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Alessandro Micheli

dblp:275/2720 · DBLP profile ↗
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2ranked-venue papers
0as first author
1since 2021 · last 2025
0000-0003-4122-7765ORCID · reported

Domains — the database's venue-derived domains; a paper can count in several

Artificial intelligence and machine learning · 1 · 1 since 2021Applied, interdisciplinary, general and emerging computing · 1

Expertise — from the expertise taxonomy: the topics of the expert's papers under the CCF categories. A weight counts papers with recency: 1 for a paper about the topic, 0.3 when the topic is its context, halved every five years.

Artificial intelligence
1 paper
Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning · 75% Trustworthy machine learning · 25%

Topics — the 4 heaviest of 4, each with the papers that count most for it

TopicWeightPapersLastEvidence papers
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › deep probabilistic models
bayesian deep learning
0.912025
NeuralSurv: Deep Survival Analysis with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Trustworthy machine learning › uncertainty estimation
bayesian uncertainty quantification
0.912025
NeuralSurv: Deep Survival Analysis with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference › survival analysis
deep survival analysis
0.912025
NeuralSurv: Deep Survival Analysis with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification · NeurIPS 2025
Machine learning › Probabilistic and Bayesian machine learning › statistical inference
survival analysis
0.912025
NeuralSurv: Deep Survival Analysis with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification · NeurIPS 2025

Methods — techniques the papers use, named apart from their topics

variational inference · 0.9mean-field approximation · 0.9bayesian neural network · 0.9
YearPublicationVenuePosition
2025 NeuralSurv: Deep Survival Analysis with Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification
abstract
We introduce *NeuralSurv*, the first deep survival model to incorporate Bayesian uncertainty quantification. Our non‑parametric, architecture‑agnostic framework flexibly captures time‑varying covariate–risk relationships in continuous time via a novel two‑stage data‑augmentation scheme, for which we establish theoretical guarantees. For efficient posterior inference, we introduce a mean‑field variational algorithm with coordinate‑ascent updates that scale linearly in model size. By locally linearizing the Bayesian neural network, we obtain full conjugacy and derive all coordinate updates in closed form. In experiments, *NeuralSurv* delivers superior calibration compared to state-of-the-art deep survival models, while matching or exceeding their discriminative performance across both synthetic benchmarks and real-world datasets. Our results demonstrate the value of Bayesian principles in data‑scarce regimes by enhancing model calibration and providing robust, well‑calibrated uncertainty estimates for the survival function.
Mélodie Monod, Alessandro Micheli, Samir Bhatt
NeurIPS2
2020 A Procedure to Evaluate the Extra-Charge of Urbanization
Maria Rosaria Guarini, Pierluigi Morano, Alessandro Micheli
ICCSA (3)3