Real-time 30-second-refresh numerical weather prediction (NWP) was performed with exclusive use of 11,580 nodes (~7%) of supercomputer Fugaku during Tokyo Olympics and Paralympics in 2021. Total 75,248 forecasts were disseminated in the 1-month period mostly stably with time-to-solution less than 3 minutes for 30-minute forecast. Japan's Big Data Assimilation (BDA) project developed the novel NWP system for precise prediction of hazardous rains toward solving the global climate crisis. Compared with typical 1-hour-refresh systems, the BDA system offered two orders of magnitude increase in problem size and revealed the effectiveness of 30-second refresh for highly nonlinear, rapidly evolving convective rains. To achieve the required time-to-solution for real-time 30-second refresh with high accuracy, the core BDA software incorporated single precision and enhanced parallel I/O with properly selected configurations of 1000 ensemble members and 500-m-mesh weather model. The massively parallel, I/O intensive real-time BDA computation demonstrated a promising future direction.

Following the invention of the telegraph, electronic computer, and remote sensing, “big data” is bringing another revolution to weather prediction. As sensor and computer technologies advance, orders of magnitude bigger data are produced by new sensors and high-precision computer simulation or “big simulation.” Data assimilation (DA) is a key to numerical weather prediction (NWP) by integrating the real-world sensor data into simulation. However, the current DA and NWP systems are not designed to handle the “big data” from next-generation sensors and big simulation. Therefore, we propose “big data assimilation” (BDA) innovation to fully utilize the big data. Since October 2013, the Japan's BDA project has been exploring revolutionary NWP at 100-m mesh refreshed every 30 s, orders of magnitude finer and faster than the current typical NWP systems, by taking advantage of the fortunate combination of next-generation technologies: the 10-petaflops K computer, phased array weather radar, and geostationary satellite Himawari-8. So far, a BDA prototype system was developed and tested with real-world retrospective local rainstorm cases. This paper summarizes the activities and progress of the BDA project, and concludes with perspectives toward the post-petascale supercomputing era.