Long-sequence precipitation forecasting is critical for both meteorological science and smart city applications. The primary objective of this task is to predict future radar echo sequences, which provide high resolution and timely references for atmospheric precipitation distribution based on current observations. However, the chaotic nature of precipitation systems poses significant challenges in extending reliable forecast horizons. Most existing methods struggle with accuracy and clarity when extended to long-sequence predictions, such as three-hour forecasts. This is primarily due to the insufficiency of spatio-temporal information within a single modality over time. In this paper, we propose a cascading forecasting framework that adaptively extracts and integrates multimodal spatio-temporal information to support accurate and realistic long-sequence radar forecasting. Our framework includes a temporal adaptive predictor and a flow-based precipitation distribution adaptor. The predictor utilizes a multi-branch encoder-decoder architecture. This design allows it to extract meteorological sequences from multiple sources at varying scales, resulting in an initial global precipitation estimate. The core component is a carefully designed cross-attention module with a temporal adaptive layer to enhance multi-modality alignment. The initial estimate is then refined by the flow-based adaptor, which adjusts the prediction to match the target precipitation distribution, enhancing local details and correcting extreme precipitation patterns. We validated our method using real multi-source dataset for long-sequence forecasting, and the experimental results demonstrate that our approach outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods.

Precipitation nowcasting involves using current radar observation sequences to predict future radar sequences and determine future precipitation distribution, which is crucial for disaster warning, traffic planning, and agricultural production. Despite numerous advancements, challenges persist in accurately predicting both the location and intensity of precipitation, as these factors are often interdependent, with complex atmospheric dynamics and moisture distribution causing position and intensity changes to be intricately coupled. Inspired by the fact that in the frequency domain, phase variations are shown to correspond to changes in the position of precipitation, while amplitude variations are linked to intensity changes, we propose an amplitude-phase disentanglement model called AlphaPre, which separately learn the position and intensity changes of precipitation. AlphaPre comprises three key components: a phase network, an amplitude network, and an AlphaMixer. The phase network captures positional changes by learning phase variations, and the amplitude network models intensity changes by alternating between the frequency and spatial domains. The AlphaMixer then integrates these components to produce a refined precipitation forecast. Extensive experiments on four datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and superiority of our method over state-of-the-art approaches. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/linkenghong/AlphaPre.

Most current precipitation nowcasting methods aim to capture the underlying spatiotemporal dynamics of precipitation systems by minimizing the mean square error (MSE). However, these methods often neglect effective constraints on the data distribution, leading to unsatisfactory prediction accuracy and image quality, especially for long forecast sequences. To address this limitation, we propose a precipitation nowcasting model incorporating perceptual constraints. This model reformulates precipitation nowcasting as a posterior MSE problem under such constraints. Specifically, we first obtain the posteriori mean sequences of precipitation forecasts using a precipitation estimator. Subsequently, we construct the transmission between distributions using rectified flow. To enhance the focus on distant frames, we design a frame sampling strategy that gradually increases the corresponding weights. We theoretically demonstrate the reliability of our solution, and experimental results on two publicly available radar datasets demonstrate that our model is effective and outperforms current state-of-the-art models.

Abstract A new type of Collusive Interest Flooding Attack (CIFA), Improved Collusive Interest Flooding Attack (I‐CIFA), which originates from CIFA with a stronger concealment, higher attack effect, lower attack cost, and wider attack range in Named Data Networking (NDN). In order to detect this attack, the present study explores new detection features and establishes a sample set of attack features with different granularities, and accordingly, the Pearson coefficient is used to validate the correlation between the proposed features and the network states. Finally, the Random Forest model is designed to detect the I‐CIFA attack. To evaluate the performance of the approach, extensive experiments are conducted in ndnSIM platform. Test results show that the proposed detection approach outperforms other existing approaches with a detection rate of 98.1%, error rate of 1.9%, and false positive rate of 1.5%.

Named Data Network (NDN) as a new network architecture, in recent years become a hot research, its security has been widespread concern. With the continuous updating of distributed denial of service (DDoS) attack methods in NDN networks, this article designs a new type of attack, called the Improved Collusive Flooding Attack (I-CIFA). I-CIFA attack combines the advantages of mainstream DDoS attack in NDN network, and is an attack method generated by low-rate DDoS attack and the cooperation of collusive producer. On the basis of the existing DDoS attack, the I-CIFA attack further improves the ability to destroy the network and the ability to resist the existing defense scheme. I-CIFA is designed on the basis of CIFA by improving the attack nodes and so on. In addition to redefining and configuring the attack parameters, improvements were also made in two aspects. First, the probing mode to probe the pending interest table (PIT) capacity of the routing nodes was added before attack started. Second, the way in which each attacker requests a packet from the collusive producer in each attack cycle has been further improved. Test results show that I-CIFA can cause 87.5% of the legitimate interest packets in the whole network to be discarded, and it is not only has a strong attack range on the network, but it is also difficult to be detected by existing CIFA-countermeasures.