Takahiro Miyoshi

dblp:222/7907 · DBLP profile ↗
← Back
1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
0since 2021 · last 2018
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 first-authorGraphics, computer vision, multimedia, augmented reality and games · 1 · 1 first-author

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Time series and sequential data · 100%
Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Computational social science and digital humanities · 100%

Topics — the 2 heaviest of 2, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Time series and sequential data
ensemble forecasting
0.312018
Dynamically Forming a Group of Human Forecasters and Machine Forecaster for Forecasting Economic Indicators · IJCAI 2018
Computational social science and digital humanities
forecasting
0.312018
Dynamically Forming a Group of Human Forecasters and Machine Forecaster for Forecasting Economic Indicators · IJCAI 2018

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

machine learning · 0.7ensemble · 0.7
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2018 Dynamically Forming a Group of Human Forecasters and Machine Forecaster for Forecasting Economic Indicators
abstract
How can human forecasts and a machine forecast be combined in inflation forecast tasks? A machine-learning-based forecaster makes a forecast based on a statistical model constructed from past time-series data, while humans take varied information such as economic policies into account. Combination methods for different forecasts have been studied such as ensemble and consensus methods. These methods, however, always use the same manner of combination regardless of the situation (input), which makes it difficult to use the advantages of different types of forecasters. To overcome this drawback, we propose an ensemble method for estimating the expected error of a machine forecast and dynamically determining the optimal number of humans included in the ensemble. We evaluated the proposed method by using the seven datasets on U.S. inflation and confirmed that it attained the highest forecast accuracy for four datasets and the same accuracy as the highest one of traditional methods for two datasets.
Takahiro Miyoshi, Shigeo Matsubara
IJCAI1