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Angela Noufaily

dblp:248/4665 · DBLP profile ↗
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1ranked-venue papers
1as first author
0since 2021 · last 2019
0000-0001-8522-6591ORCID · reported

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Applied, interdisciplinary, general and emerging computing · 1 · 1 first-author

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Interdisciplinary, comprehensive, and emerging computing
1 paper
Bioinformatics and computational biology · 50% Medical and health informatics · 50%

Topics — the 1 heaviest of 2, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Medical and health informatics › public health › public health informatics
outbreak detection
0.412019
Comparison of statistical algorithms for daily syndromic surveillance aberration detection · Bioinform. 2019

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

simulation · 0.4quasi-poisson regression · 0.4multi-level mixed effects model · 0.4
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2019 Comparison of statistical algorithms for daily syndromic surveillance aberration detection
abstract
MOTIVATION: Public health authorities can provide more effective and timely interventions to protect populations during health events if they have effective multi-purpose surveillance systems. These systems rely on aberration detection algorithms to identify potential threats within large datasets. Ensuring the algorithms are sensitive, specific and timely is crucial for protecting public health. Here, we evaluate the performance of three detection algorithms extensively used for syndromic surveillance: the 'rising activity, multilevel mixed effects, indicator emphasis' (RAMMIE) method and the improved quasi-Poisson regression-based method known as 'Farrington Flexible' both currently used at Public Health England, and the 'Early Aberration Reporting System' (EARS) method used at the US Centre for Disease Control and Prevention. We model the wide range of data structures encountered within the daily syndromic surveillance systems used by PHE. We undertake extensive simulations to identify which algorithms work best across different types of syndromes and different outbreak sizes. We evaluate RAMMIE for the first time since its introduction. Performance metrics were computed and compared in the presence of a range of simulated outbreak types that were added to baseline data. RESULTS: We conclude that amongst the algorithm variants that have a high specificity (i.e. >90%), Farrington Flexible has the highest sensitivity and specificity, whereas RAMMIE has the highest probability of outbreak detection and is the most timely, typically detecting outbreaks 2-3 days earlier. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: R codes developed for this project are available through https://github.com/FelipeJColon/AlgorithmComparison. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.
Angela Noufaily, Roger A. Morbey, Felipe J. Colón-González, Alex J. Elliot, Gillian E. Smith, Iain Lake, Noel D. McCarthy
Bioinform.1