hoc penalization scores to impose this constraint which cannot assure acyclicity. The topological ordering of the variables is one type of prior knowledge that contains valuable information about the acyclicity of a directed graph. In this work, we propose a framework to guarantee the acyclicity of inferred graphs by integrating the information from the topological ordering into the inference process. Our integration framework does not interfere with the differentiable inference process while being able to strictly assure the acyclicity of learned graphs and reduce the inference complexity. Our extensive empirical experiments on both synthetic and real data have demonstrated the effectiveness of our approach with preferable results compared to related Bayesian approaches.

Social reasoning necessitates the capacity of theory of mind (ToM), the ability to contextualise and attribute mental states to others without having access to their internal cognitive structure. Recent machine learning approaches to ToM have demonstrated that we can train the observer to read the past and present behaviours of other agents and infer their beliefs (including false beliefs about things that no longer exist), goals, intentions and future actions. The challenges arise when the behavioural space is complex, demanding skilful space navigation for rapidly changing contexts for an extended period. We tackle the challenges by equipping the observer with novel neural memory mechanisms to encode, and hierarchical attention to selectively retrieve information about others. The memories allow rapid, selective querying of distal related past behaviours of others to deliberatively reason about their current mental state, beliefs and future behaviours. This results in ToMMY, a theory of mind model that learns to reason while making little assumptions about the underlying mental processes. We also construct a new suite of experiments to demonstrate that memories facilitate the learning process and achieve better theory of mind performance, especially for high-demand false-belief tasks that require inferring through multiple steps of changes.

Score-based approaches in the structure learning task are thriving because of their scalability. Continuous relaxation has been the key reason for this advancement. Despite achieving promising outcomes, most of these methods are still struggling to ensure that the graphs generated from the latent space are acyclic by minimizing a defined score. There has also been another trend of permutation-based approaches, which concern the search for the topological ordering of the variables in the directed acyclic graph in order to limit the search space of the graph. In this study, we propose an alternative approach for strictly constraining the acyclicty of the graphs with an integration of the knowledge from the topological orderings. Our approach can reduce inference complexity while ensuring the structures of the generated graphs to be acyclic. Our empirical experiments with simulated and real-world data show that our approach can outperform related Bayesian score-based approaches.

Guilt aversion induces experience of a utility loss in people if they believe they have disappointed others, and this promotes cooperative behaviour in human. In psychological game theory, guilt aversion necessitates modelling of agents that have theory about what other agents think, also known as Theory of Mind (ToM). We aim to build a new kind of affective reinforcement learning agents, called Theory of Mind Agents with Guilt Aversion (ToMAGA), which are equipped with an ability to think about the wellbeing of others instead of just self-interest. To validate the agent design, we use a general-sum game known as Stag Hunt as a test bed. As standard reinforcement learning agents could learn suboptimal policies in social dilemmas like Stag Hunt, we propose to use belief-based guilt aversion as a reward shaping mechanism. We show that our belief-based guilt averse agents can efficiently learn cooperative behaviours in Stag Hunt Games.

Designing new physical products and processes requires enormous experimentation. The scientific simulators play a fundamental role for such design tasks. To design a new product with certain target characteristics, a search is performed in the design space by trying out a large number of design combinations through simulators before reaching to the target characteristics. However, searching for the target design using simulators is generally expensive and becomes prohibitive when the target is either revised or only partially specified. To address this problem, we use a machine learning model to predict the design in single step using the target product specifications as input. We overcome two technical challenges: the first caused due to one-to-many mapping when learning the inverse problem and the second caused due to a user specifying the target specifications only partially. We unify a conditional variational auto-encoder model (to address the partial target specification) with mixture density networks (to address the one-to-many mapping) and train an end-to-end model to predict the optimum design.

Modern healthcare is ripe for disruption by AI. A game changer would be automatic understanding the latent processes from electronic medical records, which are being collected for billions of people worldwide. However, these healthcare processes are complicated by the interaction between at least three dynamic components: the illness which involves multiple diseases, the care which involves multiple treatments, and the recording practice which is biased and erroneous. Existing methods are inadequate in capturing the dynamic structure of care. We propose Resset, an end-to-end recurrent model that reads medical record and predicts future risk. The model adopts the algebraic view in that discrete medical objects are embedded into continuous vectors lying in the same space. We formulate the problem as modeling sequences of sets, a novel setting that have rarely, if not, been addressed. Within Resset, the bag of diseases recorded at each clinic visit is modeled as function of sets. The same hold for the bag of treatments. The interaction between the disease bag and the treatment bag at a visit is modeled in several, one of which as residual of diseases minus the treatments. Finally, the health trajectory, which is a sequence of visits, is modeled using a recurrent neural network. We report results on over a hundred thousand hospital visits by patients suffered from two costly chronic diseases - diabetes and mental health. Resset shows promises in multiple predictive tasks such as readmission prediction, treatments recommendation and diseases progression.

Feature engineering remains a major bottleneck when creating predictive systems from electronic medical records. At present, an important missing element is detecting predictive regular clinical motifs from irregular episodic records. We present Deepr (short for Deep record), a new end-to-end deep learning system that learns to extract features from medical records and predicts future risk automatically. Deepr transforms a record into a sequence of discrete elements separated by coded time gaps and hospital transfers. On top of the sequence is a convolutional neural net that detects and combines predictive local clinical motifs to stratify the risk. Deepr permits transparent inspection and visualization of its inner working. We validate Deepr on hospital data to predict unplanned readmission after discharge. Deepr achieves superior accuracy compared to traditional techniques, detects meaningful clinical motifs, and uncovers the underlying structure of the disease and intervention space.

Support vector data description (SVDD) aims at constructing an optimal hypersphere regarded as a data description for a dataset while support vector classification (SVC) aims at separating data of two classes without providing a data description. This paper proposes a unified approach to both SVDD and SVC that aims at separating data of two classes and at the same time provides a data description. A trade off parameter is introduced to control the balance between describing the data and maximising the margin. Experimental results are provided to evaluate the proposed approach.

Electroencephalography (EEG) signal has been used widely in health and medical fields. It is also used in brain-computer interface (BCI) systems for humans to continuously control mobile robots and wheelchairs. Recently, the research communities successfully explore the potential of using EEG as a new type of biometrics in user authentication. EEG-based user authentication systems have the combined advantages of both password-based and biometric-based authentication systems, yet without their drawbacks. In this paper, we propose to take the advantage of rich information, such as age and gender, carried by EEG signals for user authentication in multi-level security systems. Our experiments showed very promising results for the proposed multi-factor EEG-based authentication method.

Person identification using electroencephalogram (EEG) as biometric has been widely used since it is capable of achieving high identification rate. Epilepsy is one of the brain disorders that involves in the EEG signal and hence it may have impact on EEG-based person identification systems. However, this issue has not been investigated. In this paper, we perform person identification on two groups of subjects, normal and epileptic to investigate the impact of epilepsy on the identification rate. Autoregressive model (AR) and Approximate entropy (ApEn) are employed to extract features from these two groups. Experimental results show that epilepsy actually have impacts depending on feature extraction method used in the system.

Current data description learning methods for novelty detection such as support vector data description and small sphere with large margin construct a spherically shaped boundary around a normal data set to separate this set from abnormal data. The volume of this sphere is minimized to reduce the chance of accepting abnormal data. However those learning methods do not guarantee that the single spherically shaped boundary can best describe the normal data set if there exist some distinctive data distributions in this set. We propose in this paper a new data description learning method that constructs a set of spherically shaped boundaries to provide a better data description to the normal data set. An optimisation problem is proposed and solving this problem results in an iterative learning algorithm to determine the set of spherically shaped boundaries. We prove that the classification error will be reduced after each iteration in our learning method. Experimental results on 23 well-known data sets show that the proposed method provides lower classification error rates.

Vector quantization (VQ) is a simple but effective modelling technique in pattern recognition. VQ employs a clustering technique to convert a feature vector set in to a cluster center set to model the feature vector set. Some clustering techniques have been applied to improve VQ. However VQ is not always effective because data features are treated equally although their importance may not be the same. Some automated feature weighting techniques have been proposed to overcome this drawback. This paper reviews those weighting techniques and proposes a general scheme for selecting any pair of clustering and feature weighting techniques to form a fuzzy feature weighting-based VQ modelling technique. Besides the current techniques, a number of new feature weighting-based VQ techniques is proposed and their evaluations are also presented.