A predictive model for mobility systems capable of understanding the trajectory a user intends to follow in the environment is proposed. Understanding user intention is paramount for any shared-control navigation strategy between a user and an active robotic agent. Equally important however is being able to go beyond simple sample generation to assign probabilistic meaning to the set of possible future trajectories, so most likely scenarios can be assumed. The framework estimates a distribution over possible intentions, proposing a novel generative model predicated on Normalizing Flows which accounts for past behaviours, as traditionally reported in the literature, but also incorporates visual scene information. As the model permits trajectories to be assigned exact likelihoods, tractable density estimates can be readily exploited to finalize an executable intention. Baseline comparisons with the publicly available and widely used KITTI navigational dataset show significant improvements (up to 11.08%) with respect to traditional metrics such as Average and Final Displacement Errors. A novel metric that stands independent of the number of samples is also proposed as a more fitting comparison for future works.

In this paper, we present a novel approach that predicts spatially and temporally crowd behaviour for robotic social navigation. Integrating mobile robots into human society involves the fundamental problem of navigation in crowds. A robot should attempt to navigate in a way that is minimally invasive to the humans in its environment. However, planning in a dynamic environment is difficult as the environment must be predicted into the future. This problem has been thoroughly studied considering the behaviour of pedestrians at the level of individuals. Instead, we represent a pedestrian crowd by its macroscopic properties over space, such as density and velocity. With this spatial representation, we propose to learn a convolutional recurrent model to predict these properties into the future. The key design of a probabilistic loss function capturing the crowd's macroscopic properties empowers the spatio-temporal crowd prediction. Using a social invasiveness metric defined on these properties predicted by our convolutional recurrent model, we develop a framework that produces globally-optimal plans in expectation. Extensive results using a realistic pedestrian simulator show the validity and performance of the proposed social navigation approach.

A multi-modal framework to generate user intention distributions when operating a mobile vehicle is proposed in this work. The model learns from past observed trajectories and leverages traversability information derived from the visual surroundings to produce a set of future trajectories, suitable to be directly embedded into a perception-action shared control strategy on a mobile agent, or as a safety layer to supervise the prudent operation of the vehicle. We base our solution on a conditional Generative Adversarial Network with Long-Short Term Memory cells to capture trajectory distributions conditioned on past trajectories, further fused with traversability probabilities derived from visual segmentation with a Convolutional Neural Network. The proposed data-driven framework results in a significant reduction in error of the predicted trajectories (versus the ground truth) from comparable strategies in the literature (e.g. Social-GAN) that fail to account for information other than the agent’s past history. Experiments were conducted on a dataset collected with a custom wheelchair model built onto the open-source urban driving simulator CARLA, proving also that the proposed framework can be used with a small, unannotated dataset.