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Colin McSwiggen

dblp:147/8198 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2024
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Trustworthy machine learning · 100%

Topics — the 3 heaviest of 3, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning
calibration
0.812024
How Flawed Is ECE? An Analysis via Logit Smoothing · ICML 2024
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › calibration
calibration measures
0.812024
How Flawed Is ECE? An Analysis via Logit Smoothing · ICML 2024
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning
interpretability
0.812024
How Flawed Is ECE? An Analysis via Logit Smoothing · ICML 2024

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

logit smoothing · 0.8expected calibration error · 0.8
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2024 How Flawed Is ECE? An Analysis via Logit Smoothing
abstract
Informally, a model is calibrated if its predictions are correct with a probability that matches the confidence of the prediction. By far the most common method in the literature for measuring calibration is the expected calibration error (ECE). Recent work, however, has pointed out drawbacks of ECE, such as the fact that it is discontinuous in the space of predictors. In this work, we ask: how fundamental are these issues, and what are their impacts on existing results? Towards this end, we completely characterize the discontinuities of ECE with respect to general probability measures on Polish spaces. We then use the nature of these discontinuities to motivate a novel continuous, easily estimated miscalibration metric, which we term Logit-Smoothed ECE (LS-ECE). By comparing the ECE and LS-ECE of pre-trained image classification models, we show in initial experiments that binned ECE closely tracks LS-ECE, indicating that the theoretical pathologies of ECE may be avoidable in practice.
Muthu Chidambaram, Holden Lee, Colin McSwiggen, Semon Rezchikov
ICML3