Abstract Location-based recommender systems are increasingly embedded in location-based services, shaping individual mobility decisions in urban environments. While their predictive accuracy has been extensively studied, less attention has been paid to their systemic impact on urban dynamics. In this work, we introduce a simulation framework to model the human–AI feedback loop underpinning next-venue recommendation, capturing how algorithmic suggestions influence individual behaviour, which in turn reshapes the data used to retrain the models. Our simulations, grounded in real-world mobility data, systematically explore the effects of algorithmic adoption across a range of recommendation strategies. We find that while recommender systems consistently increase individual-level diversity in visited venues, they may simultaneously amplify collective inequality by concentrating visits on a limited subset of popular places. This divergence extends to the structure of social co-location networks, revealing broader implications for urban accessibility and spatial segregation. Our framework operationalizes the feedback loop in next-venue recommendation and offers a novel lens through which to assess the societal impact of AI-assisted mobility, providing a computational tool to anticipate future risks, evaluate regulatory interventions, and inform the design of ethic algorithmic systems.

Human-AI coevolution, defined as a process in which humans and AI algorithms continuously influence each other, increasingly characterises our society, but is understudied in artificial intelligence and complexity science literature. Recommender systems and assistants play a prominent role in human-AI coevolution, as they permeate many facets of daily life and influence human choices through online platforms. The interaction between users and AI results in a potentially endless feedback loop, wherein users' choices generate data to train AI models, which, in turn, shape subsequent user preferences. This human-AI feedback loop has peculiar characteristics compared to traditional human-machine interaction and gives rise to complex and often “unintended” systemic outcomes. This paper introduces human-AI coevolution as the cornerstone for a new field of study at the intersection between AI and complexity science focused on the theoretical, empirical, and mathematical investigation of the human-AI feedback loop. In doing so, we: (i) outline the pros and cons of existing methodologies and highlight shortcomings and potential ways for capturing feedback loop mechanisms; (ii) propose a reflection at the intersection between complexity science, AI and society; (iii) provide real-world examples for different human-AI ecosystems; and (iv) illustrate challenges to the creation of such a field of study, conceptualising them at increasing levels of abstraction, i.e., scientific, legal and socio-political.

Understanding mobile-user behavior requires joint modeling of mobility and traffic, as data consumption is shaped by where, when, and how users travel. Despite this clear intuition, most studies still treat the two in isolation, missing the intricate dependencies between them at the individual level. This paper propose a novel approach that explicitly captures the interplay between traffic and mobility behaviors using fine-grained mobile datasets. Using week-long eXtended Data Records (XDRs), we identify 13 interpretable features and pinpoint the mobility traits that truly drive traffic variation. These insights support a privacy-preserving user abstraction that represents each timeline as a sequence of discrete mobility–traffic states, capturing temporal dynamics and heterogeneity while generalizing across regions. We then introduce a probabilistic likelihood model that scores any mobility–traffic pairing, enabling cross-modality prediction and statistically sound fusion of fragmented logs. Experiments on four provincial datasets covering 1.3 million Chilean users show that the model reliably separates plausible from implausible behavior and generalizes from dense urban cores to mixed rural–urban contexts. The framework is descriptive, generative, and transferable, paving the way for anomaly detection, personalized QoE adaptation, and realistic network simulation.

Human-AI coevolution, defined as a process in which humans and AI algorithms continuously influence each other, increasingly characterises our society, but is understudied in artificial intelligence and complexity science literature. Recommender systems and assistants play a prominent role in human-AI coevolution, as they permeate many facets of daily life and influence human choices through online platforms. The interaction between users and AI results in a potentially endless feedback loop, wherein users' choices generate data to train AI models, which, in turn, shape subsequent user preferences. This human-AI feedback loop has peculiar characteristics compared to traditional human-machine interaction and gives rise to complex and often “unintended” systemic outcomes. This paper introduces human-AI coevolution as the cornerstone for a new field of study at the intersection between AI and complexity science focused on the theoretical, empirical, and mathematical investigation of the human-AI feedback loop. In doing so, we: (i) outline the pros and cons of existing methodologies and highlight shortcomings and potential ways for capturing feedback loop mechanisms; (ii) propose a reflection at the intersection between complexity science, AI and society; (iii) provide real-world examples for different human-AI ecosystems; and (iv) illustrate challenges to the creation of such a field of study, conceptualising them at increasing levels of abstraction, i.e., scientific, legal and socio-political.

Urban emissions are a significant challenge for city livability. Our work focuses on studying vehicle emissions in cities, using spatial and non-spatial models to understand their relationships with various urban features. We find that the spatial model demonstrates better performance and provides powerful insights into the influence of different predictors in various city areas. Our findings reveal that CO2 emissions in Rome are primarily linked to the presence of main arterial roads, population density, and road network density. However, the importance of these factors varies across different areas of the city. We also performed a what-if analysis to show that limiting the circulation of highly polluting vehicles may help reduce emissions, especially in city centres. Our research contributes to a better understanding of the complex relationships between the urban environment and the spatial variability of vehicle emissions in Rome.

Traffic assignment (TA) is crucial in optimizing transportation systems and consists in efficiently assigning routes to a collection of trips. Existing TA algorithms often do not adequately consider realtime traffic conditions, resulting in inefficient route assignments. This paper introduces Metis, a coordinated, one-shot TA algorithm that combines alternative routing with edge penalization and informed route scoring. We conduct experiments in several cities to evaluate the performance of Metis against state-of-the-art one-shot methods. Compared to the best baseline, Metis significantly reduces CO2 emissions by 18% in Milan, 28% in Florence, and 46% in Rome, improving trip distribution considerably while still having low computational time. Our study proposes Metis as a promising solution for optimizing TA and urban transportation systems.

Navigation apps use routing algorithms to suggest the best path to reach a user's desired destination. Although undoubtedly useful, navigation apps' impact on the urban environment (e.g., CO2 emissions and pollution) is still largely unclear. In this work, we design a simulation framework to assess the impact of routing algorithms on carbon dioxide emissions within an urban environment. Using APIs from TomTom and OpenStreetMap, we find that settings in which either all vehicles or none of them follow a navigation app's suggestion lead to the worst impact in terms of CO2 emissions. In contrast, when just a portion (around half) of vehicles follow these suggestions, and some degree of randomness is added to the remaining vehicles' paths, we observe a reduction in the overall CO2 emissions over the road network. Our work is a first step towards designing next-generation routing principles that may increase urban well-being while satisfying individual needs.

This paper demonstrates a simulation framework that collects data about connected vehicles' locations and surroundings in a realistic traffic scenario. Our focus lies on the capability to detect parking spots and their occupancy status. We use this data to train machine learning models that predict parking occupancy levels of specific areas in the city center of San Francisco. By comparing their performance to a given ground truth, our results show that it is possible to use simulated connected vehicle data as a base for prototyping meaningful AI-based applications.

Privacy risk assessment is a crucial issue in any privacy-aware analysis process. Traditional frameworks for privacy risk assessment systematically generate the assumed knowledge for a potential adversary, evaluating the risk without realistically modelling the collection of the background knowledge used by the adversary when performing the attack. In this work, we propose Simulated Privacy Annealing (SPA), a new adversarial behavior model for privacy risk assessment in mobility data. We model the behavior of an adversary as a mobility trajectory and introduce an optimization approach to find the most effective adversary trajectory in terms of privacy risk produced for the individuals represented in a mobility data set. We use simulated annealing to optimize the movement of the adversary and simulate a possible attack on mobility data. We finally test the effectiveness of our approach on real human mobility data, showing that it can simulate the knowledge gathering process for an adversary in a more realistic way.

Peacefulness is a principal dimension of well-being, and its measurement has lately drawn the attention of researchers and policy-makers. During the last years, novel digital data streams have drastically changed research in this field. In the current study, we exploit information extracted from Global Data on Events, Location, and Tone (GDELT) digital news database, to capture peacefulness through the Global Peace Index (GPI). Applying machine learning techniques, we demonstrate that news media attention, sentiment, and social stability from GDELT can be used as proxies for measuring GPI at a monthly level. Additionally, through the variable importance analysis, we show that each country's socio-economic, political, and military profile emerges. This could bring added value to researchers interested in "Data Science for Social Good", to policy-makers, and peacekeeping organizations since they could monitor peacefulness almost real-time, and therefore facilitate timely and more efficient policy-making.

The problem of evaluating the performance of soccer players is attracting the interest of many companies and the scientific community, thanks to the availability of massive data capturing all the events generated during a match (e.g., tackles, passes, shots, etc.). Unfortunately, there is no consolidated and widely accepted metric for measuring performance quality in all of its facets. In this article, we design and implement PlayeRank, a data-driven framework that offers a principled multi-dimensional and role-aware evaluation of the performance of soccer players. We build our framework by deploying a massive dataset of soccer-logs and consisting of millions of match events pertaining to four seasons of 18 prominent soccer competitions. By comparing PlayeRank to known algorithms for performance evaluation in soccer, and by exploiting a dataset of players’ evaluations made by professional soccer scouts, we show that PlayeRank significantly outperforms the competitors. We also explore the ratings produced by PlayeRank and discover interesting patterns about the nature of excellent performances and what distinguishes the top players from the others. At the end, we explore some applications of PlayeRank—i.e. searching players and player versatility—showing its flexibility and efficiency, which makes it worth to be used in the design of a scalable platform for soccer analytics.

Nowadays, a hot challenge for supermarket chains is to offer personalized services to their customers. Market basket prediction, i.e., supplying the customer a shopping list for the next purchase according to her current needs, is one of these services. Current approaches are not capable of capturing at the same time the different factors influencing the customer's decision process: co-occurrence, sequentuality, periodicity, and recurrency of the purchased items. To this aim, we define a pattern TemporalAnnotated Recurring Sequence (TARS) able to capture simultaneously and adaptively all these factors. We define the method to extract TARS and develop a predictor for next basket named TBP (TARS Based Predictor) that, on top of TARS, is able to understand the level of the customer's stocks and recommend the set of most necessary items. By adopting the TBP the supermarket chains could crop tailored suggestions for each individual customer which in turn could effectively speed up their shopping sessions. A deep experimentation shows that TARS are able to explain the customer purchase behavior, and that TBP outperforms the state-of-the-art competitors.

The availability of massive data-sets describing human mobility offers the possibility to design simulation tools to monitor and improve the resilience of transport systems in response to traumatic events such as natural and man-made disasters (e.g., floods, terrorist attacks, etc. . . ). In this perspective, we propose ACHILLES, an application to models people's movements in a given transport mode through a multiplex network representation based on mobility data. ACHILLES is a web-based application which provides an easy-to-use interface to explore the mobility fluxes and the connectivity of every urban zone in a city, as well as to visualize changes in the transport system resulting from the addition or removal of transport modes, urban zones, and single stops. Notably, our application allows the user to assess the overall resilience of the transport network by identifying its weakest node, i.e. Urban Achilles Heel, with reference to the ancient Greek mythology. To demonstrate the impact of ACHILLES for humanitarian aid we consider its application to a real-world scenario by exploring human mobility in Singapore in response to flood prevention.

The generation of realistic spatio-temporal trajectories of human mobility is of fundamental importance in a wide range of applications, such as the developing of protocols for mobile ad-hoc networks or what-if analysis in urban ecosystems. Current generative algorithms fail in accurately reproducing the individuals' recurrent schedules and at the same time in accounting for the possibility that individuals may break the routine during periods of variable duration. In this article we present Ditras (DIary-based TRAjectory Simulator), a framework to simulate the spatio-temporal patterns of human mobility. Ditras operates in two steps: the generation of a mobility diary and the translation of the mobility diary into a mobility trajectory. We propose a data-driven algorithm which constructs a diary generator from real data, capturing the tendency of individuals to follow or break their routine. We also propose a trajectory generator based on the concept of preferential exploration and preferential return. We instantiate Ditras with the proposed diary and trajectory generators and compare the resulting algorithm with real data and synthetic data produced by other generative algorithms, built by instantiating Ditras with several combinations of diary and trajectory generators. We show that the proposed algorithm reproduces the statistical properties of real trajectories in the most accurate way, making a step forward the understanding of the origin of the spatio-temporal patterns of human mobility.

Human mobility data are an important proxy to understand human mobility dynamics, develop analytical services, and design mathematical models for simulation and what-if analysis. Unfortunately mobility data are very sensitive since they may enable the re-identification of individuals in a database. Existing frameworks for privacy risk assessment provide data providers with tools to control and mitigate privacy risks, but they suffer two main shortcomings: (i) they have a high computational complexity; (ii) the privacy risk must be recomputed every time new data records become available and for every selection of individuals, geographic areas, or time windows. In this article, we propose a fast and flexible approach to estimate privacy risk in human mobility data. The idea is to train classifiers to capture the relation between individual mobility patterns and the level of privacy risk of individuals. We show the effectiveness of our approach by an extensive experiment on real-world GPS data in two urban areas and investigate the relations between human mobility patterns and the privacy risk of individuals.

Nowadays, a hot challenge for supermarket chains is to offer personalized services to their customers. Market basket prediction, i.e., supplying the customer a shopping list for the next purchase according to her current needs, is one of these services. Current approaches are not capable of capturing at the same time the different factors influencing the customer's decision process: co-occurrence, sequentuality, periodicity and recurrency of the purchased items. To this aim, we define a pattern named Temporal Annotated Recurring Sequence (TARS). We define the method to extract TARS and develop a predictor for next basket named TBP (TARS Based Predictor) that, on top of TARS, is able to understand the level of the customer's stocks and recommend the set of most necessary items. A deep experimentation shows that TARS can explain the customers' purchase behavior, and that TBP outperforms the state-of-the-art competitors.

Community discovery has emerged during the last decade as one of the most challenging problems in social network analysis. Many algorithms have been proposed to find communities on static networks, i.e. networks which do not change in time. However, social networks are dynamic realities (e.g. call graphs, online social networks): in such scenarios static community discovery fails to identify a partition of the graph that is semantically consistent with the temporal information expressed by the data. In this work we propose Tiles , an algorithm that extracts overlapping communities and tracks their evolution in time following an online iterative procedure. Our algorithm operates following a domino effect strategy, dynamically recomputing nodes community memberships whenever a new interaction takes place. We compare Tiles with state-of-the-art community detection algorithms on both synthetic and real world networks having annotated community structure: our experiments show that the proposed approach is able to guarantee lower execution times and better correspondence with the ground truth communities than its competitors. Moreover, we illustrate the specifics of the proposed approach by discussing the properties of identified communities it is able to identify.

Real world events are intrinsically dynamic and analytic techniques have to take into account this dynamism. This aspect is particularly important on complex network analysis when relations are channels for interaction events between actors. Sensing technologies open the possibility of doing so for sport networks, enabling the analysis of team performance in a standard environment and rules. Useful applications are directly related for improving playing quality, but can also shed light on all forms of team efforts that are relevant for work teams, large firms with coordination and collaboration issues and, as a consequence, economic development. In this paper, we consider dynamics over networks representing the interaction between rugby players during a match. We build a pass network and we introduce the concept of disruption network, building a multilayer structure. We perform both a global and a micro-level analysis on game sequences. When deploying our dynamic graph analysis framework on data from 18 rugby matches, we discover that structural features that make networks resilient to disruptions are a good predictor of a team's performance, both at the global and at the local level. Using our features, we are able to predict the outcome of the match with a precision comparable to state of the art bookmaking.

Traditional approaches to user engagement analysis focus on individual users. In this paper we address user engagement analysis at the level of groups of users (social communities). From the entire Skype social network we extract communities by means of representative community detection methods each one providing node partitions having their own peculiarities. We then examine user engagement in the extracted communities putting into evidence clear relations between topological and geographic features of communities and their mean user engagement. In particular we show that user engagement can be to a great extent predicted from such features. Moreover, from the analysis it clearly emerges that the choice of community definition and granularity deeply affect the predictive performance.

Big Data offer nowadays the potential capability of creating a digital nervous system of our society, enabling the measurement, monitoring and prediction of relevant aspects of socio-economic phenomena in quasi real time. This potential has fueled, in the last few years, a growing interest around the usage of Big Data to support official statistics in the measurement of individual and collective economic well-being. In this work we study the relations between human mobility patterns and socioeconomic development. Starting from nation-wide mobile phone data we extract a measure of mobility volume and a measure of mobility diversity for each individual. We then aggregate the mobility measures at municipality level and investigate the correlations with external socio-economic indicators independently surveyed by an official statistics institute. We find three main results. First, aggregated human mobility patterns are correlated with these socio-economic indicators. Second, the diversity of mobility, defined in terms of entropy of the individual users' trajectories, exhibits the strongest correlation with the external socio-economic indicators. Third, the volume of mobility and the diversity of mobility show opposite correlations with the socioeconomic indicators. Our results, validated against a null model, open an interesting perspective to study human behavior through Big Data by means of new statistical indicators that quantify and possibly "nowcast" the socio-economic development of our society.

Sports analytics in general, and football (soccer in USA) analytics in particular, have evolved in recent years in an amazing way, thanks to automated or semi-automated sensing technologies that provide high-fidelity data streams extracted from every game. In this paper we propose a data-driven approach and show that there is a large potential to boost the understanding of football team performance. From observational data of football games we extract a set of pass-based performance indicators and summarize them in the H indicator. We observe a strong correlation among the proposed indicator and the success of a team, and therefore perform a simulation on the four major European championships (78 teams, almost 1500 games). The outcome of each game in the championship was replaced by a synthetic outcome (win, loss or draw) based on the performance indicators computed for each team. We found that the final rankings in the simulated championships are very close to the actual rankings in the real championships, and show that teams with high ranking error show extreme values of a defense/attack efficiency measure, the Pezzali score. Our results are surprising given the simplicity of the proposed indicators, suggesting that a complex systems' view on football data has the potential of revealing hidden patterns and behavior of superior quality.

The large availability of mobility data allows us to investigate complex phenomena about human movement. However this adundance of data comes with few information about the purpose of movement. In this work we address the issue of activity recognition by introducing Activity-Based Cascading (ABC) classification. Such approach departs completely from probabilistic approaches for two main reasons. First, it exploits a set of structural features extracted from the Individual Mobility Network (IMN), a model able to capture the salient aspects of individual mobility. Second, it uses a cascading classification as a way to tackle the highly skewed frequency of activity classes. We show that our approach outperforms existing state-of-the-art probabilistic methods. Since it reaches high precision, ABC classification represents a very reliable semantic amplifier for Big Data.

The advent of social media have allowed us to build massive networks of weak ties: acquaintances and nonintimate ties we use all the time to spread information and thoughts. Conversely, strong ties are the people we really trust, people whose social circles tightly overlap with our own and, often, they are also the people most like us. Unfortunately, the majority of social media do not incorporate explicitly tie strength information in the creation and management of relationships, and treat all users the same: friend or stranger, with little or nothing in between. In the current work, we address the challenging issue of detecting on online social networks the strong and intimate ties from the huge mass of such mere social contacts. In order to do so, we propose a novel multidimensional definition of tie strength which exploits the existence of multiple online social links between two individuals. We test our definition on a multidimensional network constructed over users in Foursquare, Twitter and Facebook, analyzing the structural role of strong and weak links, and the correlations with the most common similarity measures.