Demonstration venue · read-only. Every page can be browsed; the buttons that would change it are switched off. Create an account to run TaxoReview on your own data.

Zachary Jacobs

dblp:199/4250 · DBLP profile ↗
← Back
1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2025
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Language models and text generation · 100%
Databases, data mining, and information retrieval
1 paper
Database system architecture and tuning · 100%
Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Computational social science and digital humanities · 100%

Topics — the 3 heaviest of 3, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Natural language and speech › Language models and text generation
large language model
0.912025
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities · ICLR 2025
Database system architecture and tuning › database benchmarking
benchmark design
0.912025
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities · ICLR 2025
Computational social science and digital humanities
forecasting
0.312025
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities · ICLR 2025

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

leaderboard evaluation · 2.6benchmark construction · 2.6
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
abstract
Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no framework for evaluating the accuracy of ML systems on a standardized set of forecasting questions. To address this gap, we introduce ForecastBench: a dynamic benchmark that evaluates the accuracy of ML systems on an automatically generated and regularly updated set of 1,000 forecasting questions. To avoid any possibility of data leakage, ForecastBench is comprised solely of questions about future events that have no known answer at the time of submission. We quantify the capabilities of current ML systems by collecting forecasts from expert (human) forecasters, the general public, and LLMs on a random subset of questions from the benchmark ($N=200$). While LLMs have achieved super-human performance on many benchmarks, they perform less well here: expert forecasters outperform the top-performing LLM ($p$-value $<0.001$). We display system and human scores in a public leaderboard at www.forecastbench.org.
Ezra Karger, Houtan Bastani, Yueh-Han Chen, Zachary Jacobs, Danny Halawi, Fred Zhang, Philip Tetlock
ICLR4