Covariates provide valuable information on external factors that influence time series and are critical in many real-world time series forecasting tasks. For example, in retail, covariates may indicate promotions or peak dates such as holiday seasons that heavily influence demand forecasts. Recent advances in pretraining large language model architectures for time series forecasting have led to highly accurate forecasters. However, the majority of these models do not readily use covariates as they are often specific to a certain task or domain. This paper introduces a new method to incorporate covariates into pretrained time series forecasting models. Our proposed approach incorporates covariate information into pretrained forecasting models through modular blocks that inject past and future covariate information, without necessarily modifying the pretrained model in consideration. In order to evaluate our approach, we introduce a benchmark composed of 32 different synthetic datasets with varying dynamics to evaluate the effectivity of forecasting models with covariates. Extensive evaluations on both synthetic and real datasets show that our approach effectively incorporates covariate information into pretrained models, outperforming existing baselines.

With the ever-increasing number of pretrained models, machine learning practitioners are continuously faced with which pretrained model to use, and how to finetune it for a new dataset. In this paper, we propose a methodology that jointly searches for the optimal pretrained model and the hyperparameters for finetuning it. Our method transfers knowledge about the performance of many pretrained models with multiple hyperparameter configurations on a series of datasets. To this aim, we evaluated over 20k hyperparameter configurations for finetuning 24 pretrained image classification models on 87 datasets to generate a large-scale meta-dataset. We meta-learn a gray-box performance predictor on the learning curves of this meta-dataset and use it for fast hyperparameter optimization on new datasets. We empirically demonstrate that our resulting approach can quickly select an accurate pretrained model for a new dataset together with its optimal hyperparameters.

Even though neural networks have been long deployed in applications involving tabular data, still existing neural architectures are not explainable by design. In this paper, we propose a new class of interpretable neural networks for tabular data that are both deep and linear at the same time (i.e. mesomorphic). We optimize deep hypernetworks to generate explainable linear models on a per-instance basis. As a result, our models retain the accuracy of black-box deep networks while offering free-lunch explainability for tabular data by design. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate that our explainable deep networks have comparable performance to state-of-the-art classifiers on tabular data and outperform current existing methods that are explainable by design.

Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) is a promising direction for democratizing AI by automatically deploying Machine Learning systems with minimal human expertise. The core technical challenge behind AutoML is optimizing the pipelines of Machine Learning systems (e.g. the choice of preprocessing, augmentations, models, optimizers, etc.). Existing Pipeline Optimization techniques fail to explore deep interactions between pipeline stages/components. As a remedy, this paper proposes a novel neural architecture that captures the deep interaction between the components of a Machine Learning pipeline. We propose embedding pipelines into a latent representation through a novel per-component encoder mechanism. To search for optimal pipelines, such pipeline embeddings are used within deep-kernel Gaussian Process surrogates inside a Bayesian Optimization setup. Furthermore, we meta-learn the parameters of the pipeline embedding network using existing evaluations of pipelines on diverse collections of related datasets (a.k.a. meta-datasets). Through extensive experiments on three large-scale meta-datasets, we demonstrate that pipeline embeddings yield state-of-the-art results in Pipeline Optimization.