This paper presents the design and analysis of a data science competition on a problem of time series regression from aeronautics data. For the purpose of performing predictive maintenance, aviation companies seek to create aircraft “numerical twins”, which are programs capable of accurately predicting strains at strategic positions in various body parts of the aircraft. Given a number of input parameters (sensor data) recorded in sequence during the flight, the competition participants had to predict output values (gauges), also recorded sequentially during test flights, but not recorded during regular flights. The competition data included hundreds of complete flights. It was a code submission competition with complete blind testing of algorithms. The results indicate that such a problem can be effectively solved with gradient boosted trees, after preprocessing and feature engineering. Deep learning methods did not prove as efficient.

This paper studies the problem of discriminating two multivariate Gaussian distributions in a distributed manner. Specifically, it characterizes in a special case the optimal type- II error exponent as a function of the available communication rate. As a side-result, the paper also presents the optimal type-II error exponent of a slight generalization of the hypothesis testing against conditional independence problem where the marginal distributions under the two hypotheses can be different.

A single-sensor two-detectors system is considered where the sensor communicates with both detectors and Detector 1 communicates with Detector 2, all over noise-free rate-limited links. The sensor and both detectors observe discrete memoryless source sequences whose joint probability mass function depends on a binary hypothesis. The goal at each detector is to guess the binary hypothesis in a way that, for increasing observation lengths, the probability of error under one of the hypotheses decays to zero with largest possible exponential decay, whereas the probability of error under the other hypothesis can decay to zero or to a small positive number arbitrarily slow. For the setting with positive communication rates from the sensor to the detectors and when both detectors are interested in maximizing the error exponent under the same hypothesis, we characterize the set of all possible exponents in a special case of testing against independence. In this case the cooperation link allows Detector 2 to increase its Type-II error exponent by an amount that is equal to the exponent attained at Detector 1. We also provide a general inner bound on the set of achievable error exponents that shows a tradeoff between the exponents at the two detectors in most cases. When the two detectors aim at maximizing the error exponent under different hypotheses and the distribution at the Sensor is different under the two hypotheses, then we show that such a tradeoff does not exist. We propose a general scheme that allows each detector to attain the same exponent as if it was the only detector in the system. For the setting with zero-rate communication on both links, we exactly characterize the set of possible exponents and the gain brought up by cooperation, in function of the number of bits that are sent over the two links. Notice that, for this setting, tradeoffs between the exponents achieved at the two detectors arise only in few particular cases. In all other cases, each detector achieves the same performance as if it were the only detector in the system.

A detection system with a single sensor and K detectors is considered, where each of the terminals observes a memoryless source sequence and the sensor sends a common message to all the detectors. The communication of this message is assumed error-free but rate-limited. The joint probability mass function (pmf) of the source sequences observed at the terminals depends on an M-ary hypothesis (M ≥ K), and the goal of the communication is that each detector can guess the underlying hypothesis. Each detector k aims to maximize the error exponent under hypothesis k, while ensuring a small probability of error under all other hypotheses. This paper presents an achievable exponents region for the case of positive communication rate, and characterizes the optimal exponents region for the case of zero communication rate. All results extend also to a composite hypothesis testing scenario.