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Victor Lei

dblp:241/7116 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
0as first author
0since 2021 · last 2019
—ORCID · none

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 100%
Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Computational social science and digital humanities · 100%

Topics — the 5 heaviest of 5, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning
causal inference
0.412019
Machine Learning Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Instruments · NeurIPS 2019
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › causal inference
heterogeneous treatment effect estimation
0.412019
Machine Learning Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Instruments · NeurIPS 2019
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › causal inference
instrumental variable
0.412019
Machine Learning Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Instruments · NeurIPS 2019
Computational social science and digital humanities › online controlled experiments
a/b testing
0.412019
Machine Learning Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Instruments · NeurIPS 2019
Computational social science and digital humanities › causal inference
causal effect estimation
0.412019
Machine Learning Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Instruments · NeurIPS 2019

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

random forest · 0.8neyman orthogonality · 0.8neural network · 0.8
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2019 Machine Learning Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Instruments
abstract
We consider the estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects with arbitrary machine learning methods in the presence of unobserved confounders with the aid of a valid instrument. Such settings arise in A/B tests with an intent-to-treat structure, where the experimenter randomizes over which user will receive a recommendation to take an action, and we are interested in the effect of the downstream action. We develop a statistical learning approach to the estimation of heterogeneous effects, reducing the problem to the minimization of an appropriate loss function that depends on a set of auxiliary models (each corresponding to a separate prediction task). The reduction enables the use of all recent algorithmic advances (e.g. neural nets, forests). We show that the estimated effect model is robust to estimation errors in the auxiliary models, by showing that the loss satisfies a Neyman orthogonality criterion. Our approach can be used to estimate projections of the true effect model on simpler hypothesis spaces. When these spaces are parametric, then the parameter estimates are asymptotically normal, which enables construction of confidence sets. We applied our method to estimate the effect of membership on downstream webpage engagement for a major travel webpage, using as an instrument an intent-to-treat A/B test among 4 million users, where some users received an easier membership sign-up process. We also validate our method on synthetic data and on public datasets for the effects of schooling on income.
Vasilis Syrgkanis, Victor Lei, Miruna Oprescu, Maggie Hei, Keith Battocchi, Greg Lewis
NeurIPS2