The mechanisms triggering the human immunodeficiency virus type I (HIV-1) to switch the coreceptor usage from CCR5 to CXCR4 during the course of infection are not entirely understood. While low CD4+ T cell counts are associated with CXCR4 usage, a predominance of CXCR4 usage with still high CD4+ T cell counts remains puzzling. Here, we explore the hypothesis that viral adaptation to the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) complex, especially to the HLA class II alleles, contributes to the coreceptor switch. To this end, we sequence the viral gag and env protein with corresponding HLA class I and II alleles of a new cohort of 312 treatment-naive, subtype C, chronically-infected HIV-1 patients from South Africa. To estimate HLA adaptation, we develop a novel computational approach using Bayesian generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs). Our model allows to consider the entire HLA repertoire without restricting the model to pre-learned HLA-polymorphisms. In addition, we correct for phylogenetic relatedness of the viruses within the model itself to account for founder effects. Using our model, we observe that CXCR4-using variants are more adapted than CCR5-using variants (p-value = 1.34e-2). Additionally, adapted CCR5-using variants have a significantly lower predicted false positive rate (FPR) by the geno2pheno[coreceptor] tool compared to the non-adapted CCR5-using variants (p-value = 2.21e-2), where a low FPR is associated with CXCR4 usage. Consequently, estimating HLA adaptation can be an asset in predicting not only coreceptor usage, but also an approaching coreceptor switch in CCR5-using variants. We propose the usage of Bayesian GLMMs for modeling virus-host adaptation in general.

Treatment with broadly neutralizing antibodies (bNAbs) has proven effective against HIV-1 infections in humanized mice, non-human primates, and humans. Due to the high mutation rate of HIV-1, resistance testing of the patient's viral strains to the bNAbs is still inevitable. So far, bNAb resistance can only be tested in expensive and time-consuming neutralization experiments. Here, we introduce well-performing computational models that predict the neutralization response of HIV-1 to bNAbs given only the envelope sequence of the virus. Using non-linear support vector machines based on a string kernel, the models learnt even the important binding sites of bNAbs with more complex epitopes, i.e., the CD4 binding site targeting bNAbs, proving thereby the biological relevance of the models. To increase the interpretability of the models, we additionally provide a new kind of motif logo for each query sequence, visualizing those residues of the test sequence that influenced the prediction outcome the most. Moreover, we predicted the neutralization sensitivity of around 34,000 HIV-1 samples from different time points to a broad range of bNAbs, enabling the first analysis of HIV resistance to bNAbs on a global scale. The analysis showed for many of the bNAbs a trend towards antibody resistance over time, which had previously only been discovered for a small non-representative subset of the global HIV-1 population.

MOTIVATION: Due to their high genomic variability, RNA viruses and retroviruses present a unique opportunity for detailed study of molecular evolution. Lentiviruses, with HIV being a notable example, are one of the best studied viral groups: hundreds of thousands of sequences are available together with experimentally resolved three-dimensional structures for most viral proteins. In this work, we use these data to study specific patterns of evolution of the viral proteins, and their relationship to protein interactions and immunogenicity. RESULTS: We propose a method for identification of two types of surface residues clusters with abnormal conservation: extremely conserved and extremely variable clusters. We identify them on the surface of proteins from HIV and other animal immunodeficiency viruses. Both types of clusters are overrepresented on the interaction interfaces of viral proteins with other proteins, nucleic acids or low molecular-weight ligands, both in the viral particle and between the virus and its host. In the immunodeficiency viruses, the interaction interfaces are not more conserved than the corresponding proteins on an average, and we show that extremely conserved clusters coincide with protein-protein interaction hotspots, predicted as the residues with the largest energetic contribution to the interaction. Extremely variable clusters have been identified here for the first time. In the HIV-1 envelope protein gp120, they overlap with known antigenic sites. These antigenic sites also contain many residues from extremely conserved clusters, hence representing a unique interacting interface enriched both in extremely conserved and in extremely variable clusters of residues. This observation may have important implication for antiretroviral vaccine development. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: A Python package is available at https://bioinf.mpi-inf.mpg.de/publications/viral-ppi-pred/ CONTACT: [email protected] or [email protected] SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.